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Weekly Crypto Report
April 25, 2022
 
   
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Crypto Snapshot
Analyst Views
ErisX Bounded Futures
 
 
  Crypto Snapshot  
 
  Bitcoin  
 
 
  • Bitcoin’s price lost 16% in April and remains positioned on the downside.
  • The downside price breakout of the lower boundary of a slightly ascending channel has turned the short-term outlook to bearish.
  • The price is trading below its downward crossing 20 and 50-day moving averages (DMAs), confirming the bearish trend in place.
  • The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is on the downside but not yet oversold.
  • The failure to push above its downward crossing and declining 20 and 50-week moving averages (WMAs) is a bearish signal calling for a bearish trend.
  • Below $41,500, a return to $36,000 and a test of the 2022 bottom area at $33,000 is expected.
 
 
  Ether  
 
 
  • Ethers’ price declined by more than 20% since the April 4th top and has lost 24% in 2022.
  • The 50-DMA failure to trigger a rebound mid-April, followed by a bearish acceleration after its downside breakout, is a strong bearish signal calling for a continuation of the down move.
  • The price is now trading below both its 20 and 50-DMAs that are about to record a bearish crossover.
  • The daily RSI fell below both its neutrality area and its signal line, approaching the oversold area; illustrating the bearish momentum in place.
  • The 20 and 50-WMAs crossed downward for the first time since 2019.
  • As long as $3,100 remains the resistance, a continuation of the decline towards $2,720 and the March support base at $2,470, is a likely scenario.
 
 
  Analyst Views  
 
 
Bitcoin / USD ST: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
41500
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 41500 with targets at 36000 & 33000 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 41500 look for further upside with 45000 & 48000 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bearish and calls for further downside. Also, the price has broken below a bullish channel lower boundary.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Ether / USD ST: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
3100
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 3100 with targets at 2720 & 2470 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 3100 look for further upside with 3300 & 3580 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bearish and calls for further decline.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
  ErisX Bounded Futures  
 
  Bounded BTC  
 
Symbol: BBW18 L31U50 Symbol: BBW19 L30U49
 
Settlement Date:
4/29/2022
Settlement Date:
5/6/2022
 
 
Days to Expiry:
4
Days to Expiry:
11
 
 
Contract Size:
0.01
Contract Size:
0.01
 
 
Last Spot Value:
38,425
Last Spot Value:
38,425
 
 
Upper Boundary:
50,000
Upper Boundary:
49,000
 
 
Lower Boundary:
31,000
Lower Boundary:
30,000
 
 
Buyer Collateral:
$74
Buyer Collateral:
$84
 
 
Seller Collateral:
$116
Seller Collateral:
$106
 
 
Collateral Ratio (L/S):
39:61
Collateral Ratio (L/S):
44:56
 
 
     
  Bounded ETH  
 
Symbol: BEW18 L21U40 Symbol: BEW19 L21U39
 
Settlement Date:
4/29/2022
Settlement Date:
5/6/2022
 
 
Days to Expiry:
4
Days to Expiry:
11
 
 
Contract Size:
1
Contract Size:
1
 
 
Last Spot Value:
2,812
Last Spot Value:
2,812
 
 
Upper Boundary:
4,000
Upper Boundary:
3,900
 
 
Lower Boundary:
2,100
Lower Boundary:
2,100
 
 
Buyer Collateral:
$712
Buyer Collateral:
$712
 
 
Seller Collateral:
$1,188
Seller Collateral:
$1,088
 
 
Collateral Ratio (L/S):
37:63
Collateral Ratio (L/S):
40:60
 
 
     
  Bounded ETH/BTC  
 
Symbol: BEBW18 L6U9 Symbol: BEBW19 L6U9
 
Settlement Date:
4/29/2022
Settlement Date:
5/6/2022
 
 
Days to Expiry:
4
Days to Expiry:
11
 
 
Contract Size:
10,000
Contract Size:
10,000
 
 
Last Spot Value:
0.07318
Last Spot Value:
0.07318
 
 
Upper Boundary:
0.090
Upper Boundary:
0.090
 
 
Lower Boundary:
0.060
Lower Boundary:
0.060
 
 
Buyer Collateral:
$132
Buyer Collateral:
$132
 
 
Seller Collateral:
$168
Seller Collateral:
$168
 
 
Collateral Ratio (L/S):
44:56
Collateral Ratio (L/S):
44:56
 
 
     
 
 
ErisX Disclosures

ErisX Futures are offered through Eris Exchange, LLC, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission(CFTC) registered Designated Contract Market(DCM) and Eris Clearing, LLC, a registered Derivatives Clearing Organization(DCO).The CFTC does not have regulatory oversight authority over virtual currency products including spot market trading of virtual currencies.ErisX Spot Market is not licensed, approved or registered with the CFTC and transactions on the ErisX Spot Market are not subject to CFTC rules, regulations or regulatory oversight.ErisX Spot Market may be subject to certain state licensing requirements and operates in NY pursuant to Eris Clearing's license to engage in virtual currency business activity by the New York State Department of Financial Services.

https://www.erisx.com/disclaimer/

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