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Daily Market Newsletter
July 18, 2025
 
   
 
USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Nasdaq 100 (CME)   Gold   Dow Jones (CME)   GBP/USD   GBP/JPY   EUR/AUD   Crude Oil (WTI)   USD/CAD   Nvidia   Tesla  
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
USD/JPY Intraday: key resistance at 148.75.
 
Pivot:
148.75
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 148.75 with targets at 148.25 & 148.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 148.75 look for further upside with 149.15 & 149.50 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 148.75 is resistance, expect a return to 148.25.
 
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EUR/USD Intraday: continuation of the rebound.
 
Pivot:
1.1595
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.1595 with targets at 1.1660 & 1.1685 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1595 look for further downside with 1.1570 & 1.1555 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a rebound.
 
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Nasdaq 100 (CME)‎ (U5)‎ Intraday: further advance.
 
Pivot:
23140.00
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 23140.00 with targets at 23400.00 & 23500.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 23140.00 look for further downside with 23080.00 & 23020.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a bounce.
 
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Gold Intraday: rebound expected.
 
Pivot:
3322.00
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 3322.00 with targets at 3355.00 & 3366.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 3322.00 look for further downside with 3310.00 & 3300.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a bounce.
 
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Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U5)‎ Intraday: the bias remains bullish.
 
Pivot:
44470.00
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 44470.00 with targets at 44945.00 & 45120.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 44470.00 look for further downside with 44350.00 & 44130.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 44945.00 and then at 45120.00.
 
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GBP/USD Intraday: continuation of the rebound.
 
Pivot:
1.3400
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.3400 with targets at 1.3460 & 1.3485 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3400 look for further downside with 1.3380 & 1.3360 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a new upleg.
 
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GBP/JPY intraday : target 198.04
 
Our pivot point is at 199.87.
 
Our preference:
Target 198.04
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 199.87, look for 200.52 and 200.90.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The MACD must penetrate its zero line to expect further downside. Moreover, the price is below its 20 period moving average (199.26) but above its 50 period moving average (199.07).
 
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EUR/AUD intraday : Rebound
 
Our pivot point is at 1.7843.
 
Our preference:
Rebound
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.7843, expect 1.7803 and 1.7779.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The MACD must break above its zero level to trigger further gains. Moreover, the price stands above its 20 period moving average (1.7879) but below its 50 period moving average (1.7891).
 
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Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (U5)‎ Intraday: intraday support around 65.75.
 
Pivot:
65.75
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 65.75 with targets at 66.90 & 67.35 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 65.75 look for further downside with 65.05 & 64.55 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 66.90 and then at 67.35.
 
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USD/CAD Intraday: expect 1.3695.
 
Pivot:
1.3770
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.3770 with targets at 1.3715 & 1.3695 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3770 look for further upside with 1.3790 & 1.3810 as targets.
 
Comment:
A break below 1.3715 would trigger a drop towards 1.3695.
 
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Nvidia intraday : as long as 171.46 is support look for 177.03
 
Our pivot point is at 171.46.
 
Our preference:
As long as 171.46 is support look for 177.03
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 171.46, expect 169.49 and 168.32.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price could retrace. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 172.50 and 170.07).
 
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Tesla intraday : as long as 312.80 is support look for 332.62
 
Our pivot point is at 312.80.
 
Our preference:
As long as 312.80 is support look for 332.62
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 312.80, expect 305.59 and 301.31.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price could retrace. Moreover, the price is below its 20 period moving average (320.53) but above its 50 period moving average (317.53).
 
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