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Daily Market Newsletter
July 1, 2025
 
   
 
USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Nasdaq 100 (CME)   Gold   Dow Jones (CME)   GBP/USD   GBP/JPY   EUR/AUD   Crude Oil (WTI)   USD/CAD   Nvidia   Tesla  
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
USD/JPY Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
144.10
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 144.10 with targets at 143.20 & 142.80 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 144.10 look for further upside with 144.35 & 144.65 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 144.10 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 143.20 remains high.
 
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EUR/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.
 
Pivot:
1.1750
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.1750 with targets at 1.1820 & 1.1850 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1750 look for further downside with 1.1730 & 1.1710 as targets.
 
Comment:
The break above 1.1750 is a positive signal that has opened a path to 1.1820.
 
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Nasdaq 100 (CME)‎ (U5)‎ Intraday: intraday support around 22720.00.
 
Pivot:
22720.00
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 22720.00 with targets at 23000.00 & 23090.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 22720.00 look for further downside with 22600.00 & 22530.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is around its neutrality area at 50%
 
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Gold Intraday: expect 3335.00.
 
Pivot:
3296.00
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 3296.00 with targets at 3335.00 & 3350.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 3296.00 look for further downside with 3274.00 & 3263.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI shows upside momentum.
 
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Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U5)‎ Intraday: intraday support around 44080.00.
 
Pivot:
44080.00
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 44080.00 with targets at 44600.00 & 44800.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 44080.00 look for further downside with 43875.00 & 43750.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is around its neutrality area at 50%
 
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GBP/USD Intraday: further advance.
 
Pivot:
1.3700
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.3700 with targets at 1.3770 & 1.3790 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3700 look for further downside with 1.3670 & 1.3650 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI lacks downward momentum.
 
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GBP/JPY intraday : the downside prevails as long as 198.14 is resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 198.14.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 198.14 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 198.14, look for 198.74 and 199.10.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 197.73 and 197.77).
 
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EUR/AUD intraday : rebound towards 1.7996
 
Our pivot point is at 1.7862.
 
Our preference:
Rebound towards 1.7996
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.7862, expect 1.7814 and 1.7785.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The configuration is mixed. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.7906 and 1.7925).
 
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Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (Q5)‎ Intraday: choppy.
 
Pivot:
65.70
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 65.70 with targets at 64.50 & 64.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 65.70 look for further upside with 66.00 & 66.40 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
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USD/CAD Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
1.3650
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.3650 with targets at 1.3575 & 1.3540 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3650 look for further upside with 1.3680 & 1.3700 as targets.
 
Comment:
The break below 1.3650 is a negative signal that has opened a path to 1.3575.
 
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Nvidia intraday : as long as 156.44 is support look for 161.84
 
Our pivot point is at 156.44.
 
Our preference:
As long as 156.44 is support look for 161.84
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 156.44, expect 154.67 and 153.62.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price could retrace. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 157.34 and 155.99).
 
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Tesla intraday : the downside prevails as long as 323.94 is resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 323.94.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 323.94 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 323.94, look for 330.54 and 334.47.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 320.62 and 324.15).
 
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