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Daily Market Newsletter
July 2, 2025
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Dow Jones (CME)   Nasdaq 100 (CME)   GBP/JPY   EUR/AUD   USD/CAD   Nvidia   Tesla  
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (Q5)‎ Intraday: intraday support around 65.15.
 
Pivot:
65.15
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 65.15 with targets at 66.05 & 66.40 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 65.15 look for further downside with 64.70 & 64.20 as targets.
 
Comment:
A support base at 65.15 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
 
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Gold Intraday: consolidation in place.
 
Pivot:
3347.00
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 3347.00 with targets at 3320.00 & 3309.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 3347.00 look for further upside with 3357.00 & 3365.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 3347.00 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
 
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GBP/USD Intraday: continuation of the rebound.
 
Pivot:
1.3700
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.3700 with targets at 1.3785 & 1.3810 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3700 look for further downside with 1.3670 & 1.3650 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a rebound.
 
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USD/JPY Intraday: key resistance at 143.80.
 
Pivot:
143.80
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 143.80 with targets at 143.25 & 143.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 143.80 look for further upside with 144.10 & 144.50 as targets.
 
Comment:
The upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 143.80.
 
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EUR/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.
 
Pivot:
1.1760
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.1760 with targets at 1.1830 & 1.1855 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1760 look for further downside with 1.1730 & 1.1710 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI lacks downward momentum.
 
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Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U5)‎ Intraday: intraday support around 44600.00.
 
Pivot:
44600.00
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 44600.00 with targets at 45000.00 & 45320.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 44600.00 look for further downside with 44430.00 & 44230.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 45000.00 and then at 45320.00.
 
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Nasdaq 100 (CME)‎ (U5)‎ Intraday: key resistance at 22810.00.
 
Pivot:
22810.00
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 22810.00 with targets at 22600.00 & 22520.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 22810.00 look for further upside with 22930.00 & 23060.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 22810.00 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
 
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GBP/JPY intraday : under pressure below 197.60
 
Our pivot point is at 197.60.
 
Our preference:
Under pressure below 197.60
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 197.60, look for 198.20 and 198.55.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The MACD must penetrate its zero line to expect further downside. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 197.11 and 197.17).
 
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EUR/AUD intraday : the upside prevails as long as 1.7892 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 1.7892.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.7892 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.7892, expect 1.7844 and 1.7815.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.7928 and 1.7929).
 
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USD/CAD Intraday: consolidation.
 
Pivot:
1.3615
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.3615 with targets at 1.3670 & 1.3695 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3615 look for further downside with 1.3590 & 1.3570 as targets.
 
Comment:
Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
 
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Nvidia intraday : the downside prevails as long as 155.86 is resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 155.86.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 155.86 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 155.86, look for 157.59 and 158.63.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 155.29 and 156.07).
 
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Tesla intraday : rebound towards 315.48
 
Our pivot point is at 295.68.
 
Our preference:
Rebound towards 315.48
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 295.68, expect 289.55 and 285.90.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The configuration is mixed. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 307.56 and 317.77).
 
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