Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
July 18, 2026
 
   
 
Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Crude Oil (WTI)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  U.S. Market Overview:  
 
 
On Friday, U.S. equities stayed under pressure after China’s Moonshot AI released a new model that it claims outperforms some American systems, adding to worries about how much U.S. companies are spending to build AI infrastructure.

The S&P 500 fell 76.08 points (-1.01%) to 7,457.69, the Nasdaq 100 dropped 433.11 points (-1.49%) to 28,592.66, and the Dow declined 406.55 points (-0.77%) to 52,146.42. By sector, Energy (XLE) was the only gainer, while Communication Services (XLC), Consumer Discretionary (XLY), and Technology (XLK) lagged the most.
 
 
  U.S. Economic Developments:  
 
 
In June, housing starts surged 19% month over month, compared with expectations for no growth. Building permits, however, fell 3% in June, against a forecast for a 0.7% decline. Industrial production increased 0.1% month over month in June, missing the expected 0.2% gain. Meanwhile, Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index climbed to 54.4 in June, up from 50.4 expected in the preliminary reading.
 
 
  U.S. Equity News:  
 
 
Netflix (NFLX) declined 7.26% as its second-quarter revenue and its third-quarter adjusted EPS and revenue guidance came in below expectations.

SpaceX (SPCX) slid 5.43% after its Starship rocket triggered a last-second abort before liftoff for its 13th flight test from Texas as some of its 33 engines failed to start. Separately, late in the trading session, the WSJ reported that SPCX is in talks with the Defense Department about providing computing power.

Intuitive Surgical Inc (ISRG) dropped 14.15% after the company said that changes in coverage and premium dynamics may be impacting when patients seek care and move forward with treatment.

Travelers Companies (TRV) surged 9.22% after posting better-than-expected quarterly earnings.

Meta Platforms (META) fell 2.79%. The Facebook parent hired AWS executive Dave Brown to lead data center expansion for Meta Compute.
 
 
  Europe Market Overview:  
 
 
At the European close, the major indices in the region finished mostly lower, with the Germany's Dax falling 84pts (-0.34%) to 24830 while France's Cac 40 declined 39pts (-0.47%) to 8338. Conversely, the U.K.'s FTSE 100 climbed 28pts (+0.27%) to 10600.
 
 
  Global Macro, FX & Commodities:  
 
 
Rates & Risk Sentiment:

The VIX increased 2.04pts (+12.19%) to 18.77 and the US 10 year yield fell to 4.554%.

Precious Metals & Crude:

In the commodities market, Gold added 38.73 dollars (+0.98%) to 4008.67 and Silver rose 0.54 dollars (+0.98%) to 56.05.

WTI Crude Oil advanced 3.34 dollars (+4.23%) to 82.29 as U.S.-Iran tensions escalated.

The Dollar & Majors:

The dollar index dropped 0.03pts (-0.03%) to 100.734.

EUR/USD fell 2pips (-0.02%) to 1.1439.

GBP/USD slipped 22pips (-0.16%) to 1.3454.

USD/JPY rose 3pips (+0.02%) to 162.41.

USD/CHF retreated 14pips (-0.17%) to 0.8072.

AUD/USD declined 15pips (-0.21%) to 0.6981.

USD/CAD dipped 28pips (-0.2%) to 1.4013.

Digital Assets:

Finally, in the cryptocurrencies market, Bitcoin fell 130 dollars (-0.2%) to 63973 and Ethereum dropped 33 dollars (-1.77%) to 1838.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
52550
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 52550 with targets at 52150 & 51980 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 52550 look for further upside with 52780 & 52990 as targets.
 
Comment:
Technically the RSI is below its neutrality area at 50.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
7550
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 7550 with targets at 7455 & 7430 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 7550 look for further upside with 7575 & 7610 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : rebound towards 1.1480
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1417.
 
Our preference:
Rebound towards 1.1480
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1417, expect 1.1394 and 1.1380.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The configuration is mixed. Moreover, the price stands above its 20 period moving average (1.1435) but below its 50 period moving average (1.1439).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : Rebound
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3429.
 
Our preference:
Rebound
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3429, expect 1.3400 and 1.3382.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The MACD must break above its zero level to trigger further gains. Moreover, the price stands above its 20 period moving average (1.3445) but below its 50 period moving average (1.3459).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : the upside prevails as long as 162.28 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 162.28.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 162.28 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 162.28, expect 162.08 and 161.97.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 162.40 and 162.39).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday: aim @ 4024.
 
Pivot:
3990
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 3990 with targets at 4024 & 4040 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 3990 look for further downside with 3970 & 3953 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday: intraday support around 55.60.
 
Pivot:
55.60
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 55.60 with targets at 56.50 & 57.20 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 55.60 look for further downside with 54.80 & 54.40 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 56.50 and then at 57.20.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (Q6)‎ intraday: intraday support around 81.00.
 
Pivot:
81.00
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 81.00 with targets at 82.80 & 83.50 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 81.00 look for further downside with 80.55 & 79.70 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 82.80 and then at 83.50.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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