Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
Newsletter Header
 
DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
April 2, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Wednesday, U.S. stocks extended their rebound to a second session, with the Nasdaq 100 advancing a further 279 points (+1.18%) to 24,019, and the S&P 500 up 46 points (+0.72%) to 6,575.

The Dow Jones closed 224 points higher (+0.48%) at 46,565.

Market sentiment saw further improvement after U.S. President Donald Trump said in a social-media post that Iran’s "new regime president" has asked the U.S. for a ceasefire, and he demanded the Strait of Hormuz be fully opened up.

Meanwhile, Trump will deliver a national address giving an update on the Iran war on Wednesday night.

U.S. crude-oil futures came under further pressure, struggling to hold the key level of 100 dollars a barrel.

Alphabet (GOOGL) outperformed the market as well as other tech giants, rising 3.42% after jumping more than 5% in the prior session.

Tesla (TSLA) gained 2.56%, Meta (META) added 1.24%, and Amazon (AMZN) was up 1.10%.

Semiconductor stocks accelerated to the upside, with Micron Technology (MU) jumping 8.88%, Intel (INTC) up 8.84%, and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) up 3.33%.

Data-storage stocks also showed stellar performance, with Western Digital (WDC) surging 10.07%, Sandisk (SNDK) up 9.03%, and Seagate Technology (STX) up 8.00%.

Eli Lilly (LLY) closed 3.78% higher after the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved the company’s latest weight-loss drug.

On the other hand, energy companies saw increased pressure, with Exxon Mobil (XOM) falling 5.23%, Chevron (CVX) down 4.59%, and Occidental Petroleum (OXY) down 4.19%.

Nike (NKE) plummeted 15.51%, becoming the worst-performing stock in the S&P 500. The sports-wear maker said it expects sales to decline in the current quarter.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield was little changed at 4.321%.

European stocks posted a three-session rebound, with the DAX 40 rising 2.73%, the CAC 40 up 2.10%, and the FTSE 100 up 1.85%.

Gold price increased 89 dollars (+1.91%) to 4,758 dollars an ounce, posting a four-session rally.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
The U.S. dollar weakened further against other major currencies, as investors became more risk-tolerant amid improved market sentiment.

The dollar index fell to 99.59.

Regarding U.S. economic data, retail sales grew 0.6% month on month in February (vs +0.3% expected, -0.1% in January).

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing index edged up to 52.7 in March (vs 52.0 expected, 52.4 in February).

USD/JPY added 11 pips to 158.82. The Bank of Japan Tankan large manufacturers index rose to 17 in the first quarter, better than expected.

EUR/USD gained 34 pips to 1.1586.

GBP/USD exceeded the level of 1.3300, and AUD/USD was above 0.6900.

USD/CHF still failed to break above 0.8000, slipping to 0.7942.

USD/CAD eased further to 1.3875.

Bitcoin was largely flat at 68,200 dollars.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, U.S. President Donald Trump said his country is on track to complete all military objectives in Iran very shortly but warned that the U.S. will hit Iran "extremely hard" over the next 2 to 3 weeks.

U.S. crude-oil futures bounced 4% to levels around 104 U.S. dollars a barrel.

Meanwhile, AUD/USD retreated to 0.6886. Australia's trade surplus for February totaled 5.7 billion Australian dollars, above 1.5 billion Australian dollars estimated.

EUR/USD dropped to 1.1546 and GBP/USD slid to 1.3245.

USD/JPY rebounded to 159.45.

Gold fell to 4,677 dollars.

Bitcoin was down to 66,784 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
In the U.S., the weekly initial jobless claims are estimated at 213,000, while trade deficit for February is expected at 60 billion U.S. dollars.

Canada's trade deficit for February is estimated at 1.8 billion Canadian dollars.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (K6)‎ Intraday: continuation of the rebound.
 
Pivot:
100.30
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 100.30 with targets at 106.80 & 109.50 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 100.30 look for further downside with 98.00 & 96.50 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI advocates for further advance.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
4765
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 4765 with targets at 4630 & 4600 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4765 look for further upside with 4800 & 4840 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD Intraday: turning down.
 
Pivot:
1.3315
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.3315 with targets at 1.3215 & 1.3180 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3315 look for further upside with 1.3345 & 1.3370 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a new downleg.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY Intraday: further advance.
 
Pivot:
158.65
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 158.65 with targets at 159.60 & 159.95 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 158.65 look for further downside with 158.30 & 158.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a new upleg.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD Intraday: turning down.
 
Pivot:
1.1605
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.1605 with targets at 1.1520 & 1.1490 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1605 look for further upside with 1.1630 & 1.1650 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a new downleg.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
74.90
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 74.90 with targets at 70.50 & 68.90 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 74.90 look for further upside with 76.10 & 77.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI has broken down its 30 level.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: turning down.
 
Pivot:
46900
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 46900 with targets at 46150 & 45950 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 46900 look for further upside with 47100 & 47300 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a slump.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: turning down.
 
Pivot:
6620
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 6620 with targets at 6520 & 6490 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 6620 look for further upside with 6650 & 6675 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
Banner Ad
     
 
 
  Twitter   LinkedIn   Instagram   FaceBook   YouTube  
 
 
 
 
TRADING FOREIGN EXCHANGE ON MARGIN CARRIES A HIGH LEVEL OF RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS.

THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS THAT YOU COULD SUSTAIN A LOSS OF SOME OR ALL OF YOUR INITIAL INVESTMENT AND THEREFORE YOU SHOULD NOT INVEST MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD TO LOSE.

THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE CAN WORK AGAINST YOU AS WELL AS FOR YOU. BEFORE DECIDING TO TRADE FOREIGN EXCHANGE OR CFD’S YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES, LEVEL OF EXPERIENCE, AND RISK APPETITE.

YOU SHOULD BE AWARE OF ALL THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH FOREIGN EXCHANGE AND OTHER CFD TRADING, AND SEEK ADVICE FROM AN INDEPENDENT FINANCIAL ADVISOR IF YOU HAVE ANY DOUBTS. VPFX RECOMMENDS READING THE RISK DISCLOSURE SECTION OF THE PROSPECTUS FOR ANY FINANCIAL PRODUCT MENTIONED.

VPFX is the trading name for Ventura Prime FX Limited with registration number LL16224 registered in Labuan F.T., Malaysia.

Ventura Prime FX Limited is authorised and regulated by the Labuan Financial Services Authority (LFSA). Registered Address:Kensington Gardens, No U1317, Lot 7616, Jalan Jumidar Buyong, 87000 Labuan Federal Territory, Malaysia

 
 
 
 
Client Logo
 
Ventura Prime FX Limited
Trading Central