Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
February 5, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Wednesday, U.S. technology stocks continued to see pressure, with the Nasdaq 100 falling a further 447 points (-1.77%) to 24,891.

The S&P 500 declined 35 points (-0.51%) to 6,882, while the Dow Jones rebounded 260 points (+0.53%) to 49,501.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) plummeted 17.31%, the biggest single-day decline since May 2017, as the company’s sales forecast for the first quarter failed to impress investors.

Nvidia (NVDA) dropped 3.41%, extending its decline to a fourth session.

Also, Sandisk (SNDK) retreated 15.95%, Micron (MU) slid 9.55%, and Intel (INTC) was down 1.32%.

Most tech giants remained weak, with Tesla (TSLA) falling 3.78%, Meta (META) down 3.28%, and Amazon (AMZN) down 2.36%.

Meanwhile, Apple (AAPL) gained 2.60%, and Microsoft (MSFT) was up 0.72%.

After reporting quarterly results, Super Micro Computer (SMCI) surged 13.78%, Eli Lilly (LLY) jumped 10.33%, and Enphase Energy (ENPH) soared 38.60%.

Alphabet (GOOGL) closed 1.96% lower and eased a further 2% in after-market hours, after the tech giant said its full-year capital expenditure could reach up to 185 billion dollars, much more than expected.

In Europe, the DAX 40 fell 0.72%, while the CAC 40 rose 1.01%, and the FTSE 100 was up 0.85%.

Gold struggled to regain the key level of 5,000 dollars an ounce.

U.S. WTI crude futures jumped 1.93 dollars (+3.05%) to 65.14 dollars a barrel. Traders appeared to be not optimistic over planned talks between the U.S. and Iran to de-escalate tensions between the countries.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
The U.S. dollar regained some strength against other major currencies, with the dollar index rising to 97.66.

The U.S. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) services index held steady at 53.8 in January.

The ADP jobs report showed that the U.S. economy added 22,000 private jobs in January, fewer than expected.

EUR/USD declined 15 pips to 1.1803. Later today, the European Central Bank is expected to keep its key interest rate unchanged at 2.15%.

The Eurozone's inflation rate slowed to 1.7% year-on-year in January from 2.0% in December.

USD/JPY jumped 116 pips to 156.89.

GBP/USD fell 47 pips to 1.3650. Later today, the Bank of England is expected to keep its key interest rate unchanged at 3.75%.

AUD/USD dropped 27 pips to 0.6995.

USD/CHF gained 21 pips to 0.7770, and USD/CAD added 27 pips to 1.3667.

Bitcoin remained subdued, slumping over 4% to 72,500 dollars.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, AUD/USD slid to 0.6966. Australia's trade surplus totaled 3.37 billion Australian dollars in December, below 4.90 billion Australian dollars estimated.

Meanwhile, EUR/USD slipped to 1.1788 and GBP/USD dropped to 1.3625.

USD/JPY was steady at 156.85.

Gold declined to 4,860 dollars.

Bitcoin remained subdued at 71,412 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
The European Central Bank is expected to keep its main interest rates unchanged, with the deposit facility rate staying at 2.00%. Also, the eurozone's retail sales are expected to increase by 0.2% month-on-month in December.

Germany's factory orders are estimated to drop 4.2% month-on-month in December.

France's industrial production is expected to grow 0.3% month-on-month in December.

In the U.K., the Bank of England is expected to keep its benchmark rate unchanged at 3.75%.

In the U.S., weekly initial jobless claims are estimated at 214,000.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: intraday support around 63.45.
 
Pivot:
63.45
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 63.45 with targets at 64.65 & 65.20 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 63.45 look for further downside with 62.90 & 62.10 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed and calls for caution.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: consolidation in place.
 
Pivot:
5020
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 5020 with targets at 4745 & 4620 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 5020 look for further upside with 5090 & 5240 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed with a bearish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD Intraday: towards 1.3590.
 
Pivot:
1.3660
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.3660 with targets at 1.3590 & 1.3570 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3660 look for further upside with 1.3685 & 1.3710 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI lacks upward momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY Intraday: 157.10 in sight.
 
Pivot:
156.60
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 156.60 with targets at 157.10 & 157.40 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 156.60 look for further downside with 156.40 & 156.10 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a new upleg.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD Intraday: expect 1.1775.
 
Pivot:
1.1810
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.1810 with targets at 1.1775 & 1.1760 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1810 look for further upside with 1.1825 & 1.1840 as targets.
 
Comment:
A break below 1.1775 would trigger a drop towards 1.1760.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: towards 67.00.
 
Pivot:
83.50
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 83.50 with targets at 71.30 & 67.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 83.50 look for further upside with 88.80 & 92.10 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI has broken down its 30 level.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: watch 49900.
 
Pivot:
49390
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 49390 with targets at 49900 & 50000 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 49390 look for further downside with 49240 & 48930 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 49900 and then at 50000.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: key resistance at 6945.
 
Pivot:
6945
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 6945 with targets at 6870 & 6850 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 6945 look for further upside with 6965 & 7000 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 6945 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 6870 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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