Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
May 21, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: pre-opening session  
 
 
U.S. market futures turn down after Reuters reported Iran’s supreme leader has ordered that the country’s near-weapons-grade uranium remain inside the country.

On Wednesday, major U.S. stock indexes rebounded more than 1% amid falling oil prices, as press reports pointed to progress in negotiations toward a peace agreement in Iran.

The S&P 500 rose 79 points (+1.08%) to 7,432, and the Nasdaq 100 was up 478 points (+1.66%) to 29,297.

The Dow Jones climbed 645 points (+1.31%) to 50,009.

On the economic plan in the U.S. according to the Federal Reserve’s latest policy-meeting minutes, a majority of central bank officials anticipated that rate hikes would be necessary in the case of elevated inflation, which is caused by rising energy prices linked to the Iran war.

On the stat front in the U.S. the S&P Global manufacturing purchasing managers index is expected at 53.0 in May in first reading vs 54.5 a month earlier. The same index regarding services sector is estimated at 51.1 vs 51 in April. Separately, housing starts are expected to be down 3.5% month-on-month in April and building permits are anticipated to grow 0.5% for the same period. In addition, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index is anticipated AT 19.0 in May VS 26.7 a month earlier. Finally, weekly initial jobless claims are estimated at 210,000.

European indices pare earlier gains to trade red. On the stat plan, eurozone's S&P Global composite purchasing managers index fell to 47.5 in May in first estimate (49.5 expected) from 48.8 a month earlier. Meanwhile U.K's S&P Global manufacturing purchasing managers index declined to 48.5 (51.9 anticipated) from 52.6 in April.

Asian indexes bounced, tracking Wall Street's gains. On the stat side, in Japan the S&P Global composite purchasing managers index fell to 51.1 in May in first reading (51.8 expected) from 52.2 in April. Separately, Japan's exports rose 14.8% year-on-year in April, above 9.3% expected, while machinery orders dropped 9.4% month-on-month in March, compared with -3.3% estimated. In Australia, employment fell 18,600 in April, compared with +10,000 expected, while jobless rate climbed to 4.5%, above 4.3% estimated.

WTI crude oil prices rebound following Reuters report.

Gold and silver both lose ground after having slightly rebounding yesterday.

Bitcoin slightly eases around 77,000 dollars.
 
 
  Premarket news  
 
 
Nvidia (NVDA), a chip giant, is broadly steady despite posting quarterly financial figures that beat estimates. Investors’ expectations regarding the release were very high however. Revenue in the company’s data center division doubled from a year earlier to 75.2 billion dollars, accounting for 92% of the company’s total revenue. Nvidia also announced 80.0 billion dollars additional share repurchase authorization and increased its quarterly cash dividend from 0.01 dollar per share to 0.25 dollar per share. Separately, in a filing, the company said: "some of our customers are developing their own ASICs and other products, including designs optimized for certain workloads that may not require all of the features and functionality our data center systems provide".

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), another chip giant, "announced more than 10 billion dollars in investments across the Taiwan ecosystem to expand strategic partnerships and scale advanced packaging manufacturing for next-generation AI infrastructure."

Walmart (WMT), a retailer, loses some ground after reporting quarterly adjusted EPS in-line with expectations and maintaining full-year forecast.

IBM (IBM), a global technology and consulting firm focused on cloud and AI, jumps as The Wall Street Journal reported the company will receive 1 billion dollars from the U.S. to boost quantum computing. Another 1 billion dollars of awards will be split between eight other quantum-computing companies such as D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) or Rigetti Computing (RGTI).

Intuit (INTU), a developer and marketer of accounting software for small and medium sized businesses, tumbles as quarterly sales missed expectations. Also, the company announced plans to cut 17% of its workforce.

E.l.f. Beauty (ELF), a beauty company, jumps as quarterly financial figures topped estimates.

Bloom Energy (BE), a provider of solid oxide fuel cell systems, gains ground after announcing an agreement with Nebius (NBIS), an AI cloud company, to deploy Bloom’s fuel cell technology to help power Nebius’s AI infrastructure build-out.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
No major earnings expected
 
 
  Canada  
 
 
Earning Release:

CAE Inc (CAE)

On Wednesday, the S&P/TSX Composite Index jumped 1.25% to 34,162, while the S&P/TSX 60 Index surged 1.26% to 1,996.

Torex Gold Resources (TXG), a mining company, announced "the appointment of Dan Rollins as the Company's CFO. Mr. Rollins, who currently serves as the Company's Senior Vice President, Corporate Development & Investor Relations, will replace Andrew Snowden following the Company's Annual and Special Shareholder Meeting on June 17, 2026, at which time Mr. Snowden will assume the role of President and CEO."
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (N6)‎ intraday: caution.
 
Pivot:
101.00
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 101.00 with targets at 97.95 & 97.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 101.00 look for further upside with 102.60 & 104.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The index currently faces a challenging resistance area at 101.00.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday: caution.
 
Pivot:
4500
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 4500 with targets at 4550 & 4570 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4500 look for further downside with 4485 & 4467 as targets.
 
Comment:
A support base at 4500 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday: caution.
 
Pivot:
1.1600
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.1600 with targets at 1.1645 & 1.1660 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1600 look for further downside with 1.1575 & 1.1560 as targets.
 
Comment:
A support base at 1.1600 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday: choppy.
 
Pivot:
1.3400
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.3400 with targets at 1.3460 & 1.3480 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3400 look for further downside with 1.3375 & 1.3355 as targets.
 
Comment:
Intraday technical indicators are mixed.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday: key resistance at 159.20.
 
Pivot:
159.20
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 159.20 with targets at 158.60 & 158.40 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 159.20 look for further upside with 159.40 & 159.60 as targets.
 
Comment:
The upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 159.20.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday: caution.
 
Pivot:
74.40
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 74.40 with targets at 76.10 & 76.90 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 74.40 look for further downside with 73.80 & 73.05 as targets.
 
Comment:
A support base at 74.40 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (M6)‎ intraday: towards 50580.
 
Pivot:
49800
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 49800 with targets at 50280 & 50580 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 49800 look for further downside with 49540 & 49290 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a new upleg.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (M6)‎ intraday: bullish bias above 7407.
 
Pivot:
7407
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7407 with targets at 7496 & 7530 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7407 look for further downside with 7377 & 7355 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a new upleg.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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