Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
October 3, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
 
On Friday, the major indices in the U.S. finished higher, with equities gaining as weaker-than-expected labour market data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may have greater scope to ease monetary policy in the months ahead.

The S&P 500 advanced 56pts (+0.73%) to 7,722.

The Nasdaq 100 gained 306pts (+1%) to 30,807.

The Dow rose 250pts (+0.49%) to 51,176.

On the sector front, Consumer Discretionary (XLY), Technology (XLK), and Industrials (XLI) outperformed, while Health Care (XLV), Financials (XLF), and Energy (XLE) underperformed the most.

Looking at the latest U.S. economic data, labour market data came in weaker than expected in September, with nonfarm payrolls rising by just 29,000, well below the 90,000 forecast. The prior month was revised down to 133,000 from 162,000. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate edged up to 4.2%, above the 4.1% expected and 4.1% previously. U.S. factory orders rose 0.1% month-on-month in August, in line with expectations, slowing from a revised 0.9% increase in July.

U.S. Equity News:

Teradyne (TER), a semiconductor test-equipment company, jumped 8% amid strong AI-driven demand for its HBM, DRAM and NAND memory-testing solutions.

Seagate Technology (STX), a hard-drive manufacturer, tumbled 10% after a report that Toshiba plans to double production capacity for AI data-center hard drives in fiscal 2027, raising concerns about increased supply and pricing pressure.

EchoStar (ECHO), a satellite communications company, jumped 6.8% after its DISH DBS subsidiary amended several secured and unsecured note agreements following its emergence from bankruptcy.

Nike (NKE), a sportswear and athletic footwear company, fell 3.64% after issuing a weaker-than-expected full-year outlook, forecasting earnings below estimates and a steeper revenue decline.

Tesla (TSLA), an electric vehicle and clean-energy company, jumped 4.65% after third-quarter vehicle deliveries topped Wall Street expectations.

Volatility & Commodities Snapshot:

The VIX index fell 1.08pt (-6.59%) to 15.31.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose approximately 4 basis points to 5.28%.

In the commodities market, gold fell 38.42 dollars (-0.92%) to 4,139.34.

Silver declined 0.45 dollars (-0.74%) to 60.40.

WTI crude oil slipped 1.37 dollars (-1.48%) to 91.50.

Europe Market Overview:

At the European close, the major indices in the region finished in positive territory.

Germany's DAX gained 291pts (+1.17%) to 25,231.

France's CAC 40 rose 61pts (+0.79%) to 7,897.

The U.K.'s FTSE 100 advanced 33pts (+0.32%) to 10,461.

On the economic data front, eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.8% year-on-year in a preliminary September reading, above the 3.6% expected and up from 3.2% in August.

Foreign Exchange & Crypto Wrap:

The dollar index fell 0.19pt (-0.18%) to 101.914.

EUR/USD rose 10pips (+0.09%) to 1.1251.

GBP/USD advanced 39pips (+0.3%) to 1.3238.

USD/JPY fell 22pips (-0.14%) to 157.85.

USD/CHF slipped 23pips (-0.28%) to 0.8284.

AUD/USD rose 25pips (+0.36%) to 0.6954.

In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin fell 202 dollars (-0.24%) to 84,414, while Ethereum dropped 29 dollars (-1.08%) to 2,668.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (X6)‎ intraday: watch 93.70.
 
Pivot:
88.00
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 88.00 with targets at 93.70 & 96.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 88.00 look for further downside with 86.00 & 85.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed and calls for caution.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (Z6)‎ intraday: turning up.
 
Pivot:
51200
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 51200 with targets at 52000 & 52300 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 51200 look for further downside with 50980 & 50860 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (Z6)‎ intraday: rebound in sight.
 
Pivot:
7750
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7750 with targets at 7810 & 7825 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7750 look for further downside with 7725 & 7705 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : Look for 1.1301
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1241.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.1241 is support, with 1.1301 and 1.1312 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1241, expect 1.1222 and 1.1211.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1254 and 1.1250).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : Watch 1.3279
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3205.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.3205 is support, with 1.3279 and 1.3294 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3205, expect 1.3179 and 1.3164.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3228 and 1.3212).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : Target 156.93
 
Our pivot point is at 158.27.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 158.27 is resistance, with 156.93 and 156.67 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 158.27, look for 158.71 and 158.97.
 
Comment:
A break of the next key level will determine the market's next direction.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday : Aim at 4,101
 
Our pivot point is at 4,202.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 4,202 is resistance, with 4,101 and 4,075 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4,202, look for 4,245 and 4,270.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 4,164 and 4,172).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday : Rebound or deeper decline ahead?
 
Our pivot point is at 62.31.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 62.31 is resistance, with 59.78 and 59.14 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 62.31, look for 63.39 and 64.03.
 
Comment:
Prices are now edging toward our first target. Should this level be reached, a pullback is likely to surface; yet a convincing break below it could open the door to further losses.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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