Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
April 29, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Tuesday, major U.S. stock indexes came under pressure, with the S&P 500 slipping 35 points (-0.49%) to 7,138, and the Nasdaq 100 down 276 points (-1.01%) to 27,029.

The Dow Jones eased a further 25 points (-0.05%) to 49,141.

The Wall Street Journal reported that artificial-intelligence (AI) developer OpenAI recently missed internal sales and user-number targets, renewing concerns about overspending in the AI sector.

As a result, shares of companies having partnerships with OpenAI were dragged, with Oracle (ORCL) falling 4.05%, CoreWeave (CRWV) down 5.83%, Nvidia (NVDA) down 1.59%, and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) down 3.41%.

Semiconductor stocks saw further pressure, with Arm Holdings (ARM) losing 7.98%, ON Semiconductor (ON) down 4.83%, Broadcom (AVGO) down 4.39%, and Micron (MU) down 3.86%.

Energy stocks posted gains, with ConocoPhillips (COP) rising 2.17%, Chevron (CVX) up 1.94%, and Exxon Mobil (XOM) up 1.60%.

After posting quarterly results, Coca-Cola (KO) gained 3.86%, Centene (CNC) jumped 13.93%, Nucor (NUE) rose 4.70%, while Spotify (SPOT) plunged 12.43%.

In after-market hours, after reported earnings, Seagate Technology (STX) surged 16% and Starbucks (SBUX) rose 5%, while Robinhood Markets (HOOD) dropped 9% and Booking Holdings (BKNG) was down 4%.

The U.S. Federal Reserve will decide on interest rates on Wednesday.

And after the bell on Wednesday, tech giants Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOGL), Meta (META) and Microsoft (MSFT) will report quarterly earnings.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield added one basis point to 4.350%.

In Europe, the DAX 40 closed 0.27% lower, the CAC 40 dropped 0.46%, while the FTSE 100 edged up 0.11%.

U.S. WTI crude futures for June delivery settled 3.56 dollars higher (+3.70%) at 99.93 dollars a barrel. The Strait of Hormuz remained effectively closed while a deal to end the U.S.-Iran war was still uncertain.

The United Arab Emirates announced its decision to exit the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), citing long-term strategic and economic vision and evolving energy profile.

Gold price fell 85 dollars (-1.82%) to 4,596 dollars an ounce.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
The U.S. dollar remained stable, with the dollar index firming up to 98.62.

The U.S. Conference Board consumer confidence index improved slightly to 92.8 in April, better than expected.

USD/JPY rose 19 pips to 159.61. As expected, the Bank of Japan kept its key interest rate unchanged at 0.75%. However, the central bank sharply revised up its inflation forecast, raising market expectations that it will hike rates in coming months.

EUR/USD dipped 7 pips to 1.1713, and GBP/USD slipped 13 pips to 1.3517.

USD/CHF advanced 38 pips to 0.7889, and USD/CAD rebounded 61 pips to 1.3684.

Bitcoin fell alongside risk assets, declining over 1% to 76,200 dollars.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, AUD/USD slipped to 0.7165. Australia's inflation rate bounced to 4.6% year-on-year in March, below 4.8% expected.

Meanwhile, EUR/USD and GBP/USD were both little changed, at 1.1710 and 1.3515 respectively.

USD/JPY held steady at 159.62.

Gold was broadly flat at 4,598 dollars.

Bitcoin remained subdued at 76,446 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
Germany's inflation rate is expected to bounce to 3.1% year-on-year in April.

In the U.S., the Federal Reserve is expected to keep its Fed funds rate unchanged at 3.50% - 3.75%. Also, durable goods orders are estimated to grow 0.8% month-on-month in March, while housing starts and building permits are both estimated to drop 0.7%.

The Bank of Canada is expected to keep its benchmark rate unchanged at 2.25%.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: further advance.
 
Pivot:
100.30
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 100.30 with targets at 105.70 & 108.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 100.30 look for further downside with 98.40 & 97.40 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: key resistance at 4610.
 
Pivot:
4610
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 4610 with targets at 4555 & 4530 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4610 look for further upside with 4635 & 4660 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 4610 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 4555 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD Intraday: intraday support around 1.3485.
 
Pivot:
1.3485
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.3485 with targets at 1.3540 & 1.3570 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3485 look for further downside with 1.3460 & 1.3440 as targets.
 
Comment:
Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY Intraday: further advance.
 
Pivot:
159.50
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 159.50 with targets at 159.85 & 160.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 159.50 look for further downside with 159.20 & 158.95 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD Intraday: bullish bias above 1.1690.
 
Pivot:
1.1690
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.1690 with targets at 1.1730 & 1.1750 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1690 look for further downside with 1.1675 & 1.1660 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI lacks downward momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: consolidation in place.
 
Pivot:
73.90
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 73.90 with targets at 72.10 & 71.10 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 73.90 look for further upside with 74.30 & 74.90 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 73.90 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 72.10 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: intraday support around 49230.
 
Pivot:
49230
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 49230 with targets at 49420 & 49550 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 49230 look for further downside with 49160 & 49090 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed and calls for caution.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: intraday support around 7160.
 
Pivot:
7160
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7160 with targets at 7188 & 7208 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7160 look for further downside with 7145 & 7125 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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