Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
March 14, 2026
 
   
 
Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Crude Oil (WTI)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  U.S. Market Overview:  
 
 
The major indices finished the trading week in negative fashion as the S&P 500 slipped 40pts (-0.61%) to 6632, the Nasdaq 100 dropped 152pts (-0.62%) to 24380, and the Dow declined 119pts (-0.26%) to 46558. On the sector front, the outperforming sectors were Utilities (XLU), Consumer Staples (XLP), and Energy (XLE) while Materials (XLB), Technology (XLK), and Communication Services (XLC) underperformed the most.

The major indices experienced a decline in performance on a weekly basis, with the S&P 500 (SPX) down 1.60%, the Nasdaq 100 slipping 1.06%, and the Dow falling 1.99%. Sector performance was mixed, with Financials (XLF) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) being the hardest hit, while the Energy sector (XLE) stood out as a top performer.
 
 
  U.S. Economic Developments:  
 
 
On Friday, investors received a slew of economic data updates. The January Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, a key inflation gauge for the Federal Reserve, rose 2.7% year-over-year, in line with expectations and down from December's 2.9%. However, the Core PCE Price Index, which excludes volatile items, increased 3.1% year-over-year, surpassing the expected 3% and matching the previous month's rate.

In a separate report, the second estimate of fourth-quarter 2023 GDP growth was revised downward to 0.7%, falling short of the expected 1.4% and significantly lower than the 4.4% growth recorded in the prior quarter.

On a more positive note, personal spending rose 0.4% in January, beating the expected 0.3%, while personal income also exceeded forecasts, increasing 0.4% versus the anticipated 0.2%. However, durable goods orders remained flat in January, contrary to expectations of a 0.3% increase.

Consumer sentiment, as measured by the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, deteriorated to 55.5 in March, according to a preliminary reading. This was slightly better than the expected decline to 55 from 56.6 in the previous month.
 
 
  U.S. Equity News:  
 
 
Apple (AAPL) shares fell 2.21% after the company announced it would be reducing its commission fees for developers on the App Store in mainland China, from 30% to 25%, in response to regulatory pressure.

Meta Platforms (META) declined 3.83% following reports that the launch of its new AI model, "Avocado", has been delayed, according to the New York Times.

Boeing (BA) rose 2.51% after securing a $2.34 billion contract modification with the US Air Force, bringing the total contract value to $4.91 billion.

Adobe (ADBE) plummeted 7.58% despite releasing quarterly financial results that exceeded expectations, as investors reacted to the news that CEO Shantanu Narayen would be stepping down after 18 years, with plans to remain as Chair of the Board.

Ulta Beauty (ULTA) shares plummeted 14.24% after the company reported quarterly earnings that failed to meet investor expectations.

SentinelOne (S) surged 5.37% after achieving a milestone of over $1 billion in revenue for the full year of 2026, despite providing disappointing guidance for the first quarter of 2027. The stock maintained its "Outperform" rating from Oppenheimer and "Buy" rating from Canaccord Genuity.
 
 
  Europe Market Overview:  
 
 
At the European close, the major indices in the region finished lower. Germany's Dax dropped 142pts (-0.6%) to 23447, France's Cac 40 fell 72pts (-0.91%) to 7911, and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 slid 44pts (-0.43%) to 10261.

The UK's GDP experienced no growth in January on a monthly basis, following a modest 0.1% increase in December. Meanwhile, industrial production in the Eurozone declined by 1.5% in January compared to the previous month, which was worse than the expected 0.9% gain and a more significant drop than the revised 0.6% decrease in December (initially reported as a 1.4% decline).
 
 
  Global Macro, FX & Commodities:  
 
 
Rates & Risk Sentiment:

The US 10 year yield rose to 4.283% while the VIX slipped 0.1pts (-0.37%) to 27.19 on Friday.

Precious Metals & Crude:

Gold fell $63.99 (-1.26%) to $5014.9 while Silver dropped $3.47 (-4.14%) to $80.29. On the other hand, WTI Crude Oil advanced $3.04 (+3.18%) to $98.77.

The Dollar & Majors:

The dollar index rose 0.78pts (+0.78%) to 100.516.

EUR/USD dropped 99 pips (-0.86%) to 1.1411.

GBP/USD slipped 123 pips (-0.92%) to 1.3218.

USD/JPY gained 39 pips (+0.24%) to 159.72.

USD/CHF advanced 56 pips (+0.71%) to 0.7914.

AUD/USD fell 93 pips (-1.31%) to 0.6981.

USD/CAD climbed 87 pips (+0.64%) to 1.3725. In Canada, the unemployment rate rose to 6.7% in February, as expected, while full time employment saw a loss of 108,400, against a 30,000 loss forecasted, marking the largest monthly decline in employment since January 2022

Digital Assets:

Cryptocurrencies saw positive trading, with Bitcoin rising $1108 (+1.58%) to $71302 while Ethereum gained $47 (+2.3%) to $2110.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
46880
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 46880 with targets at 46460 & 46160 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 46880 look for further upside with 47030 & 47240 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: watch 6600.
 
Pivot:
6675
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 6675 with targets at 6620 & 6600 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 6675 look for further upside with 6710 & 6735 as targets.
 
Comment:
A break below 6620 would trigger a drop towards 6600.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : the RSI is oversold
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1436.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.1436 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1436, look for 1.1459 and 1.1473.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below 30. It could either mean that the price is in a lasting downtrend or just oversold and therefore bound to retrace (look for bullish divergence in this case). The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1449 and 1.1478).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : rebound towards 1.3295
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3189.
 
Our preference:
Rebound towards 1.3295
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3189, expect 1.3150 and 1.3127.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below 30. It could either mean that the price is in a lasting downtrend or just oversold and therefore bound to retrace (look for bullish divergence in this case). The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The configuration is mixed. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3248 and 1.3294).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : the upside prevails as long as 159.21 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 159.21.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 159.21 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 159.21, expect 158.59 and 158.21.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 159.49 and 159.41).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
5068
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 5068 with targets at 4995 & 4960 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 5068 look for further upside with 5125 & 5155 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 5068 is resistance, likely decline to 4995.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
82.00
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 82.00 with targets at 79.60 & 77.90 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 82.00 look for further upside with 83.00 & 84.40 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (J6)‎ Intraday: further upside.
 
Pivot:
95.00
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 95.00 with targets at 100.50 & 103.50 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 95.00 look for further downside with 92.75 & 90.30 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 100.50 and then at 103.50.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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