Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
March 13, 2026
 
   
 
Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Crude Oil (WTI)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  U.S. Market Overview:  
 
 
On Thursday, the U.S. stock market finished lower, on rising oil prices as investors fear a prolonged conflict in the Middle East.

The S&P 500 slipped 103pts (-1.52%) to 6,672, the Nasdaq 100 fell 431pts (-1.73%) to 24,533, and the Dow tumbled 739pts (-1.56%) to 46,677.

The majority of sectors experienced losses, with Industrials (XLI), Consumer Discretionary (XLY), and Technology (XLK) being the hardest hit. However, Energy (XLE) and Utilities (XLU) bucked the trend, emerging as the only two sectors to post gains.
 
 
  U.S. Economic Developments:  
 
 
The latest jobless claims data showed a decline in initial claims for the week ending March 7, falling to 213,000. This beat expectations of 217,000.

In housing news, January saw a 7.2% month-over-month increase in housing starts, defying expectations of a 2.4% decline. However, building permits declined by 5.4% on the month, which was a larger drop than the 1.5% decrease that was forecast.

The January Balance of Trade report revealed a deficit of $54.5 billion, which was smaller than the predicted $65 billion deficit and the revised December deficit of $70.3 billion (from an initially reported $70.3 billion deficit).
 
 
  U.S. Equity News:  
 
 
Nvidia (NVDA) traded 1.55% lower today. The chip giant unveiled Nemotron 3 Super, a new AI model aimed at enabling advanced autonomous AI systems that can execute multi-step tasks.

Occidental Petroleum (OXY) climbed 5.09% after receiving upgrades from Wells Fargo and Piper Sandler, which raised their ratings to "Overweight" and "Overweight" from "Underweight" and "Neutral", respectively.

UiPath (PATH) dropped 8.16% after its current quarter earnings guidance failed to impress investors.

Netskope (NTSK) plunged 21.27% due to disappointing guidance that fell short of investor expectations.

Mosaic (MOS) and CF Industries (CF) gained 7.58% and 13.21%, respectively, as agricultural commodity producers surged amid growing concerns about a potential global fertilizer shortage, triggered by the ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

Morgan Stanley (MS) tumbled 4.05% after a regulatory filing revealed that the company had limited redemptions from one of its private credit funds.

Dollar General (DG) slid 6.14% on disappointing full-year guidance that fell short of investor expectations.
 
 
  Europe Market Overview:  
 
 
The major European indices finished in negative territory. Germany's Dax fell 50pts (-0.21%) to 23,589, France's Cac 40 declined 57pts (-0.71%) to 7,984, and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 dropped 48pts (-0.47%) to 10,305.
 
 
  Global Macro, FX & Commodities:  
 
 
Rates & Risk Sentiment:

The VIX jumped 3.06pts (+12.63%) to 27.29 while the US 10 year yield climbed to 4.269%.

Precious Metals & Crude:

Precious metals were under pressure as Gold fell $101.31 (-1.96%) to $5,074.14 while Silver dropped $2.25 (-2.62%) to $83.54.

Meanwhile, WTI Crude Oil advanced $8.7 (+9.97%) to $95.95 after multiple ships were targeted in the Strait of Hormuz. In response to the escalating tensions, the U.S. Treasury Secretary said that the Trump administration is exploring plans to have the Navy escort commercial vessels through the Strait, potentially in collaboration with international partners, once conditions permit.

The Dollar & Majors:

The dollar index rose 0.5pts (+0.51%) to 99.734.

EUR/USD dropped 55 pips (-0.48%) to 1.1511.

GBP/USD slipped 68 pips (-0.51%) to 1.3343.

USD/JPY gained 45 pips (+0.28%) to 159.39.

USD/CHF advanced 59 pips (+0.76%) to 0.7861.

AUD/USD declined 74 pips (-1.03%) to 0.7077.

USD/CAD climbed 43 pips (+0.32%) to 1.3633. In Canada, January saw a stronger-than-expected increase in building permits, which rose 4.8% compared to the forecasted 2.1% gain. Additionally, the country's trade balance reported a deficit of 3.65 billion Canadian dollars, which was significantly larger than the predicted 900 million Canadian dollars shortfall.

Digital Assets:

Cryptocurrencies were choppy. Bitcoin fell $271 (-0.38%) to $70,375 while Ethereum was relatively unchanged at $2,068.
 
 
  After Hours  
 
 
Adobe (ADBE) fell after hours despite reporting strong first-quarter revenue and profit figures that exceeded estimates. The decline was triggered by an announcement from CEO Shantanu Narayen that he would be stepping down once a successor is appointed, although he will remain as chairman of the company's board.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
47030
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 47030 with targets at 46500 & 46330 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 47030 look for further upside with 47240 & 47480 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
6710
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 6710 with targets at 6655 & 6625 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 6710 look for further upside with 6760 & 6785 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 6710 is resistance, likely decline to 6655.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD Intraday: watch 1.1500.
 
Pivot:
1.1545
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.1545 with targets at 1.1500 & 1.1480 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1545 look for further upside with 1.1565 & 1.1585 as targets.
 
Comment:
A break below 1.1500 would trigger a drop towards 1.1480.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD Intraday: capped by a negative trend line.
 
Pivot:
1.3375
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.3375 with targets at 1.3330 & 1.3305 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3375 look for further upside with 1.3400 & 1.3420 as targets.
 
Comment:
The upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 1.3375.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY Intraday: bullish bias above 158.85.
 
Pivot:
158.85
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 158.85 with targets at 159.70 & 160.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 158.85 look for further downside with 158.55 & 158.25 as targets.
 
Comment:
A support base at 158.85 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: caution.
 
Pivot:
5135
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 5135 with targets at 5055 & 5015 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 5135 look for further upside with 5155 & 5185 as targets.
 
Comment:
The index currently faces a challenging resistance area at 5135.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: caution.
 
Pivot:
85.60
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 85.60 with targets at 82.90 & 81.60 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 85.60 look for further upside with 87.30 & 88.70 as targets.
 
Comment:
The index currently faces a challenging resistance area at 85.60.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (J6)‎ Intraday: bullish bias above 92.75.
 
Pivot:
92.75
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 92.75 with targets at 100.50 & 103.50 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 92.75 look for further downside with 88.80 & 85.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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