Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
February 12, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Wednesday, major U.S. stock indexes were little changed, with the S&P 500 closing largely flat at 6,941.

The Nasdaq 100 added 73 points (+0.29%) to 25,201, while the Dow Jones declined 66 points (-0.13%) to 50,121.

Stronger-than-expected jobs data dampened expectations of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in March. U.S. data showed that the economy added 130,000 non-farm payrolls in January (vs 70,000 expected, 48,000 in December), with the jobless rate dropping to 4.3%.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rebounded 3.3 basis points to 4.174%.

Alphabet (GOOGL) fell 2.39%, Microsoft (MSFT) dropped 2.15%, and Amazon (AMZN) was down 1.39%.

Micron (MU) surged 9.94%. Morgan Stanley reaffirmed its "overweight" rating on the stock, and Deutsche Bank raised its price target for the stock to 500 dollars from 300 dollars.

Sandisk (SNDK) jumped 10.65%, ON Semiconductor (ON) rose 3.50%, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) gained 3.40%, and Intel (INTC) was up 2.46%.

Vertiv (VRT) soared 24.46%. The data-center-infrastructure provider’s quarterly results and full-year outlook exceeded market expectations significantly.

Caterpillar (CAT) climbed 4.40%, posting a four-session winning streak.

After reporting quarterly results, Gilead Sciences (GILD) gained 5.82%, Ford Motor (F) added 2.06%, while Robinhood (HOOD) fell 8.91%, and Lyft (LYFT) plunged 16.97%.

In Europe, the DAX 40 declined 0.53%, and the CAC 40 was down 0.18%, while the FTSE 100 rose 1.14%.

Gold advanced 59 dollars (+1.17%) to 5,084 dollars an ounce, silver jumped over 4% to 84.31 dollars an ounce.

U.S. WTI crude futures added 67 cents (+1.05%) to 64.63 dollars a barrel.

According to the Wall Street Journal, the U.S. military is to deploy a second aircraft-carrier strike group to the Middle East while gearing up for a possible offensive against Iran.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
The U.S. dollar was firm against other major currencies, supported by stronger-than-expected jobs data. The dollar index edged higher to 96.92.

EUR/USD dropped 25 pips to 1.1869, GBP/USD slipped 19 pips to 1.3621

Meanwhile, the yen extended its gains to a third straight session, with USD/JPY falling 114 pips to 153.24.

AUD/USD gained 51 pips to 0.7125.

USD/CHF advanced 35 pips to 0.7714, and USD/CAD climbed 29 pips to 1.3579.

Bitcoin lacked upward momentum, sliding over 2% to 67,400 dollars.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, USD/JPY dropped further to 152.65. Japan's producer price index rose 2.3% year-on-year in January as expected.

Meanwhile, EUR/USD edged up to 1.1876 and GBP/USD rebounded to 1.3634.

Gold retreated to 5,057 dollars.

Bitcoin was little changed at 67,673 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
U.K. gross domestic product for the fourth quarter is expected to grow 1.2% year-on-year, while industrial product is estimated to drop 0.2% month-on-month in December.

In the U.S., weekly initial jobless claims are estimated at 225,000, while existing home sales are expected to be down 3.4% month-on-month in January.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: turning down.
 
Pivot:
65.05
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 65.05 with targets at 64.00 & 63.60 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 65.05 look for further upside with 65.25 & 65.60 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 65.05 is resistance, likely decline to 64.00.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: choppy.
 
Pivot:
5040
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 5040 with targets at 5090 & 5118 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 5040 look for further downside with 5018 & 5000 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 5090 and then at 5118.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD Intraday: key resistance at 1.3660.
 
Pivot:
1.3660
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.3660 with targets at 1.3610 & 1.3585 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3660 look for further upside with 1.3680 & 1.3710 as targets.
 
Comment:
The upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 1.3660.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY Intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
153.50
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 153.50 with targets at 152.00 & 151.50 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 153.50 look for further upside with 154.10 & 154.60 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 153.50 is resistance, likely decline to 152.00.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD Intraday: key resistance at 1.1895.
 
Pivot:
1.1895
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.1895 with targets at 1.1850 & 1.1830 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1895 look for further upside with 1.1910 & 1.1925 as targets.
 
Comment:
The upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 1.1895.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
84.60
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 84.60 with targets at 82.60 & 81.55 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 84.60 look for further upside with 86.30 & 87.95 as targets.
 
Comment:
The index currently faces a challenging resistance area at 84.60.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: bullish bias above 49900.
 
Pivot:
49900
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 49900 with targets at 50600 & 51050 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 49900 look for further downside with 49470 & 49200 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is around its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: intraday support around 6930.
 
Pivot:
6930
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 6930 with targets at 7010 & 7035 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 6930 look for further downside with 6895 & 6855 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed with a bullish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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