Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
July 27, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Friday, the S&P 500 edged up 3 points (+0.05%) to 7,411, and the Dow Jones gained 235 points (+0.46%) to 51,947, while the Nasdaq 100 fell 326 points (-1.15%) to 28,128.

On a weekly basis, both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 were down for two consecutive weeks, and the Dow Jones posted a three-week decline.

The market’s focus this week should be the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision on Wednesday as well as earnings reports from mega-cap tech firms including Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Meta (META) and Amazon (AMZN).

Apple (AAPL) bounced 3.54% on Friday after Morgan Stanley reiterated an "overweight" rating for the stock. The tech giant will report earnings after the market’s close on Thursday.

Tesla (TSLA) fell a further 2.08% after tumbling more than 14% in the prior session. The stock lost nearly 18% for the week.

Intel (INTC) dropped 7.90% despite the chipmaker reporting strong quarterly results and issuing upbeat guidance.

Other semiconductor and data-storage stocks also came under pressure, with Micron (MU) falling 6.99%, Arm Holdings (ARM) down 8.14%, and Sandisk (SNDK) down 10.79%.

After releasing quarterly results, SLB Ltd (SLB) surged 11.01% and Verizon Communications (VZ) climbed 5.93%, while American Express (AXP) declined 4.28%.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield retreated 1.8 basis points to 4.681%, halting a four-session rally.

European stocks closed broadly higher, with the DAX 40 rising 1.36%, the CAC 40 up 0.88%, and the FTSE 100 up 0.91%.

Over the weekend, the U.S. paused attacks on Iran, and Iran said it halted retaliatory attacks in the region in response. As a result, in early Asian trading hours on Monday, U.S. WTI crude futures fell more than 5% to 84.30 dollars a barrel.

Gold price climbed to 4,091 dollars an ounce.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
In early Asian trading hours on Monday, the U.S. dollar softened, with EUR/USD rebounding to 1.1392 and GBP/USD climbing to 1.3346.

USD/JPY eased to 163.67, while AUD/USD tried to regain the 0.7000 level.

Beyond the Fed’s interest-rate decision, investors will also focus on the U.S. personal consumption expenditure price inflation due Thursday.

Both the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England are expected to keep their key interest rates unchanged this week.

Bitcoin traded back up to 65,000 dollars.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, EUR/USD advanced to 1.1408 and GBP/USD rose to 1.3357.

Meanwhile, USD/JPY fell to 163.53.

Gold climbed to 4,097 dollars.

Bitcoin was stable at 65,181 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
Germany's Ifo business climate index is expected to climb to 85.9 in July.

In the U.S., durable goods orders are estimated to grow 1.8% month-on-month in June, while the Dallas manufacturing index is expected to slip to -1 in July.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
85.70
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 85.70 with targets at 81.40 & 80.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 85.70 look for further upside with 87.80 & 89.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday : Towards 4,127
 
Our pivot point is at 4,060.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 4,060 is support, with 4,127 and 4,145 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4,060, expect 4,030 and 4,013.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 4,095 and 4,075).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : On the edge of pivot level
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3324.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.3324 is support, with 1.3405 and 1.3426 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3324, expect 1.3289 and 1.3268.
 
Comment:
The price is dangerously moving towards our pivot, one of the final opportunities for a reversal.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : Look for 163.16
 
Our pivot point is at 163.79.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 163.79 is resistance, with 163.16 and 163.00 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 163.79, look for 164.06 and 164.22.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 163.56 and 163.69).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : Key resistance level approaches
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1371.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.1371 is support, with 1.1418 and 1.1431 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1371, expect 1.1348 and 1.1335.
 
Comment:
Price is consolidating just below a key resistance level, setting the stage for an upside attempt.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday : 60.40 expected
 
Our pivot point is at 58.89.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 58.89 is support, with 60.40 and 60.73 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 58.89, expect 58.34 and 58.01.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price is below its 20 period moving average (59.44) but above its 50 period moving average (58.87).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: watch 52670.
 
Pivot:
52300
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 52300 with targets at 52670 & 53000 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 52300 look for further downside with 52090 & 51880 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI advocates for further advance.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: watch 7525.
 
Pivot:
7460
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7460 with targets at 7525 & 7545 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7460 look for further downside with 7435 & 7412 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI advocates for further upside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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