Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
January 31, 2026
 
   
 
S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Crude Oil (WTI)   Dow Jones (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  U.S. Market Overview:  
 
 
Friday saw pressure in the U.S. stock market following President Donald Trump's announcement of Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve governor, as the new Fed chairman. This news coincided with a higher-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) reading.

The S&P 500 decreased by 29 points (-0.43%), closing at 6,939. The Nasdaq 100 fell 331 points (-1.28%), ending at 25,552, while the Dow dropped 179 points (-0.36%), finishing at 48,892.

In terms of sector performance, Consumer Staples (XLP), Energy (XLE), and Health Care (XLV) were the standout sectors, while Technology (XLK), Materials (XLB), and Industrials (XLI) lagged behind.

Looking at the week as a whole, the S&P 500 rose by 0.34%, in contrast to a 0.21% decline in the Nasdaq 100 and a 0.42% drop in the Dow. The leading sectors for the week included Energy (XLE) and Communications (XLC), while Health Care (XLV) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) faced the most significant declines.
 
 
  U.S. Economic Developments:  
 
 
The Producer Price Index (PPI) recorded a 3% year-over-year increase for December, exceeding the expected 2.9%. On a monthly basis, it rose by 0.5%, significantly higher than the anticipated 0.2% increase. In addition, the Chicago PMI surged to 54 in January, marking its first rise above the 50 threshold since November 2023, which signals an expansion. Analysts had forecasted a decline to 45, down from the revised 42.7 reported for December (previously 43.5).
 
 
  U.S. Equity News:  
 
 
Apple (AAPL) rose by 0.46%, driven by better-than-expected first-quarter revenue results and a 19% increase in earnings per share (EPS), which surpassed forecasts and set a new record high.

SanDisk (SNDK) saw a significant 6.85% increase as its adjusted EPS guidance for the current quarter greatly exceeded expectations.

Verizon Communications (VZ) experienced an 11.83% surge following stronger-than-anticipated earnings guidance for 2026.

Chevron (CVX) gained 3.34% after announcing quarterly earnings that exceeded estimates.

Western Digital (WDC) experienced a sharp decline of 10.12%, despite reporting quarterly financial results that surpassed expectations.

Visa (V) slid 3% as its quarterly adjusted EPS was roughly in line with predictions.

Deckers Outdoor (DECK) soared 19.46%, outperforming estimates for its 2026 outlook, making it the top performer in the S&P 500.

KLA (KLAC) dropped 15.24% due to disappointing adjusted EPS forecasts for the current quarter.
 
 
  Europe Market Overview:  
 
 
At the European close, the major indices in the region finished in positive territory. Germany's Dax rose 229pts (+0.94%) to 24538, France's Cac 40 gained 55pts (+0.68%) to 8126, and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 increased 51pts (+0.51%) to 10223.

European economic data showed that the eurozone's GDP grew by 0.3% in the fourth quarter, matching the previous quarter and exceeding expectations of 0.2% in the initial reading. In Germany, GDP also increased by 0.3% in the fourth quarter, in line with the first estimate and surpassing the anticipated 0.2% after maintaining the same growth rate in the third quarter. Additionally, Germany's inflation rate rose to 2.1% year-over-year in January, as per preliminary figures, higher than the expected 1.9% and up from 1.8% in December.
 
 
  Global Macro, FX & Commodities:  
 
 
Rates & Risk Sentiment:

In today's trading session, heightened market volatility followed President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as the new Fed chairman. This development spurred changes in investor sentiment, reflected in the VIX index, which increased by 0.56 points (+3.32%) to 17.44. Concurrently, the US 10-year yield fell by 0.125 basis points, settling at 4.243%, signifying a cautious outlook among investors.

Precious Metals & Crude:

Precious metals faced a dramatic sell-off, halting their upward momentum. Gold plummeted $515.59 (-9.56%) to $4,879.29, while silver saw an even steeper decline of $31.27 (-26.93%), closing at $84.85.

In contrast, crude oil prices experienced an uptick as geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran continue. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil gained $0.34 (+0.52%), reaching $65.76.

The Dollar & Majors:

The dollar index showed strength, rising 0.82 points (+0.85%) to 97.104, indicating increased demand for the greenback amid shifting market dynamics.

EUR/USD fell 118 pips (-0.99%) to 1.1851.

GBP/USD slipped 122 pips (-0.88%) to 1.3681.

USD/JPY increased 166 pips (+1.08%) to 154.75.

USD/CHF surged 90 pips (+1.18%) to 0.773.

AUD/USD dropped 84 pips (-1.19%) to 0.6962.

USD/CAD advanced 131 pips (+0.97%) to 1.362.

Digital Assets:

The cryptocurrency market faced significant pressure today, with Bitcoin experiencing heightened volatility. It dipped below $85,000, reaching an intraday low of $81,000. Ultimately, Bitcoin closed at $84,352, down $49 (-0.06%). Similarly, Ethereum fell $110 (-3.91%) to $2,706.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: choppy.
 
Pivot:
6925
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 6925 with targets at 6998 & 7015 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 6925 look for further downside with 6908 & 6880 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed and calls for caution.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : the downside prevails as long as 1.1879 is resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1879.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.1879 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1879, look for 1.1903 and 1.1918.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1895 and 1.1919).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : the downside prevails as long as 1.3719 is resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3719.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.3719 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3719, look for 1.3750 and 1.3769.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3728 and 1.3754).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : the upside prevails as long as 154.32 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 154.32.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 154.32 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 154.32, expect 153.97 and 153.75.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 154.35 and 153.94).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
4960
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 4960 with targets at 4650 & 4570 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4960 look for further upside with 5100 & 5185 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI shows downside momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: caution.
 
Pivot:
86.90
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 86.90 with targets at 73.60 & 70.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 86.90 look for further upside with 95.90 & 103.80 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI has broken down its 30 level.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: turning up.
 
Pivot:
65.00
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 65.00 with targets at 66.50 & 67.20 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 65.00 look for further downside with 64.00 & 63.30 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: key resistance at 49050.
 
Pivot:
49050
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 49050 with targets at 48530 & 48320 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 49050 look for further upside with 49240 & 49410 as targets.
 
Comment:
The upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 49050.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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