Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
August 26, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Tuesday, U.S. tech stocks rebounded, with the Nasdaq 100 gaining 186 points (+0.64%) to 29,209. The S&P 500 advanced 24 points (+0.32%) to 7,677, and the Dow Jones was up 160 points (+0.30%) to 53,577.

Nvidia (NVDA) closed +2.19% higher, halting a seven-session decline. Investors are watching closely the chip giant’s quarterly results to be released after the market’s close on Wednesday.

Other semiconductor stocks also rebounded, with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) gaining +4.91%, Marvell Technology (MRVL) up +4.84%, and Micron Technology (MU) up +2.48%.

Super Micro Computer (SMCI) jumped +9.35%. Networking giant Cisco Systems announced a partnership to sell the company’s AI servers.

Moderna (MRNA) jumped +14.36%, becoming the leader in the S&P 500.

Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) plunged -30.68%. The sporting goods retailer reported disappointing quarterly revenue and earnings.

Coinbase Global (COIN) rose +4.28% and Robinhood Markets (HOOD) jumped +8.17% after Goldman Sachs reiterated a "buy" rating for both stocks.

In after-market hours, after posting quarterly results, Intuit (INTU) fell more than -7% and Zoom Communications (ZM) dropped -4%.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield declined a further 7.7 basis points to 4.623%.

In Europe, the DAX 40 gained +0.61% and the FTSE 100 added +0.29%, while the CAC 40 closed -0.16% lower.

Spot gold edged up 6 dollars (+0.14%) to 4,657 dollars an ounce, a 3-month high.

U.S. WTI crude futures sank 2.65 dollars (-3.12%) to 82.36 dollars a barrel. The oil market’s anxiety was reduced after the U.S. announced a plan to isolate Iran’s economy (Operation Economic Outcast) instead of using further military actions.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
The U.S. dollar softened, with EUR/USD gaining 15 pips to 1.1677 and GBP/USD rising 21 pips to 1.3651.

USD/JPY added 8 pips to 159.16, while USD/CHF declined 13 pips to 0.8010.

U.S. data showed that new home sales fell 10.5% month-on-month in July (vs -1.3% expected, +7.6% in June). The Richmond Fed manufacturing index eased to 4 in August (vs 7 expected, 5 in July).

Later today, U.S. personal consumption expenditures price inflation data will be released.

USD/CAD slipped 10 pips to 1.3832. The trade war between the U.S. and Canada escalated, as Canada said it will impose retaliatory tariffs on about 20 billion dollars worth of U.S. annual imports.

Bitcoin shot above 81,000 dollars during the session before retreating back to 78,800 dollars.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, AUD/USD climbed to 0.7178. Australia's inflation rate eased to 3.5% year-on-year in July, still above 3.2% expected.

Meanwhile, EUR/USD fell to 1.1668 and GBP/USD slipped to 1.3642.

USD/JPY edged lower to 158.97.

Gold was stable at 4,657 dollars.

Bitcoin was little changed at 79,222 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
In the U.S., the core personal consumption expenditures price index is expected to stay at 3.3% year-on-year in July, while durable goods orders are estimated to increase by 0.7% month-on-month. Also, the second estimate of second-quarter gross domestic product is expected to grow 1.5% quarter-on-quarter.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (V6)‎ intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
82.65
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 82.65 with targets at 79.35 & 78.30 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 82.65 look for further upside with 83.90 & 84.70 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday : Pivotal moment
 
Our pivot point is at 4,619.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 4,619 is support, with 4,736 and 4,767 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4,619, expect 4,567 and 4,536.
 
Comment:
The price is dangerously moving towards our pivot, one of the final opportunities for a reversal.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : Pivot threshold in sight
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3657.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.3657 is resistance, with 1.3580 and 1.3561 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3657, look for 1.3690 and 1.3709.
 
Comment:
Price is close to our pivot level; this could be the last opportunity for a reversal.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : Aim at 158.59
 
Our pivot point is at 159.43.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 159.43 is resistance, with 158.59 and 158.39 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 159.43, look for 159.76 and 159.97.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 159.09 and 159.20).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : Aim at 1.1634
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1685.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.1685 is resistance, with 1.1634 and 1.1621 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1685, look for 1.1707 and 1.1720.
 
Comment:
The MACD is below its signal line and negative.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday : Look for 70.74
 
Our pivot point is at 67.96.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 67.96 is support, with 70.74 and 71.47 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 67.96, expect 66.75 and 66.03.
 
Comment:
The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price is below its 20 period moving average (68.96) but above its 50 period moving average (68.59).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: the bias remains bullish.
 
Pivot:
53200
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 53200 with targets at 53780 & 54080 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 53200 look for further downside with 53030 & 52810 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed with a bullish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: intraday support around 7656.
 
Pivot:
7656
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7656 with targets at 7718 & 7739 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7656 look for further downside with 7630 & 7615 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed with a bullish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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