DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK

September 14, 2026

Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.

Crude Oil (WTI) Gold GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/USD Silver Dow Jones (CME) S&P 500 (CME)

Market Wrap

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

On Friday, the S&P 500 rose 65 points (+0.86%) to 7,656, and the Dow Jones climbed 509 points (+0.98%) to 52,573, both snapping a four-day losing streak. The Nasdaq 100 advanced 265 points (+0.91%) to 29,368.

U.S. data showed that consumer price inflation held steady at 3.4% year-on-year in August, in line with expectations. Core inflation eased to 2.4% year-on-year. However, core inflation ticked up to 0.3% month-on-month, higher than the expected 0.2%.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield edged up to 4.969%.

This week’s main market focus is the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision on Wednesday, which is widely expected to result in a 25-basis-point hike.

Amazon (AMZN) gained 1.94%, Alphabet (GOOGL) rose 1.77%, and Apple (AAPL) was up 1.75%.

Dell Technologies (DELL) jumped 11.98%, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) surged 12.44%. Hardware shares were lifted by strong enterprise artificial intelligence (AI) demand and expectations of a personal computer refresh cycle.

Most semiconductor stocks closed higher, with Marvell Technology (MRVL) rising 4.03%, Intel (INTC) up 2.61%, and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) up 2.49%.

Over the weekend, Dario Amodei, the head of AI company Anthropic, called for slowing down AI development, citing associated risks. Elon Musk and Sam Altman, who run rival AI firms, backed the call.

Oracle (ORCL) closed 1.74% lower despite an earnings beat and a raised full-year forecast. Over the weekend, Oracle stated that Larry Ellison, its co-founder and chairman, cancelled a plan to sell up to 7.5 billion dollars worth of company shares.

European stocks also closed higher, with the DAX 40 rising 0.82%, the CAC 40 up 0.78%, and the FTSE 100 up 0.39%.

In early Asian trading hours on Monday, U.S. WTI crude futures traded more than 2% higher at 102.35 dollars a barrel. Last Friday, they settled just above 100 dollars.

Spot gold still lacked rebounding momentum, trading at 4,340 dollars an ounce.

Market Wrap: Forex

In early Asian trading hours on Monday, the U.S. dollar held up well as most traders continued to bet that the Fed would hike interest rates this week.

EUR/USD slipped below 1.1600, and GBP/USD eased to 1.3521.

U.K. gross domestic product grew 0.4% month-on-month in July (vs no change expected and +0.3% in June).

Meanwhile, USD/JPY edged up to 153.70.

USD/CHF rose to 0.8171, its highest level in over a month.

AUD/USD retreated to 0.7159, while USD/CAD held firm at 1.3871.

Bitcoin lost traction, slipping to 76,700 dollars.

Morning Trading

In Asian trading hours, EUR/USD and GBP/USD both remained subdued, at 1.1585 and 1.3514 respectively.

Meanwhile, USD/JPY climbed to 154.03.

Gold was little changed at 4,344 dollars.

Bitcoin rebounded to 77,537 dollars.

Expected Today

Canada's core inflation rate is expected to stay at 2.3% year-on-year in August.

Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.

Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (X6)‎ intraday: towards 100.00.

Pivot:

96.00

Our preference:

Long positions above 96.00 with targets at 100.00 & 101.40 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Below 96.00 look for further downside with 94.80 & 93.50 as targets.

Comment:

The RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.

Trade

Gold intraday : Aim at 4,275

Our pivot point is at 4,383.

Our preference:

The downside prevails as long as 4,383 is resistance, with 4,275 and 4,244 as targets

Alternative scenario:

Above 4,383, look for 4,434 and 4,465.

Comment:

The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 4,345 and 4,347).

Trade

GBP/USD intraday : Trend at a crossroads

Our pivot point is at 1.3498.

Our preference:

The upside prevails as long as 1.3498 is support, with 1.3564 and 1.3579 as targets

Alternative scenario:

Below 1.3498, expect 1.3473 and 1.3458.

Comment:

Price is almost testing our pivot level; this may be the last chance for a reversal.

Trade

USD/JPY intraday : The upside prevails as long as 153.56 is support

Our pivot point is at 153.56.

Our preference:

The upside prevails as long as 153.56 is support, with 154.81 and 155.15 as targets

Alternative scenario:

Below 153.56, expect 152.98 and 152.64.

Comment:

The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 153.70 and 153.87). The USD/JPY is trading above its upper Bollinger band (standing at 154.00).

Trade

EUR/USD intraday : the RSI is oversold

Our pivot point is at 1.1596.

Our preference:

The downside prevails as long as 1.1596 is resistance, with 1.1554 and 1.1544 as targets

Alternative scenario:

Above 1.1596, look for 1.1612 and 1.1621.

Comment:

The RSI is below 30. It could either mean that the price is in a lasting downtrend or just oversold and therefore bound to retrace (look for bullish divergence in this case). The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1591 and 1.1598). The EUR/USD is trading below its lower Bollinger band (standing at 1.1579).

Trade

Silver intraday : Aim at 62.71

Our pivot point is at 64.99.

Our preference:

Eye 62.08

Alternative scenario:

Above 64.99, look for 66.04 and 66.67.

Comment:

The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 64.22 and 64.11).

Trade

Dow Jones (CME)‎ (Z6)‎ intraday: key resistance at 53110.

Pivot:

53110

Our preference:

Short positions below 53110 with targets at 52400 & 52200 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Above 53110 look for further upside with 53350 & 53550 as targets.

Comment:

As long as 53110 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

Trade

S&P 500 (CME)‎ (Z6)‎ intraday: aim @ 7650.

Pivot:

7730

Our preference:

Short positions below 7730 with targets at 7650 & 7623 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Above 7730 look for further upside with 7750 & 7770 as targets.

Comment:

The RSI shows downside momentum.

Trade

TRADING FOREIGN EXCHANGE ON MARGIN CARRIES A HIGH LEVEL OF RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS.

THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS THAT YOU COULD SUSTAIN A LOSS OF SOME OR ALL OF YOUR INITIAL INVESTMENT AND THEREFORE YOU SHOULD NOT INVEST MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD TO LOSE.

THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE CAN WORK AGAINST YOU AS WELL AS FOR YOU. BEFORE DECIDING TO TRADE FOREIGN EXCHANGE OR CFD’S YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES, LEVEL OF EXPERIENCE, AND RISK APPETITE.

YOU SHOULD BE AWARE OF ALL THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH FOREIGN EXCHANGE AND OTHER CFD TRADING, AND SEEK ADVICE FROM AN INDEPENDENT FINANCIAL ADVISOR IF YOU HAVE ANY DOUBTS. VPFX RECOMMENDS READING THE RISK DISCLOSURE SECTION OF THE PROSPECTUS FOR ANY FINANCIAL PRODUCT MENTIONED.

VPFX is the trading name for Ventura Prime FX Limited with registration number LL16224 registered in Labuan F.T., Malaysia.

Ventura Prime FX Limited is authorised and regulated by the Labuan Financial Services Authority (LFSA). Registered Address:Kensington Gardens, No U1317, Lot 7616, Jalan Jumidar Buyong, 87000 Labuan Federal Territory, Malaysia

Ventura Prime FX Limited