Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
August 1, 2026
 
   
 
Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Crude Oil (WTI)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
 
U.S. Market Overview:

On Friday, the major U.S. indices finished higher. The S&P 500 advanced 52 points, or 0.70%, to 7,489, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 168 points, or 0.60%, to 28,274. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 277 points, or 0.53%, to 52,485.

On the sector front, Consumer Discretionary (XLY), Communication Services (XLC) and Energy (XLE) outperformed, while Materials (XLB), Utilities (XLU) and Health Care (XLV) underperformed the most.

U.S. Economic Developments:

Looking at the latest U.S. economic data, The Chicago PMI rose to 57.6 in July, above the 56.0 forecast and up from 56.7 in June. Meanwhile, the University of Michigan’s final Consumer Sentiment Index improved to 55.2, exceeding the 54.0 estimate and rising sharply from 49.5 in June.

U.S. Equity News:

Amazon.com (AMZN), the world's largest online retailer and web services provider, soared 15.32% after quarterly sales beat estimates. The company's cloud segment growth also topped expectations.

Apple (AAPL), a consumer electronics giant, declined 7.35% after issuing a downbeat guidance, citing supply constraints. However, quarterly financial figures beat estimates.

Coinbase (COIN), a cryptocurrency exchange platform, sank 10.59% as quarterly financial figures missed expectations.

Rivian Automotive (RIVN), an electric vehicle maker, dropped 9.57% ground as the company lowered its 2026 capital spending outlook and narrowed its projected full-year loss. Rivian also reaffirmed its previously increased vehicle delivery target.

Reddit (RDDT), a social media, tumbled 20.99% as quarterly U.S. user growth slowed.

Newell Brands (NWL), a consumer goods company, jumped 8.95% as full-year earnings guidance beat expectations.

First Solar (FSLR), a maker of solar panels, gained 2.44% on better-than-expected quarterly earnings.

Volatility & Commodities Snapshot:

The VIX Index declined 1.10 points, or 6.44%, to 15.99.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fell 4.38 basis points to 4.72%.

In the commodities market, gold declined $51.42, or 1.25%, to $4,050.98, while silver fell $1.12, or 1.90%, to $57.86. WTI crude oil advanced $0.93, or 1.11%, to $84.52.

Europe Market Overview:

At the European close, the major indices in the region finished mixed. Germany’s DAX advanced 17 points, or 0.07%, to 25,629, while France’s CAC 40 gained 24 points, or 0.28%, to 8,509. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 declined 29 points, or 0.27%, to 10,868.

On the economic front, eurozone consumer prices rose 0.2% month over month in July, in line with expectations, following a 0.1% decline in June. Annual inflation edged up to 2.9%, matching forecasts, from 2.8% previously.

In Germany, the unemployment rate increased to 6.4% in July from 6.3% in June, while economists had expected it to remain unchanged. In France, consumer prices rose 0.6% month over month, above the 0.3% forecast and reversing a 0.3% decline in June. Annual inflation accelerated to 2.1%, exceeding the 1.8% estimate and up from 1.8% previously.

Meanwhile, U.K. house prices increased 0.1% month over month in July, according to Nationwide, matching expectations after remaining unchanged in June.

Foreign Exchange & Crypto Wrap:

The U.S. dollar index declined 0.06 points, or 0.06%, to 99.81.

EUR/USD rose 7 pips, or 0.06%, to 1.1534.

GBP/USD advanced 21 pips, or 0.16%, to 1.3485.

USD/JPY fell 151 pips, or 0.95%, to 158.00.

USD/CHF gained 28 pips, or 0.35%, to 0.8078.

AUD/USD rose 12 pips, or 0.17%, to 0.7037.

USD/CAD advanced 9 pips, or 0.06%, to 1.4019.

Finally, in the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin declined $1,790, or 2.77%, to $62,938, while Ethereum fell $54, or 2.86%, to $1,865.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: turning up.
 
Pivot:
52300
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 52300 with targets at 52830 & 53080 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 52300 look for further downside with 52120 & 51880 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI advocates for further upside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: further advance.
 
Pivot:
7480
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7480 with targets at 7562 & 7586 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7480 look for further downside with 7427 & 7390 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : First target, continuation or consolidation?
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1481.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.1481 is support, with 1.1543 and 1.1557 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1481, expect 1.1459 and 1.1445.
 
Comment:
With prices now approaching our initial target, this level may prompt a throwback. That said, a decisive break above it could also act as a catalyst for further upside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : The upside prevails as long as 1.3453 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3453.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.3453 is support, with 1.3529 and 1.3550 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3453, expect 1.3418 and 1.3397.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3451 and 1.3454).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : Key support level approaches
 
Our pivot point is at 160.51.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 160.51 is resistance, with 158.23 and 158.07 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 160.51, look for 160.79 and 160.96.
 
Comment:
The approach toward our first target represents a key level to monitor, it may trigger pressure for a pullback, though a firm close below this threshold could lead prices lower.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday : 4,011 expected
 
Our pivot point is at 4,093.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 4,093 is resistance, with 4,011 and 3,989 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4,093, look for 4,130 and 4,152.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The price stands above its 20 period moving average (4,048) but below its 50 period moving average (4,072).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday : 56.78 in sight
 
Our pivot point is at 59.00.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 59.00 is resistance, with 56.78 and 56.16 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 59.00, look for 60.04 and 60.65.
 
Comment:
The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The price stands above its 20 period moving average (57.68) but below its 50 period moving average (58.28).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: bullish bias above 83.00.
 
Pivot:
83.00
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 83.00 with targets at 86.43 & 88.10 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 83.00 look for further downside with 81.60 & 80.50 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed with a bullish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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