Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
May 17, 2026
 
   
 
EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Crude Oil (WTI)   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
EUR/USD intraday : rebound towards 1.1669
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1603.
 
Our preference:
Rebound towards 1.1669
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1603, expect 1.1579 and 1.1565.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The configuration is mixed. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1627 and 1.1641).
 
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GBP/USD intraday : rebound towards 1.3393
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3287.
 
Our preference:
Rebound towards 1.3393
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3287, expect 1.3250 and 1.3227.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The configuration is mixed. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3336 and 1.3358).
 
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USD/JPY intraday : the upside prevails as long as 158.48 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 158.48.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 158.48 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 158.48, expect 158.15 and 157.95.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 158.67 and 158.55).
 
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Gold intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
4605
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 4605 with targets at 4511 & 4475 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4605 look for further upside with 4645 & 4690 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a new downleg.
 
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Silver intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
79.20
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 79.20 with targets at 74.70 & 73.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 79.20 look for further upside with 81.66 & 83.80 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.
 
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Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (M6)‎ intraday: further upside.
 
Pivot:
102.05
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 102.05 with targets at 106.35 & 108.60 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 102.05 look for further downside with 100.65 & 99.15 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed to bullish.
 
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Dow Jones (CME)‎ (M6)‎ intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
49850
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 49850 with targets at 49580 & 49470 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 49850 look for further upside with 49980 & 50100 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.
 
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S&P 500 (CME)‎ (M6)‎ intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
7475
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 7475 with targets at 7420 & 7400 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 7475 look for further upside with 7494 & 7510 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 7475 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 7420 remains high.
 
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