Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
August 8, 2026
 
   
 
Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Crude Oil (WTI)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
 
U.S. Market Overview:

On Friday, the major indices in the U.S. finished higher, with the S&P 500 closing at a record high as weaker than expected employment data reduced expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in September. Sentiment was also supported by a strong earnings season and continued strength in technology shares.

The S&P 500 advanced 47.68 points (+0.62%) to 7,757.64, while the Nasdaq 100 jumped 348.97 points (+1.19%) to 29,722.30. The Dow Jones gained 151.83 points (+0.28%) to 54,036.93.

On the sector front, Consumer Discretionary (XLY), Technology (XLK), and Materials (XLB) outperformed, while Energy (XLE), Financials (XLF), and Consumer Staples (XLP) underperformed the most.

U.S. Economic Developments:

Looking at the latest U.S. economic data, the unemployment rate fell to 4.1% in July from 4.2%, better than the 4.2% forecast. However, nonfarm payrolls declined by 23,000, well below expectations for an 80,000 increase, while June’s gain was revised sharply lower to 20,000 from 57,000.

U.S. Equity News:

Twilio (TWLO), a cloud company, surged 24.89% after current quarter guidance beat estimates. Also, the company raised full-year forecast regarding revenue growth.

Airbnb (ABNB), a home rental platform, soared 17.43% on better-than-expected quarterly financial figures.

Microchip Technology (MCHP), a designer of microprocessors, jumped 13.89% as current quarter guidance topped expectations.

Trade Desk (TTD), an advertising technology company, sank 21.9% as quarterly financial figures missed estimates.

Lyft (LYFT), a ridesharing company, gained 7.12% as quarterly sales slightly beat estimates. However adjusted EPS missed expectations.

Tesla (TSLA), the electric vehicle maker, gained 2.83%.

NVIDIA (NVDA), a leading designer of graphics processors and AI chips, rose 2.27%.

Volatility & Commodities Snapshot:

The VIX declined 0.25 points (-1.65%) to 14.90, while the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.645%.

In commodities, gold surged US$100.24 (+2.36%) to US$4,339.47, silver jumped US$1.96 (+3.20%) to US$63.44, and WTI crude oil slipped US$0.30 (-0.39%) to US$76.99.

Europe Market Overview:

At the European close, the major indices in the region finished in positive territory. Germany’s DAX gained 179 points (+0.69%) to 26,319, France’s CAC 40 rose 15 points (+0.17%) to 8,714, and the U.K.’s FTSE 100 advanced 33 points (+0.31%) to 10,901.

On the economic front, in Germany, industrial production rose 0.2% month-on-month in June, versus +0.1% expected, after increasing 0.9% a month earlier. Still in Germany, trade surplus narrowed to 15.4 billion euros in June from 19.3 billion euros in May (revised from 19.1 billion euros), compared with expectations for a surplus of 17.4 billion euros. Exports increased 0.9%, matching the pace recorded a month earlier, while imports rose 4.4%, after declining 2.6% the previous month. In France, the unemployment rate came in at 8.3% in the second quarter, versus 8.2% expected, after 8.1% in the previous quarter.

Foreign Exchange & Crypto Wrap:

The U.S. Dollar Index declined 0.35 points (-0.35%) to 99.582.

EUR/USD gained 32 pips (+0.28%) to 1.1556.

GBP/USD advanced 36 pips (+0.27%) to 1.3489.

USD/JPY fell 71 pips (-0.45%) to 157.71.

USD/CHF retreated 42 pips (-0.52%) to 0.8078.

AUD/USD rose 34 pips (+0.48%) to 0.7064.

USD/CAD slipped 69 pips (-0.49%) to 1.3943.

Finally, in the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin gained US$544 (+0.85%) to US$64,947, while Ethereum rose US$9 (+0.52%) to US$1,916.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: bullish bias above 53800.
 
Pivot:
53800
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 53800 with targets at 54230 & 54440 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 53800 look for further downside with 53490 & 53100 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a new upleg.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: bullish bias above 7725.
 
Pivot:
7725
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7725 with targets at 7820 & 7890 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7725 look for further downside with 7649 & 7568 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI advocates for further advance.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : 1.1591 expected
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1533.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.1533 is support, with 1.1591 and 1.1605 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1533, expect 1.1510 and 1.1496.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1552 and 1.1534).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : Watch 1.3539
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3458.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.3458 is support, with 1.3539 and 1.3558 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3458, expect 1.3425 and 1.3406.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3480 and 1.3463).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : Watching for a Trigger Below Support
 
Our pivot point is at 158.20.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 158.20 is resistance, with 157.35 and 157.18 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 158.20, look for 158.47 and 158.64.
 
Comment:
Prices are now edging toward our first target. Should this level be reached, a pullback is likely to surface; yet a convincing break below it could open the door to further losses.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday : Throwback or further upside?
 
Our pivot point is at 4,287.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 4,287 is support, with 4,374 and 4,397 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4,287, expect 4,248 and 4,225.
 
Comment:
The chart structure suggests the instrument is coiling ahead of a potentially significant move.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday : On the edge of pivot level
 
Our pivot point is at 63.14.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 63.14 is support, with 65.79 and 66.47 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 63.14, expect 62.00 and 61.32.
 
Comment:
The price is dangerously moving towards our pivot, one of the final opportunities for a reversal.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: choppy.
 
Pivot:
76.50
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 76.50 with targets at 78.70 & 79.90 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 76.50 look for further downside with 75.60 & 74.20 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a bounce.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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