Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
August 29, 2026
 
   
 
Silver   Gold   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   GBP/USD   Crude Oil (WTI)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
 
On Friday, the major indices in the U.S. finished lower, with technology shares leading the decline as investors digested hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole.

The S&P 500 dipped 19.23 points (-0.25%) to 7,711.76.

The Nasdaq 100 dropped 208.133 points (-0.70%) to 29,433.428.

The Dow slipped 9.45 points (-0.02%) to 53,559.99.

On the sector front, the outperforming sectors were Communication Services (XLC), Consumer Discretionary (XLY), and Energy (XLE), while Technology (XLK), Utilities (XLU), and Industrials (XLI) underperformed the most.

On the U.S. economic data front, the Chicago PMI fell sharply to 47.1 in August from 57.6 previously, well below expectations of 57, signaling a renewed contraction in business activity in the Chicago region.

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh also struck a hawkish tone at Jackson Hole, saying financial conditions do not appear restrictive and that recent improvement in inflation has not yet convinced him price pressures are moving sustainably back toward the Fed’s 2% target.

U.S. Equity News:

PayPal (PYPL), the digital payments company, dropped 12.71% after a report that Advent International and Stripe had abandoned takeover efforts.

Marvell Technology (MRVL), a semiconductor company focused on data infrastructure, fell 10.28% as investors were disappointed by the company’s longer-term revenue outlook despite a major AI chip deal with Google.

Gap (GAP), an apparel retailer, gained 12.94% after announcing a leadership change at its Old Navy brand and raising its earnings guidance for the current fiscal year.

Rubrik (RBRK), a cybersecurity and AI operations company, tanked 13.05% after adjusted gross margin missed expectations.

Autodesk (ADSK), a provider of computer-aided design software, slid 3.67% as current-quarter earnings guidance disappointed investors.

Nvidia (NVDA), a leading designer of graphics processors and AI chips, fell 4.58%, giving back part of the previous session’s strong post-earnings gain.

Volatility & Commodities Snapshot:

The VIX index slipped 0.08 point (-0.55%) to 14.43.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose about 5.2 basis points to 4.728%.

In the commodities market, precious metals sold off as Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar strengthened.

Gold dropped US$145.51 (-3.16%) to US$4,455.49.

Silver fell US$2.96 (-4.28%) to US$66.29.

WTI crude oil slipped US$0.10 (-0.12%) to US$83.43.

Europe Market Overview:

At the European close, the major indices in the region finished higher.

Germany's DAX gained 202 points (+0.77%) to 26,569.

France's CAC 40 jumped 81 points (+0.98%) to 8,401.

The U.K.'s FTSE 100 gained 31 points (+0.29%) to 10,824.

On the European economic data front, French second-quarter GDP was revised to flat quarter over quarter from an initial estimate of 0.2% growth. Meanwhile, preliminary French inflation accelerated to 2.4% year over year in August from 2.1% previously, exceeding expectations of 2.2%.

Foreign Exchange & Crypto Wrap:

The dollar index gained 0.51 point (+0.51%) to 99.668 as the U.S. dollar strengthened following Warsh’s hawkish remarks.

EUR/USD dropped 71 pips (-0.61%) to 1.1580.

GBP/USD slipped 63 pips (-0.46%) to 1.3529.

USD/JPY gained 70 pips (+0.44%) to 160.09.

USD/CHF advanced 53 pips (+0.66%) to 0.8094.

AUD/USD fell 37 pips (-0.51%) to 0.7157.

USD/CAD advanced 53 pips (+0.38%) to 1.3907.

On the Canadian economic data front, second-quarter GDP grew 0.8% quarter over quarter, matching expectations and accelerating from a revised 0.1% previously. On an annualized basis, the economy expanded 3.3%, slightly below the 3.4% forecast but well above the revised 0.3% pace in the first quarter. June GDP also increased 0.3% month over month, topping expectations of 0.2%. The second-quarter rebound was supported by stronger exports and domestic demand.

Finally, in the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin dropped US$2,714 (-3.39%) to US$77,376, while Ethereum fell US$80 (-3.21%) to US$2,427.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Silver intraday : The downside prevails as long as 67.46 is resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 67.46.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 67.46 is resistance, with 64.86 and 64.17 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 67.46, look for 68.63 and 69.32.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 68.88 and 69.18).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
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Gold intraday : the RSI is oversold
 
Our pivot point is at 4,503.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 4,503 is resistance, with 4,395 and 4,365 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4,503, look for 4,553 and 4,583.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below 30. It could either mean that the price is in a lasting downtrend or just oversold and therefore bound to retrace (look for bullish divergence in this case). The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 4,547 and 4,576).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
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USD/JPY intraday : 160.39 expected
 
Our pivot point is at 159.57.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 159.57 is support, with 160.39 and 160.59 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 159.57, expect 159.23 and 159.03.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 159.88 and 159.62).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
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EUR/USD intraday : Rebound or deeper decline ahead?
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1638.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.1638 is resistance, with 1.1577 and 1.1564 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1638, look for 1.1660 and 1.1673.
 
Comment:
With prices nearing our first target, a pullback may emerge, though a clean break below could accelerate the downside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
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Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: choppy.
 
Pivot:
53370
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 53370 with targets at 54080 & 54330 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 53370 look for further downside with 53200 & 53030 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed to bullish.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: bullish bias above 7702.
 
Pivot:
7702
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7702 with targets at 7782 & 7821 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7702 look for further downside with 7671 & 7656 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a new upleg.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : Critical support closing in
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3601.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.3601 is resistance, with 1.3518 and 1.3499 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3601, look for 1.3633 and 1.3652.
 
Comment:
Prices are now within reach of our first target, a level that could trigger a pullback. On the flip side, a decisive break below it may extend the current decline.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
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Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (V6)‎ intraday: the bias remains bullish.
 
Pivot:
82.00
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 82.00 with targets at 84.70 & 85.80 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 82.00 look for further downside with 80.60 & 79.60 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI advocates for further advance.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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