Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
August 25, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Monday, the S&P 500 retreated 21 points (-0.28%) to 7,652, and the Nasdaq 100 was down 285 points (-0.98%) to 29,023.

Meanwhile, the Dow Jones gained 140 points (+0.26%) to 53,417.

Nvidia (NVDA) fell 2.91% extending its decline to a seventh session. The chip giant will report quarterly results after the market’s close on Wednesday (August 26).

Other semiconductor stocks also closed lower, with Micron Technology (MU) dropping 5.83%, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) down 3.49%, Intel (INTC) down 3.12%, and Broadcom (AVGO) down 2.63%.

Data-storage stocks also came under pressure, with Seagate Technology (STX) losing 6.51%, SanDisk (SNDK) down 6.45%, and Western Digital (WDC) down 5.24%.

Expedia Group (EXPE) jumped 5.44% to a record closing level, becoming the best-performing stock in the S&P 500 during the session.

Financial stocks performed well, with Mastercard (MA) gaining 3.31%, Visa (V) up 3.06%, and JPMorgan Chase (JPM) up 1.37%.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield retreated 3.6 basis points to 4.700%.

In Europe, the DAX 40 dipped 0.11%, the CAC 40 declined 0.37%, while the FTSE 100 added 0.35%.

Spot gold advanced 48 dollars (+1.05%) to 4,651 dollars an ounce, a 3-month high.

U.S. WTI crude futures fell 2.05 dollars (-2.35%) to 85.01 dollars a barrel.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced a plan to isolate Iran’s economy called "Operation Economic Outcast", which will call for secondary sanctions against Iran’s trading partners. He added: "Any entity that facilitates money laundering on behalf of Iran will be removed from the U.S. dollar system."
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
The U.S. dollar traded higher, with USD/JPY adding 11 pips to 159.09, and EUR/USD down 16 pips to 1.1663.

USD/CAD jumped 78 pips to 1.3845. The trade dispute between the U.S. and Canada intensified, as U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to raise tariffs on all cars, trucks and automotive parts imported from Canada to 50%.

GBP/USD slipped 13 pips to 1.3627, and AUD/USD fell 21 pips to 0.7148.

USD/CHF rebounded a further 14 pips to 0.8024.

Bitcoin kept receiving bids, challenging the key level of 80,000 dollars on the upside.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, EUR/USD was little changed at 1.1663, while GBP/USD edged up to 1.3634.

Meanwhile, USD/JPY advanced to 159.27.

Gold was steady at 4,653 dollars.

Bitcoin climbed to 80,685 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
Germany's Ifo business climate index is expected to climb to 87.2 in August.

In the U.S., the Conference Board consumer confidence index is estimated to edge up to 91.2 in August and the Richmond Fed manufacturing index is anticipated to climb to 7. Also, new home sales are expected to drop 1.3% month-on-month in July.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (V6)‎ intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
85.80
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 85.80 with targets at 83.15 & 82.20 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 85.80 look for further upside with 86.60 & 87.65 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI advocates for further decline.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday : 4,561 expected
 
Our pivot point is at 4,679.
 
Our preference:
Under pressure below 4,679, with 4,561 and 4,530 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4,679, look for 4,731 and 4,762.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 4,652 and 4,651).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : Pivot threshold in sight
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3657.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.3657 is resistance, with 1.3580 and 1.3561 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3657, look for 1.3690 and 1.3709.
 
Comment:
The asset price is approaching our pivot level, which represents one of the last opportunities for the asset to reverse its recent trend.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : Watching for a Trigger Above Resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 158.67.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 158.67 is support, with 159.43 and 159.62 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 158.67, expect 158.34 and 158.15.
 
Comment:
Price is consolidating just below a key resistance level, setting the stage for an upside attempt.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : Expect 1.1634
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1685.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.1685 is resistance, with 1.1634 and 1.1621 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1685, look for 1.1707 and 1.1720.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1662 and 1.1664).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday : Pivot threshold in sight
 
Our pivot point is at 68.87.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 68.87 is resistance, with 66.29 and 65.58 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 68.87, look for 70.06 and 70.77.
 
Comment:
The asset is now hovering dangerously close to our pivot, representing a pivotal moment that could be among the last opportunities for a trend reversal.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: the bias remains bullish.
 
Pivot:
53200
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 53200 with targets at 53590 & 53740 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 53200 look for further downside with 53030 & 52810 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed with a bullish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: bounce.
 
Pivot:
7656
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7656 with targets at 7718 & 7739 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7656 look for further downside with 7630 & 7615 as targets.
 
Comment:
A support base at 7656 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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