Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
July 28, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Monday, major U.S. stock indexes closed mixed. The S&P 500 edged up 1 point (+0.02%) to 7,413, and the Dow Jones gained 262 points (+0.51%) to 52,210, while the Nasdaq 100 fell 89 points (-0.32%) to 28,039.

Apple (AAPL) gained 1.17% to mark a record closing level of 336.91. The tech giant reclaimed the title of the world’s most valuable public company with a market capitalization of 4.95 trillion dollars.

Semiconductor and chip-equipment stocks sold off sharply after reports of rapid development in China’s semiconductor sector. Chinese memory-chip maker CXMT Corp surged 466% in its Shanghai trading debut. And it was widely reported that China has begun mass production of domestic deep ultraviolet (DUV) lithography machines.

Nvidia (NVDA) fell 4.99%, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) dropped 5.17%, and Micron (MU) was down 2.25%.

ASML Holding (ASML) slid 5.80%, Applied Materials (AMAT) declined 3.61%, and Lam Research (LRCX) was down 4.46%.

Also, Sandisk (SNDK) sank 11.02%, and Western Digital (WDC) was down 4.21%.

Energy stocks fell alongside oil prices, with APA Corp (APA) losing 3.90%, Conocophillips (COP) down 3.89%, and Chevron (CVX) down 2.46%.

Software stocks rebounded, with Palantir (PLTR) rising 7.00%, ServiceNow (NOW) up 6.86%, and Salesforce (CRM) up 6.07%.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield declined a further 3.4 basis points to 4.647%.

European stocks remained buoyed, with the DAX 40 closing 1.04% higher, the CAC 40 up 0.40%, and the FTSE 100 up 0.42%.

Oil prices dropped sharply following a pause in attacks between the U.S. and Iran. U.S. WTI crude futures tumbled 6.70 dollars (-7.50%) to 82.61 dollars a barrel.

Gold price added 23 dollars to 4,076 dollars an ounce.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
The U.S. dollar managed to pare weakness during the session. EUR/USD was largely flat at 1.1368, while USD/JPY eased 13 pips to 163.71.

U.S. durable goods orders rose 0.3% month-on-month in June, far slower than the 2.2% growth expected.

Germany's Ifo business climate index climbed to 86.6 in July (vs 85.9 expected, 85.6 in June).

GBP/USD slipped 32 pips to 1.3287, while AUD/USD added 9 pips to 0.6988.

USD/CAD climbed 31 pips to 1.4123.

Bitcoin dropped below 64,000 dollars.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, EUR/USD climbed to 1.1378 and GBP/USD edged up to 1.3298.

Meanwhile, USD/JPY was little changed at 163.70.

Gold dropped to 4,043 dollars.

Bitcoin fell to 63,120 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
In the U.S., the Conference Board consumer confidence index is expected to climb to 92.2 in July, while the Richmond Fed manufacturing index is estimated to bounce to 10.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
82.40
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 82.40 with targets at 78.50 & 77.35 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 82.40 look for further upside with 83.20 & 84.50 as targets.
 
Comment:
The break below 82.40 is a negative signal that has opened a path to 78.50.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday: below its lower Bollinger band
 
Our pivot point is at 4057.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 4057 is resistance.
 
Alternative scenario:
The upside breakout of 4057, would call for 4078 and 4090.
 
Comment:
The RSI is trading below 30. This could mean that either prices are in a lasting downtrend or just oversold and that therefore a rebound could shape (look for bullish divergence in this case). The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Gold stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 4047 and 4068). Finally, the Gold has penetrated its lower Bollinger band (4034).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : Rebound or deeper decline ahead?
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3360.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.3360 is resistance, with 1.3275 and 1.3255 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3360, look for 1.3395 and 1.3416.
 
Comment:
The approach toward our first target represents a key level to monitor, it may trigger pressure for a pullback, though a firm close below this threshold could lead prices lower.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : 164.12 expected
 
Our pivot point is at 163.49.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 163.49 is support, with 164.12 and 164.28 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 163.49, expect 163.21 and 163.05.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 163.76 and 163.71).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : On the edge of pivot level
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1385.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.1385 is resistance, with 1.1336 and 1.1322 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1385, look for 1.1408 and 1.1421.
 
Comment:
Price is almost testing our pivot level; this may be the last chance for a reversal.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday: short term rebound towards 58.45
 
Our pivot point is at 56.80.
 
Our preference:
Short term rebound towards 58.45.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 56.80, expect 56.30 and 56.00.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below 50. The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The configuration is mixed. Silver stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 57.38 and 58.18).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: bullish bias above 52200.
 
Pivot:
52200
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 52200 with targets at 52650 & 52780 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 52200 look for further downside with 52090 & 51880 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: watch 7411.
 
Pivot:
7461
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 7461 with targets at 7411 & 7390 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 7461 look for further upside with 7486 & 7525 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 7461 is resistance, likely decline to 7411.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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