Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
November 11, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   GBP/USD   Silver  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Tuesday, major U.S. stock indexes retreated after hotter-than-expected October inflation data lifted bets on a December interest-rate hike, with the Nasdaq 100 falling 166 points (−0.60%) to 27,740, the S&P 500 down 29 points (−0.38%) to 7,520, and the Dow Jones down 157 points (−0.30%) to 52,231.

The U.S. consumer price inflation rate slowed to 0.4% month on month in October, still higher than expected. The core inflation rate was stable at 0.3% month on month, also higher than expected. A year-over-year rate was not published because of last year's government shutdown.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield jumped back 11.6 basis points to the key level of 5%.

According to the CME’s FedWatch tool, traders fully priced in a Federal Reserve rate hike of at least 25 basis points in December, up from 84% on Monday.

Nvidia (NVDA) fell another 5.47% after losing 4% Monday, as the board started investigating reports that founder and CEO Jensen Huang had a relationship with an alleged Chinese spy. Meanwhile, the Rosen Law Firm has filed a proposed class-action lawsuit against Nvidia and Huang in federal court in San Jose.

Microsoft (MSFT) declined 2.20% after Anthropic rolled out workplace tools that rival the software giant’s Office tools.

Semiconductor stocks were split. Broadcom (AVGO) rose 3.91%, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) was up 2.02%, and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) gained 1.30%, while Arm Holdings (ARM) fell 2.58%, Intel (INTC) declined 2.09%, and Micron Technology (MU) was down 1.10%.

Homebuilders were hit as yields jumped, with Lennar (LEN) falling 5.37%.

GE Vernova (GEV) dropped 3.89% after SoftBank Group booked a charge of 3.73 billion dollars tied to AI power equipment.

CoreWeave (CRWV) closed 0.51% lower and rose about 2% in after-hours trading. The company reported higher-than-expected third-quarter revenue of 3.66 billion dollars and raised its full-year revenue outlook to up to 13.3 billion dollars.

In Europe, the DAX 40 added 0.31%, and the CAC 40 was up 0.55%, while the FTSE 100 declined 0.29%.

U.S. WTI crude futures remained subdued, dipping 81 cents to 86.04 dollars a barrel.

Spot gold retreated 108 dollars (-2.61%) to 4,032 dollars an ounce.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
The U.S. dollar strengthened after the release of hot inflation data, with EUR/USD falling 58 pips to 1.1165 and USD/JPY rising 80 pips to 158.70.

In fact, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he would consider a rate-hike of 50 basis points if core inflation came in higher than expected.

GBP/USD declined 98 pips to 1.3342, and AUD/USD fell 60 pips to 0.6866.

USD/CHF gained 50 pips to 0.8250, and USD/CAD added 68 pips to 1.4185.

Bitcoin lost traction again, slipping over 2% to $73,700.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, the U.S. dollar stayed firm, with EUR/USD lacking momentum and trading at 1.1167 and GBP/USD around 1.3552.

USD/JPY advanced to 158.88, while AUD/USD stabilized at 0.6880.

Spot gold edged up 15 dollars to 4,047 dollars an ounce, and Bitcoin was flat at 73,700 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
The U.S. bond market is closed today for the Veterans Day holiday.

OPEC will release its monthly oil market report.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (Z6)‎ intraday: target 83.00.
 
Pivot:
89.20
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 89.20 with targets at 83.00 & 80.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 89.20 look for further upside with 92.50 & 96.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
Even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday : Trend at a crossroads
 
Our pivot point is at 4,076.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 4,076 is resistance, with 3,978 and 3,955 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4,076, look for 4,115 and 4,138.
 
Comment:
The asset is now hovering dangerously close to our pivot, representing a pivotal moment that could be among the last opportunities for a trend reversal.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : Watch 159.09
 
Our pivot point is at 158.50.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 158.50 is support, with 159.09 and 159.24 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 158.50, expect 158.25 and 158.10.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price is below its 20 period moving average (158.79) but above its 50 period moving average (158.51).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : Trend at a crossroads
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1177.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.1177 is resistance, with 1.1122 and 1.1109 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1177, look for 1.1198 and 1.1211.
 
Comment:
Price is close to our pivot level; this could be the last opportunity for a reversal.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (Z6)‎ intraday: the bias remains bullish.
 
Pivot:
51720
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 51720 with targets at 53180 & 53855 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 51720 look for further downside with 50860 & 49900 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed with a bullish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (Z6)‎ intraday: further upside.
 
Pivot:
7480
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7480 with targets at 7652 & 7750 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7480 look for further downside with 7320 & 7100 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI advocates for further upside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : Pivot threshold in sight
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3356.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.3356 is resistance, with 1.3288 and 1.3273 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3356, look for 1.3383 and 1.3399.
 
Comment:
The asset's price is approaching our pivot level at a critical juncture, leaving little room for the asset to reverse its current trajectory.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday : Pivot threshold in sight
 
Our pivot point is at 53.36.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 53.36 is resistance, with 51.22 and 50.69 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 53.36, look for 54.26 and 54.79.
 
Comment:
The price is dangerously moving towards our pivot, one of the final opportunities for a reversal.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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