Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
February 14, 2026
 
   
 
S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Crude Oil (WTI)   Dow Jones (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  U.S. Market Overview:  
 
 
On Friday, stocks were choppy but ultimately ended the day on a positive note. The S&P 500 rose by 3 points (+0.05%) to reach 6,836, while the Nasdaq 100 increased by 45 points (+0.18%) to 24,732. The Dow also gained 48 points (+0.1%), closing at 49,500.

In terms of sector performance, Utilities (XLU), Real Estate (XLRE), and Health Care (XLV) were the standout sectors, while Financials (XLF), Communication Services (XLC), and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) lagged behind.

For the week overall, the S&P 500 declined by 1.39%, the Nasdaq 100 slid by 1.37%, and the Dow dropped by 1.23%. Utilities (XLU) emerged as the top sector for the week, while Financials (XLF) faced the greatest decline.

The U.S. stock market is scheduled to be closed on Monday, February 16, in observance of Presidents' Day, with regular trading set to resume on Tuesday, February 17.
 
 
  U.S. Economic Developments:  
 
 
The inflation rate came in at 2.4% year over year in January, as expected. Meanwhile, the core inflation rate showed an increase of 2.5% year over year, also as expected.
 
 
  U.S. Equity News:  
 
 
Applied Materials (AMAT) rose by 8.08% following quarterly financial results that exceeded expectations.

Coinbase (COIN) surged 16.46% on strong 2025 trading volume. Also, 2025 subscription and services revenue increased to 2.8 billion dollars from 2.3 billion dollars in 2024. Additionally, the stock saw positive trading on the back of positive trading of Bitcoin.

Rivian Automotive (RIVN) jumped 26.64% as its quarterly financial results surpassed forecasts. The company also projects vehicle deliveries of 62,000 to 67,000 for 2026, representing a year-over-year increase of 47% to 59%.

Arista Networks (ANET) climbed 4.79% based on encouraging sales guidance for the current quarter, along with fourth-quarter financial results that exceeded expectations.

Airbnb (ABNB) gained 4.65% due to strong sales guidance for the full year.
 
 
  Europe Market Overview:  
 
 
At the European close, the major indices in the region mostly finished higher. Germany's DAX increased by 62 points (+0.25%) to 24,914, while the U.K.'s FTSE 100 rose by 43 points (+0.42%) to 10,446. In contrast, France's CAC 40 dropped by 28 points (-0.35%) to 8,311.

On the economic front, the Eurozone's fourth-quarter GDP growth was confirmed at 0.3% in the second reading, matching the pace of the third quarter.
 
 
  Global Macro, FX & Commodities:  
 
 
Rates & Risk Sentiment:

On Friday, the VIX index fell by 0.22 points (-1.06%) to 20.6. Week to date, the VIX surged by 15.87%. Meanwhile, the U.S. 10-year yield decreased to 4.048%.

Precious Metals & Crude:

Precious metals experienced positive trading, with gold rising by $111.47 (+2.27%) to $5,031.16 and silver gaining $1.96 (+2.6%) to $77.12.

In contrast, WTI Crude Oil declined by $0.04 (-0.06%) to $62.80, following reports from Reuters that OPEC+ is considering restarting production increases as early as April.

The Dollar & Majors:

The dollar index fell 0.08 points (-0.08%) to 96.846.

EUR/USD rose 3 pips (+0.03%) to 1.1872.

GBP/USD advanced 29 pips (+0.21%) to 1.3649.

USD/JPY slid 7 pips (-0.05%) to 152.66.

USD/CHF slipped 13 pips (-0.17%) to 0.7677.

AUD/USD dropped 15 pips (-0.21%) to 0.7073.

USD/CAD climbed 11 pips (+0.08%) to 1.3618.

Digital Assets:

Cryptocurrencies made gains, with Bitcoin increasing by $3,049 (+4.63%) to $68,851, while Ethereum rose by $128 (+6.7%) to $2,051.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: turning down.
 
Pivot:
6895
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 6895 with targets at 6808 & 6770 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 6895 look for further upside with 6933 & 6970 as targets.
 
Comment:
A break below 6808 would trigger a drop towards 6770.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : the upside prevails as long as 1.1847 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1847.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.1847 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1847, expect 1.1823 and 1.1809.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1867 and 1.1866).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : the upside prevails as long as 1.3609 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3609.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.3609 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3609, expect 1.3568 and 1.3543.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3632 and 1.3623).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : the downside prevails as long as 153.27 is resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 153.27.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 153.27 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 153.27, look for 153.88 and 154.25.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 152.98 and 153.07).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: further upside.
 
Pivot:
4985
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 4985 with targets at 5080 & 5115 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4985 look for further downside with 4915 & 4880 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 5080 and then at 5115.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: turning down.
 
Pivot:
79.70
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 79.70 with targets at 74.40 & 72.30 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 79.70 look for further upside with 81.00 & 82.90 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
63.20
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 63.20 with targets at 61.90 & 61.50 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 63.20 look for further upside with 63.80 & 64.30 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
49820
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 49820 with targets at 49200 & 48960 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 49820 look for further upside with 49970 & 50290 as targets.
 
Comment:
Technically the RSI is below its neutrality area at 50.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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