TRADING CENTRAL

DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK

December 24, 2025

Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.

Crude Oil (WTI) Gold GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/USD Silver Dow Jones (CME) S&P 500 (CME)

Market Wrap

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

On Tuesday, the major indices in the U.S. rose for a fourth straight session. The S&P 500 advanced 31 points (+0.46%) to 6,909, while the Dow Jones gained 79 points (+0.16%) to 48,442, and the Nasdaq 100 rose 126 points (+0.50%) to 25,587.

On the sector front, the outperforming sectors were Energy (XLE), Communication Services (XLC), and Technology (XLK), while Consumer Staples (XLP), Health Care (XLV), and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) underperformed the most.

U.S. GDP growth for the third quarter was revised higher to 4.3% quarter-on-quarter, above the 3.2% expected, while durable goods orders fell by 2.2% month-on-month in October, compared with -0.9% estimated.

Mega-cap tech traded mostly higher, led by NVIDIA (NVDA) (+3.01%), which outperformed on continued AI momentum, while Amazon (AMZN) (+1.62%) and Alphabet (GOOGL) (+1.48%) also posted solid gains. Apple (AAPL) edged modestly higher (+0.51%), while Tesla (TSLA) was the lone laggard, slipping 0.65% amid mixed sentiment in electric vehicle names.

The U.S. 10-year yield rose to 4.165%.

In Europe, Germany's Dax 40 rose 0.23%, while France's Cac 40 fell 0.21%, and the U.K. FTSE 100 gained 0.24%.

In the commodities market, gold advanced 46 dollars (+1.04%) to a fresh record high at 4,491 dollars, while WTI crude oil futures climbed 0.37 dollars (+0.64%) to 58.38 dollars, up for a third straight session.

Market Wrap: Forex

The dollar index fell 0.34% to 97.94.

EUR/USD rose 29 pips (+0.25%) to 1.1789 and GBP/USD advanced 37 pips (+0.27%) to 1.3499.

USD/JPY fell 76 pips (-0.48%) to 156.29 and USD/CHF slipped 41 pips (-0.52%) to 0.7879.

AUD/USD rose 44 pips (+0.66%) to a 3-month high at 0.6699.

USD/CAD retreated 55 pips (-0.40%) to 1.3692. Canada's GDP grew 0.1% month-on-month in November, compared with the -0.2% estimated.

Finally, in the cryptocurrencies market, Bitcoin fell 640 dollars (-0.73%) to 87,611 dollars, and Ether dropped 23 dollars (-0.80%) to 2,963 dollars.

Morning Trading

In Asian trading hours, EUR/USD advanced to 1.1805 and GBP/USD bounced to 1.3530.

Meanwhile, USD/JPY declined to 155.63.

Gold climbed to 4,506 dollars.

Bitcoin slipped to 87,355 dollars.

Expected Today

In the U.S., weekly initial jobless claims are estimated at 226,000.

Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.

Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (G6)‎ Intraday: further advance.

Pivot:

58.10

Our preference:

Long positions above 58.10 with targets at 58.95 & 59.40 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Below 58.10 look for further downside with 57.75 & 57.25 as targets.

Comment:

The RSI calls for a bounce.

Trade

Gold Intraday: bullish bias above 4470.

Pivot:

4470

Our preference:

Long positions above 4470 with targets at 4505 & 4525 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Below 4470 look for further downside with 4448 & 4428 as targets.

Comment:

Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

Trade

GBP/USD Intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Pivot:

1.3490

Our preference:

Long positions above 1.3490 with targets at 1.3540 & 1.3560 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Below 1.3490 look for further downside with 1.3470 & 1.3450 as targets.

Comment:

Technically the RSI is above its neutrality area at 50.

Trade

USD/JPY Intraday: 155.00 in sight.

Pivot:

156.30

Our preference:

Short positions below 156.30 with targets at 155.40 & 155.00 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Above 156.30 look for further upside with 156.55 & 156.80 as targets.

Comment:

The RSI advocates for further decline.

Trade

EUR/USD Intraday: bullish bias above 1.1775.

Pivot:

1.1775

Our preference:

Long positions above 1.1775 with targets at 1.1810 & 1.1830 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Below 1.1775 look for further downside with 1.1760 & 1.1745 as targets.

Comment:

The RSI calls for a bounce.

Trade

Silver Intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Pivot:

70.60

Our preference:

Long positions above 70.60 with targets at 72.70 & 73.70 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Below 70.60 look for further downside with 69.80 & 68.80 as targets.

Comment:

The next resistances are at 72.70 and then at 73.70.

Trade

Dow Jones (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: bullish bias above 48460.

Pivot:

48460

Our preference:

Long positions above 48460 with targets at 48920 & 49130 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Below 48460 look for further downside with 48150 & 47900 as targets.

Comment:

The RSI is mixed to bullish.

Trade

S&P 500 (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: aim @ 6990.

Pivot:

6937

Our preference:

Long positions above 6937 with targets at 6990 & 7020 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Below 6937 look for further downside with 6912 & 6894 as targets.

Comment:

The break above 6937 is a positive signal that has opened a path to 6990.

Trade

TRADING FOREIGN EXCHANGE ON MARGIN CARRIES A HIGH LEVEL OF RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS.

THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS THAT YOU COULD SUSTAIN A LOSS OF SOME OR ALL OF YOUR INITIAL INVESTMENT AND THEREFORE YOU SHOULD NOT INVEST MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD TO LOSE.

THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE CAN WORK AGAINST YOU AS WELL AS FOR YOU. BEFORE DECIDING TO TRADE FOREIGN EXCHANGE OR CFD’S YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES, LEVEL OF EXPERIENCE, AND RISK APPETITE.

YOU SHOULD BE AWARE OF ALL THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH FOREIGN EXCHANGE AND OTHER CFD TRADING, AND SEEK ADVICE FROM AN INDEPENDENT FINANCIAL ADVISOR IF YOU HAVE ANY DOUBTS. VPFX RECOMMENDS READING THE RISK DISCLOSURE SECTION OF THE PROSPECTUS FOR ANY FINANCIAL PRODUCT MENTIONED.

VPFX is the trading name for Ventura Prime FX Limited with registration number LL16224 registered in Labuan F.T., Malaysia.

Ventura Prime FX Limited is authorised and regulated by the Labuan Financial Services Authority (LFSA). Registered Address:Kensington Gardens, No U1317, Lot 7616, Jalan Jumidar Buyong, 87000 Labuan Federal Territory, Malaysia

Ventura Prime FX Limited