DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK

September 15, 2026

Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.

Crude Oil (WTI) Gold GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/USD Silver Dow Jones (CME) S&P 500 (CME)

Market Wrap

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

On Monday, major U.S. stock indexes closed lower, with the S&P 500 falling 37 points (-0.48%) to 7,619, the Nasdaq 100 down 241 points (-0.82%) to 29,127, and the Dow Jones down 152 points (-0.29%) to 52,421.

Semiconductor stocks and other artificial intelligence (AI)-related stocks sold off, as heads of leading AI firms called for a slowdown in frontier AI development on safety grounds.

Nvidia (NVDA) fell 3.36%, Intel (INTC) dropped 5.59%, Broadcom (AVGO) declined 4.77%, and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) was down 4.40%.

Also, Lam Research (LRCX) sank 8.29%, Marvell Technology (MRVL) slid 7.32%, and Micron Technology (MU) was down 5.25%.

Friday's server-hardware leaders reversed sharply, with Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) tumbling 10.76% and Dell Technologies (DELL) slipping 5.82%.

Corning (GLW) plunged 13.70% after announcing plans to sell up to 2 billion dollars worth of shares.

Meanwhile, Alphabet (GOOGL) rose 3.22%, Meta Platforms (META) gained 2.71%, and Microsoft (MSFT) was up 1.97%.

Cybersecurity and enterprise software stocks outperformed the market, with CrowdStrike (CRWD) surging 13.85%, Palo Alto Networks (PANW) up 13.09%, Salesforce (CRM) up 4.73%, and Palantir Technologies (PLTR) up 3.64%.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield briefly pierced 5%, its highest level since October 2023, before settling at 4.998%.

In Europe, the DAX 40 fell 0.50% and the CAC 40 dropped 0.76%, while the FTSE 100 closed 0.44% higher.

U.S. WTI crude futures settled 1.34 dollars higher (+1.34%) at 101.39 dollars a barrel. Saudi Arabia closed its critical pipeline that bypasses the Strait of Hormuz due to a drone attack.

Spot gold remained weak, easing 49 dollars (-1.15%) to 4,299 dollars an ounce.

Market Wrap: Forex

The U.S. dollar traded higher, supported by oil-driven inflation fears and growing expectations of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday.

USD/JPY rebounded to around 154.35, while EUR/USD fell 50 pips to 1-month low at 1.1549, posting a three-session decline.

GBP/USD slipped 27 pips to 1.3500, and AUD/USD was down 32 pips to 0.7140.

USD/CHF gained 8 pips to 0.8173.

USD/CAD was up 31 pips to 1.3903. Canada’s inflation rate remained stable at 3.0% year-on-year in August, in line with expectations.

Bitcoin regained some traction, bouncing more than 2% to 78,600 dollars.

Morning Trading

In Asian trading hours, EUR/USD dropped to 1.1539 and GBP/USD slipped to 1.3488.

China's industrial production rose 5.2% year-on-year in August (vs 4.8% expected).

Meanwhile, USD/JPY advanced to 154.76.

Gold edged up to 4,313 dollars.

Bitcoin eased to 77,750 dollars.

Expected Today

The U.K. jobless rate for the May-July period is expected to edge up to 5.0%.

The eurozone's trade surplus for July is estimated at 14.4 billion euros.

Germany's ZEW Economic Sentiment Index is expected to climb to 37.0 in September.

Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.

Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (X6)‎ intraday: further upside.

Pivot:

96.00

Our preference:

Long positions above 96.00 with targets at 100.00 & 101.40 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Below 96.00 look for further downside with 94.80 & 93.50 as targets.

Comment:

The RSI advocates for further advance.

Trade

Gold intraday : Trend at a crossroads

Our pivot point is at 4,326.

Our preference:

The downside prevails as long as 4,326 is resistance, with 4,212 and 4,182 as targets

Alternative scenario:

Above 4,326, look for 4,377 and 4,407.

Comment:

The asset's price is approaching our pivot level at a critical juncture, leaving little room for the asset to reverse its current trajectory.

Trade

GBP/USD intraday : Look for 1.3463

Our pivot point is at 1.3515.

Our preference:

The downside prevails as long as 1.3515 is resistance, with 1.3463 and 1.3451 as targets

Alternative scenario:

Above 1.3515, look for 1.3535 and 1.3548.

Comment:

The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3495 and 1.3493).

Trade

USD/JPY intraday : Target level as a potential turning point

Our pivot point is at 153.56.

Our preference:

The upside prevails as long as 153.56 is support, with 154.81 and 155.15 as targets

Alternative scenario:

Below 153.56, expect 152.98 and 152.64.

Comment:

Price is consolidating just below a key resistance level, setting the stage for an upside attempt.

Trade

EUR/USD intraday : Key support level approaches

Our pivot point is at 1.1570.

Our preference:

The downside prevails as long as 1.1570 is resistance, with 1.1533 and 1.1523 as targets

Alternative scenario:

Above 1.1570, look for 1.1586 and 1.1596.

Comment:

Prices are now approaching our first target. Reaching this level could trigger a pullback. Conversely, a decisive break below it could lead to a further fall.

Trade

Silver intraday : Pivotal moment

Our pivot point is at 63.79.

Our preference:

The downside prevails as long as 63.79 is resistance, with 61.18 and 60.52 as targets

Alternative scenario:

Above 63.79, look for 64.90 and 65.57.

Comment:

The asset price is approaching our pivot level, which represents one of the last opportunities for the asset to reverse its recent trend.

Trade

Dow Jones (CME)‎ (Z6)‎ intraday: consolidation.

Pivot:

53110

Our preference:

Short positions below 53110 with targets at 52640 & 52400 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Above 53110 look for further upside with 53350 & 53550 as targets.

Comment:

As long as 53110 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

Trade

S&P 500 (CME)‎ (Z6)‎ intraday: 7650 expected.

Pivot:

7730

Our preference:

Short positions below 7730 with targets at 7650 & 7623 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Above 7730 look for further upside with 7750 & 7770 as targets.

Comment:

The RSI calls for a drop.

Trade

TRADING FOREIGN EXCHANGE ON MARGIN CARRIES A HIGH LEVEL OF RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS.

THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS THAT YOU COULD SUSTAIN A LOSS OF SOME OR ALL OF YOUR INITIAL INVESTMENT AND THEREFORE YOU SHOULD NOT INVEST MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD TO LOSE.

THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE CAN WORK AGAINST YOU AS WELL AS FOR YOU. BEFORE DECIDING TO TRADE FOREIGN EXCHANGE OR CFD’S YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES, LEVEL OF EXPERIENCE, AND RISK APPETITE.

YOU SHOULD BE AWARE OF ALL THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH FOREIGN EXCHANGE AND OTHER CFD TRADING, AND SEEK ADVICE FROM AN INDEPENDENT FINANCIAL ADVISOR IF YOU HAVE ANY DOUBTS. VPFX RECOMMENDS READING THE RISK DISCLOSURE SECTION OF THE PROSPECTUS FOR ANY FINANCIAL PRODUCT MENTIONED.

VPFX is the trading name for Ventura Prime FX Limited with registration number LL16224 registered in Labuan F.T., Malaysia.

Ventura Prime FX Limited is authorised and regulated by the Labuan Financial Services Authority (LFSA). Registered Address:Kensington Gardens, No U1317, Lot 7616, Jalan Jumidar Buyong, 87000 Labuan Federal Territory, Malaysia

Ventura Prime FX Limited