Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
Newsletter Header
 
DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
July 25, 2026
 
   
 
Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Crude Oil (WTI)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  U.S. Market Overview:  
 
 
On Friday, the major indexes ended in mixed territory following a volatile session as investors looked ahead to the next round of megacap earnings reports scheduled for next week.

The S&P 500 rose 3.68 points (+0.05%) to 7,411.98, while the Dow gained 235.6 points (+0.46%) to 51,947.25. In contrast, the Nasdaq 100 fell 326.466 points (-1.15%) to 28,128.342. Most sectors closed higher, led by Real Estate (XLRE), Materials (XLB), and Consumer Staples (XLP). Technology (XLK) was the only sector to finish down.
 
 
  U.S. Economic Developments:  
 
 
New home sales rose 1.6% month over month in June, trailing the 3.4% expected gain. At the same time, the S&P Global Composite PMI improved to 53.6 in July, beating the 52.3 estimate. The Manufacturing PMI came in at 53.8, below the 54.2 forecast, while the Services PMI climbed to 53.6, well above the 51.4 expected.
 
 
  U.S. Equity News:  
 
 
Apple (AAPL) rose 3.54% after Morgan Stanley reiterated an “Overweight” rating.

Intel (INTC) fell 7.90% even though it delivered a strong third-quarter outlook supported by resilient demand. The company also reported second-quarter results that exceeded expectations.

Oracle (ORCL) dropped 4.20%. The company secured a 10-year contract worth up to $6.99 billion from the Pentagon, intended to centralize and streamline the purchase of Oracle products and services across the department.

American Express (AXP) declined 4.28% following mixed second-quarter results, with earnings beating expectations but revenue coming in below forecasts.

Verizon Communications (VZ) climbed 5.93% after increasing its full-year outlook for adjusted EPS and free cash flow.

SLB (SLB) surged 11.10% after posting quarterly earnings that topped expectations.
 
 
  Europe Market Overview:  
 
 
European indices finished in positive territory. Germany's Dax rose 335pts (+1.36%) to 25099, France's Cac 40 gained 73pts (+0.88%) to 8372, and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 increased 97pts (+0.91%) to 10736.

On the data front, the eurozone’s S&P Global composite PMI climbed to 51.9 in July (first estimate), up from 50.0 in June and above the 50.5 expected. The UK’s S&P Global manufacturing PMI rose to 52.8 (52 forecast) from 52.5 in June. British retail sales also grew 1.0% month-on-month in June, compared with -0.3% expected and after a 1.2% increase in May. In Germany, the GfK consumer confidence leading indicator fell to -29.6 for August, slightly below the -29 forecast and down from -29.3 in July (revised from -29.2).
 
 
  Global Macro, FX & Commodities:  
 
 
Rates & Risk Sentiment:

The VIX dipped 0.12pts (-0.64%) to 18.58 and the US 10 year yield fell to 4.683%.

Precious Metals & Crude:

In the commodities market, Gold rose 5.64 dollars (+0.14%) to 4052.79 and Silver gained 0.46 dollars (+0.79%) to 58.13.

WTI Crude Oil slipped 2.11 dollars (-2.29%) to 90.08. President Trump vowed “major military punishment” for Iran and its Houthi allies following a Houthi attack on two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea. The Wall Street Journal also reported that Bahrain and Kuwait secretly dispatched jets to strike targets inside Iran, marking their first direct retaliation.

The Dollar & Majors:

The dollar index increased 0.03pts (+0.03%) to 101.478.

EUR/USD dropped 8pips (-0.07%) to 1.1368.

GBP/USD added 3pips (+0.02%) to 1.3316.

USD/JPY fell 2pips (-0.01%) to 163.83. Japan’s core inflation rose to 1.6% year over year in June, exceeding the 1.5% forecast.

USD/CHF climbed 18pips (+0.22%) to 0.8183.

AUD/USD rose 12pips (+0.17%) to 0.6979.

USD/CAD advanced 20pips (+0.14%) to 1.4102. Canada’s PPI rose 12.4% year over year in June, coming in below the 12.8% forecast and easing from 13.6% in May. It was the first slowdown in growth after three consecutive months of acceleration.

Digital Assets:

Finally, in the cryptocurrencies market, Bitcoin fell 933 dollars (-1.43%) to 64176 and Ethereum dropped 21 dollars (-1.16%) to 1863.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: turning down.
 
Pivot:
52300
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 52300 with targets at 51840 & 51720 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 52300 look for further upside with 52510 & 52670 as targets.
 
Comment:
A break below 51840 would trigger a drop towards 51720.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: turning down.
 
Pivot:
7465
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 7465 with targets at 7412 & 7390 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 7465 look for further upside with 7495 & 7515 as targets.
 
Comment:
Technically the RSI is below its neutrality area at 50.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : 1.1340 in sight
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1389.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.1389 is resistance, with 1.1340 and 1.1327 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1389, look for 1.1412 and 1.1425.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1377 and 1.1380).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : 1.3272 in sight
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3356.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.3356 is resistance, with 1.3272 and 1.3251 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3356, look for 1.3390 and 1.3411.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The price is below its 20 period moving average (1.3326) but above its 50 period moving average (1.3322).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : Expect 164.17
 
Our pivot point is at 163.52.
 
Our preference:
As long as 163.52 is support, look for 164.33
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 163.52, expect 163.25 and 163.08.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 163.79 and 163.80).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday : Target 4,008
 
Our pivot point is at 4,077.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 4,077 is resistance, with 4,008 and 3,990 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4,077, look for 4,106 and 4,124.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The price is below its 20 period moving average (4,062) but above its 50 period moving average (4,051).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday : Towards 58.96
 
Our pivot point is at 57.29.
 
Our preference:
Our next up target stands at 59.28
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 57.29, expect 56.75 and 56.44.
 
Comment:
The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price is below its 20 period moving average (58.48) but above its 50 period moving average (58.00).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
90.40
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 90.40 with targets at 87.70 & 86.40 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 90.40 look for further upside with 91.20 & 92.30 as targets.
 
Comment:
The upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 90.40.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
Banner Ad
     
 
 
  Twitter   LinkedIn   Instagram   FaceBook   YouTube  
 
 
 
 
TRADING FOREIGN EXCHANGE ON MARGIN CARRIES A HIGH LEVEL OF RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS.

THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS THAT YOU COULD SUSTAIN A LOSS OF SOME OR ALL OF YOUR INITIAL INVESTMENT AND THEREFORE YOU SHOULD NOT INVEST MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD TO LOSE.

THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE CAN WORK AGAINST YOU AS WELL AS FOR YOU. BEFORE DECIDING TO TRADE FOREIGN EXCHANGE OR CFD’S YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES, LEVEL OF EXPERIENCE, AND RISK APPETITE.

YOU SHOULD BE AWARE OF ALL THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH FOREIGN EXCHANGE AND OTHER CFD TRADING, AND SEEK ADVICE FROM AN INDEPENDENT FINANCIAL ADVISOR IF YOU HAVE ANY DOUBTS. VPFX RECOMMENDS READING THE RISK DISCLOSURE SECTION OF THE PROSPECTUS FOR ANY FINANCIAL PRODUCT MENTIONED.

VPFX is the trading name for Ventura Prime FX Limited with registration number LL16224 registered in Labuan F.T., Malaysia.

Ventura Prime FX Limited is authorised and regulated by the Labuan Financial Services Authority (LFSA). Registered Address:Kensington Gardens, No U1317, Lot 7616, Jalan Jumidar Buyong, 87000 Labuan Federal Territory, Malaysia

 
 
 
 
Client Logo
 
Ventura Prime FX Limited
Trading Central