Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
August 13, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
 
U.S. Market Overview:

On Wednesday, the major indices in the U.S. finished mixed in a relatively flat session. The S&P 500 advanced 20.3pts (+0.26%) to 7748.5, the Nasdaq 100 rose 217.125pts (+0.74%) to 29742.604, while the Dow fell 21.58pts (-0.04%) to 53770.27.

On the sector front, Technology (XLK), Real Estate (XLRE), and Utilities (XLU) outperformed, while Materials (XLB), Consumer Discretionary (XLY), and Communication Services (XLC) underperformed the most.

U.S. Economic Developments:

On the economic front, U.S. headline inflation eased to 3.4% year-on-year in July from 3.5% in June, matching expectations. Core inflation also cooled to 2.5% from 2.6%, in line with forecasts, while core prices rose 0.2% month-on-month, as expected.

U.S. Equity News:

SpaceX (SPCX), a space exploration and satellite communications company continued to rebound, jumping 9.65% after CEO Elon Musk outlined an optimistic outlook for AI-driven internet traffic, Starlink growth, and the company’s long-term expansion plans during an employee meeting.

Super Micro Computer (SMCI), an IT solution provider, rallied 19% after issuing better-than-expected current quarter guidance.

CoreWeave (CRWV), a cloud-based AI infrastructure company, jumped 19.28% after quarterly adjusted operating income margin blew estimates.

Lumentum Holdings (LITE), an optical and photonic technologies company, gained 13.63% after posting quarterly financial figures above expectations.

H&R Block (HRB), a provider of tax return services, surged 16% after current quarter guidance topped estimates.

CAVA Group (CAVA), a Mediterranean restaurant chain, jumped 14.24% on better-than-expected quarterly financial figures.

NVIDIA (NVDA), a leading designer of graphics processors and AI chips, rose 3.03%.

Volatility & Commodities Snapshot:

The VIX index fell 0.73pt (-4.78%) to 14.55, while the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield declined 3.1 basis points to 4.688%.

In the commodities market, gold rose 40.05 dollars (+0.92%) to 4406.89, silver gained 0.57 dollars (+0.87%) to 65.24, while WTI crude oil slipped 0.37 dollars (-0.44%) to 82.83.

Europe Market Overview:

At the European close, the major indices in the region finished in negative territory. Germany's DAX fell 60pts (-0.23%) to 26331, France's CAC 40 declined 40pts (-0.46%) to 8674, and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 dropped 11pts (-0.10%) to 10833.

Foreign Exchange & Crypto Wrap:

The dollar index rose 0.18pt (+0.18%) to 100.006.

EUR/USD fell 18pips (-0.16%) to 1.1522.

GBP/USD slipped 13pips (-0.10%) to 1.3491.

USD/JPY rose 19pips (+0.12%) to 159.46.

USD/CHF advanced 30pips (+0.37%) to 0.8136.

AUD/USD was unchanged at 0.706.

USD/CAD advanced 19pips (+0.14%) to 1.3942.

Finally, in the cryptocurrencies market, Bitcoin fell 242 dollars (-0.38%) to 63457, while Ethereum rose 2 dollars (+0.12%) to 1883.

#AFTER HOURS#

Cisco Systems (CSCO), a networking equipment maker, reported stronger fiscal fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted earnings on robust networking demand, while issuing a positive fiscal 2027 outlook and highlighting continued AI infrastructure growth.

Coherent (COHR), a photonics and optical technology company, reported stronger fiscal fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted earnings on robust datacenter and communications demand, while issuing a positive first-quarter outlook driven by AI-related optical connectivity growth.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: key resistance at 84.55.
 
Pivot:
84.55
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 84.55 with targets at 82.40 & 81.20 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 84.55 look for further upside with 85.55 & 86.90 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed with a bearish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
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Gold intraday : On the edge of pivot level
 
Our pivot point is at 4,386.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 4,386 is support, with 4,485 and 4,507 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4,386, expect 4,348 and 4,326.
 
Comment:
The asset is now hovering dangerously close to our pivot, representing a pivotal moment that could be among the last opportunities for a trend reversal.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
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S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: bullish bias above 7737.
 
Pivot:
7737
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7737 with targets at 7795 & 7820 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7737 look for further downside with 7725 & 7690 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed to bullish.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : 1.1497 expected
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1546.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.1546 is resistance, with 1.1497 and 1.1485 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1546, look for 1.1566 and 1.1579.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1535 and 1.1537).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : On the edge of pivot level
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3482.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.3482 is support, with 1.3551 and 1.3571 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3482, expect 1.3449 and 1.3430.
 
Comment:
The asset's price is approaching our pivot level at a critical juncture, leaving little room for the asset to reverse its current trajectory.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
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USD/JPY intraday : Pivot threshold in sight
 
Our pivot point is at 159.57.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 159.57 is resistance, with 158.27 and 158.09 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 159.57, look for 159.86 and 160.04.
 
Comment:
The asset price is approaching our pivot level, which represents one of the last opportunities for the asset to reverse its recent trend.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday : Towards 66.78
 
Our pivot point is at 64.52.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 64.52 is support, with 66.78 and 67.42 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 64.52, expect 63.45 and 62.81.
 
Comment:
The next trend direction will be confirmed by key price levels.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: intraday support around 53820.
 
Pivot:
53820
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 53820 with targets at 54180 & 54340 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 53820 look for further downside with 53660 & 53490 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed and calls for caution.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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