Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
March 4, 2026
 
   
 
Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Crude Oil (WTI)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  U.S. Market Overview:  
 
 
On Tuesday, stocks closed lower but managed to reduce earlier losses as investor concerns grew that the conflict in the Middle East might last longer than anticipated.

The S&P 500 decreased by 64 points (-0.94%) to 6816. The Nasdaq 100 fell 272 points (-1.09%) to 24720, while the Dow declined by 403 points (-0.83%) to 48501.

Most sectors ended the day in the red, with Materials (XLB), Industrials (XLI), and Technology (XLK) experiencing the steepest declines. The Communication Services (XLC) sector was the only one that finished marginally higher.
 
 
  U.S. Economic Developments:  
 
 
No significant economic data was released in the U.S. on Tuesday. In the coming days, investors can anticipate updates on February's Non-farm Payrolls and the latest Unemployment Rate figures. Additionally, the latest updates on Retail Sales, ADP Employment Change, ISM Services PMI, and Initial Jobless Claims will be announced.
 
 
  U.S. Equity News:  
 
 
Semiconductor stocks faced pressure amid overall market sentiment, with Nvidia (NVDA) decreasing by 1.33%, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) falling 3.86%, Micron Technology (MU) declining 7.99%, and Intel (INTC) dropping 5.27%.

In contrast, Target (TGT) surged 6.74% after its full-year adjusted EPS guidance surpassed expectations, and its quarterly earnings also exceeded forecasts.

Paramount Skydance (PSKY) lost 6.67% following Fitch's downgrade of the media and entertainment company's credit rating to junk status.

Meanwhile, MongoDB (MDB) plummeted 22.24% as its financial guidance for the current quarter disappointed investors.

AST Space Mobile (ASTS) increased by 6.63%, driven by a remarkable 2,731% year-over-year revenue growth in the fourth quarter, exceeding expectations.
 
 
  Europe Market Overview:  
 
 
European indices finished well in negative territory, with Germany's Dax declining 847 points (-3.44%) to 23790, France's Cac 40 falling 290 points (-3.46%) to 8103, and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 dropping 295 points (-2.75%) to 10484.
 
 
  Global Macro, FX & Commodities:  
 
 
Rates & Risk Sentiment:

Market volatility increased for the fourth consecutive day, as the VIX rose by 2.13 points (+9.93%) to 23.57. Concurrently, the U.S. 10-year yield climbed to 4.061%.

Precious Metals & Crude:

Precious metals experienced a tumultuous trading session, with Gold dropping by $233.20 (-4.38%) to $5,093.62 and Silver declining $7.37 (-8.24%) to $82.07.

In contrast, WTI Crude Oil rose by $3.21 (+4.51%) to $74.44 as the Trump administration indicated that strikes against Iran would persist for weeks and intensify, while Tehran continued its attacks on Gulf countries. Oil-tanker traffic in the crucial Strait of Hormuz has slowed to a near standstill, with over 3,000 vessels waiting to pass through.

The Dollar & Majors:

The dollar index rose 0.63 points (+0.64%) to 99.01.

EUR/USD fell 75 pips (-0.64%) to 1.1612.

GBP/USD slipped 49 pips (-0.37%) to 1.3356.

USD/JPY rose 36 pips (+0.23%) to 157.7. Japan's unemployment rate increased to 2.7% in January, surpassing the anticipated 2.6%.

USD/CHF advanced 23 pips (+0.3%) to 0.7812.

AUD/USD declined 54 pips (-0.76%) to 0.7037.

USD/CAD retreated 5 pips (-0.04%) to 1.3671.

Digital Assets:

Cryptocurrencies faced significant pressure, with Bitcoin declining by $1,460 (-2.1%) to $67,969 and Ethereum falling $80 (-3.94%) to $1,962.
 
 
  After Hours  
 
 
Ross Stores (ROST) gained traction in extended trading after announcing an annual revenue forecast that exceeded estimates.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: intraday support around 48310.
 
Pivot:
48310
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 48310 with targets at 48880 & 49130 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 48310 look for further downside with 47950 & 47680 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 48880 and then at 49130.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: intraday support around 6770.
 
Pivot:
6770
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 6770 with targets at 6852 & 6910 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 6770 look for further downside with 6720 & 6679 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 6852 and then at 6910.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD Intraday: rebound in sight.
 
Pivot:
1.1565
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.1565 with targets at 1.1645 & 1.1675 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1565 look for further downside with 1.1530 & 1.1500 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a bounce.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD Intraday: rebound expected.
 
Pivot:
1.3305
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.3305 with targets at 1.3390 & 1.3420 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3305 look for further downside with 1.3275 & 1.3250 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY Intraday: bullish bias above 157.40.
 
Pivot:
157.40
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 157.40 with targets at 157.95 & 158.25 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 157.40 look for further downside with 157.10 & 156.80 as targets.
 
Comment:
Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: watch 5050.
 
Pivot:
5175
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 5175 with targets at 5050 & 4995 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 5175 look for further upside with 5260 & 5335 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: watch 79.50.
 
Pivot:
85.10
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 85.10 with targets at 79.50 & 77.90 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 85.10 look for further upside with 87.50 & 89.30 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 85.10 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (J6)‎ Intraday: towards 77.90.
 
Pivot:
72.80
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 72.80 with targets at 76.60 & 77.90 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 72.80 look for further downside with 71.60 & 70.40 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI has just landed on its neutrality area at 50% and is turning up.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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