Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
February 25, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: pre-opening session  
 
 
U.S. market futures gain some ground after major U.S. stock indexes closed higher yesterday, led by technology stocks. The Nasdaq 100 rose 268 points (+1.09%) to 24,977, and the S&P 500 gained 52 points (+0.77%) to 6,890.

The Dow Jones was up 370 points (+0.76%) to 49,174.

No major economic stat is expected today in the U.S.

European indices are trading green with the STOXX Europe 600 index posting new all-time highs. On the stat front, Germany's GfK consumer confidence index was -24.7 for March vs -23.8 expected and -24.2 in February (revised from -24.1).

Asian indexes were well oriented with Japan's Nikkei 225 and South Korea's Kospi both hitting new record highs. On the stat plan, Australia's inflation rate stayed at 3.8% year-on-year in January, above 3.7% estimated.

WTI crude oil futures consolidate below 66.00 dollars.

Silver jumps above 90.00 dollars while gold still consolidates below 5,250 dollars.

Bitcoin slightly rebounds after halting its correction, currently trading around above 65,000 dollars.
 
 
  Premarket news  
 
 
Nvidia (NVDA), a chip giant, is slightly higher as the company is expected to post quarterly results after market close.

HP (HPQ), a provider of computers, printers and printer supplies, drops after warning that it "expects to be at the lower end of the fiscal 2026 guidance range for GAAP diluted net EPS, non-GAAP diluted net EPS and free cash flow."

Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD), a media and entertainment company, said Paramount Skydance (PSKY) sweetened its buyout offer to 31 dollars per share from 30 dollars per share.

Lowe's (LOW), a home improvement retailer, loses ground as full-year same-store sales and earnings forecasts missed estimates.

Lucid Group (LCID), an electric automotive company, is badly oriented quarterly loss per share was wider than expected. However, sales beat estimates. Also, the company said it is cutting 12% of its U.S. workforce.

CAVA Group (CAVA), a Mediterranean fast-casual restaurant brand, pops as quarterly financial figures as well as full-year guidance all topped expectations.

Workday (WDAY), a leader in enterprise cloud applications for finance and human resources, tumbles as current quarter subscription revenues forecast failed to impress investors. As well, current quarter operating margin guidance missed estimates.

CoStar Group (CSGP), a leader in commercial real estate information, drops as current quarter adjusted EPS forecast missed expectations.

First Solar (FSLR), a maker of solar panels, tumbles as quarterly adjusted EPS missed estimates. Moreover, full-year sales guidance also disappointed investors.

MercadoLibre (MELI), a Latin American online trading site, gains ground as quarterly sales topped estimates.

Axon Enterprise (AXON), a weapons and technology company, surges on better-than-expected full-year sales growth guidance. Moreover, quarterly financial figures also beat expectations.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
Nvidia (NVDA)

TJX Companies (TJX)

Salesforce (CRM)

Lowe's Companies (LOW)

Synopsys (SNPS)

Medline (MDLN)

Snowflake (SNOW)

Heico (HEI)
 
 
  Canada  
 
 
Earning Release:

Bank of Montreal (BMO)

Loblaw Companies Ltd (L)

National Bank of Canada (NA)

WSP Global Inc (WSP)

CCL Industries Inc (CCL.B)

On Tuesday, the S&P/TSX Composite Index rose 0.57% to 33,970, and the S&P/TSX 60 Index was up 0.35% to 1,958.

Loblaw (L), a retailer, posted quarterly adjusted Ebitda up 11.3% to 1.775 billion dollars on sales up 11.3% to 16.38 billion dollars. Both figures missed estimates.

Barrick Mining (ABX)'s, a gold producer, target price was raised to 91 dollars from 89 dollars at JPMorgan.

National Bank of Canada (NA), a banking group, unveiled quarterly adjusted EPS up to 3.25 dollars, above expectations, from 2.93 dollars a year earlier

Element Fleet Management (EFN), a fleet management group, reported quarterly adjusted EPS up to 0.33 dollar, yet below estimates, from 0.27 dollar a year earlier. Sales rose 16% to 313.4 million dollars, slightly above expectations.

Cargojet (CJT), a provider of air cargo services, posted quarterly adjusted Ebitda up 3.6% to 95.0 million dollars. Sales fell 2.9% to 284.7 million dollars, yet above estimates.

Topaz Energy (TPZ), a royalty and energy infrastructure company, unveiled quarterly net income up 64% to 32.7 million dollars. The company announced a quarterly dividend of 0.34 dollar per share.

Altus Group (AIF)'s, a leading provider of asset and fund intelligence for commercial real estate, target price was cut to 55 dollars from 67 dollars at TD Cowen.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (J6)‎ Intraday: key resistance at 65.80.
 
Pivot:
65.80
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 65.80 with targets at 64.95 & 64.40 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 65.80 look for further upside with 66.35 & 66.60 as targets.
 
Comment:
The upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 65.80.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: the bias remains bullish.
 
Pivot:
5165
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 5165 with targets at 5235 & 5270 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 5165 look for further downside with 5125 & 5090 as targets.
 
Comment:
The immediate trend remains up but the momentum is weak.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : the upside prevails as long as 1.1784 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1784.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.1784 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1784, expect 1.1760 and 1.1746.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1792 and 1.1789).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : the upside prevails as long as 1.3515 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3515.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.3515 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3515, expect 1.3472 and 1.3446.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3530 and 1.3517).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : as long as 155.90 is support look for 157.74
 
Our pivot point is at 155.90.
 
Our preference:
As long as 155.90 is support look for 157.74
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 155.90, expect 155.22 and 154.82.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price could retrace. Moreover, the price is below its 20 period moving average (156.54) but above its 50 period moving average (156.14).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: intraday support around 89.00.
 
Pivot:
89.00
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 89.00 with targets at 92.80 & 94.40 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 89.00 look for further downside with 88.00 & 86.50 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 92.80 and then at 94.40.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: further advance.
 
Pivot:
49200
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 49200 with targets at 49720 & 49900 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 49200 look for further downside with 49000 & 48800 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: look for 6985.
 
Pivot:
6935
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 6935 with targets at 6985 & 7010 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 6935 look for further downside with 6915 & 6895 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 6985 and then at 7010.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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