Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
April 30, 2026
 
   
 
S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Crude Oil (WTI)   Dow Jones (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  U.S. Market Overview:  
 
 
The US stock market ended Wednesday on a mixed note, as investors awaited key earnings reports from major technology companies and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain its benchmark federal funds rate at current levels.

The S&P 500 slipped 2pts (-0.04%) to 7135 while the Dow fell 280pts (-0.57%) to 48861. On the other hand, the Nasdaq 100 rose 157pts (+0.58%) to 27186.

On the sector front, the outperforming sectors were Energy (XLE), Technology (XLK), and Financials (XLF) while Utilities (XLU), Materials (XLB), and Health Care (XLV) underperformed the most.
 
 
  U.S. Economic Developments:  
 
 
The Federal Reserve kept the Fed funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%, in line with market expectations. In a notable announcement, Fed Chair Powell stated that he will remain on the Federal Reserve's board of governors beyond his current term as chair, which expires on May 15. Additionally, a significant dissent was recorded, with four out of 12 officials voting against the rate decision, marking the highest level of dissent at a policy meeting since 1992.
 
 
  U.S. Equity News:  
 
 
Seagate Technology (STX) soared 11.10% after issuing upbeat guidance for the current quarter and reporting quarterly financial results that exceeded expectations.

NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) skyrocketed 25.55% following a strong quarterly earnings report and optimistic guidance for the current quarter that surpassed analyst estimates.

Robinhood (HOOD) plummeted 13.24% after posting quarterly financial results that fell short of expectations.

Starbucks (SBUX) climbed 8.45% after raising its full-year outlook, beating investor expectations.

T-Mobile US (TMUS) gained 6.13% following an upward revision to its full-year forecast for postpaid net account additions.

Visa (V) jumped 27.21% after delivering quarterly financial results that exceeded analyst estimates.
 
 
  Europe Market Overview:  
 
 
At the European close, the major indices in the region finished in negative territory. Germany's Dax fell 63pts (-0.27%) to 23954, France's Cac 40 dropped 31pts (-0.39%) to 8072, and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 slid 119pts (-1.16%) to 10213.
 
 
  Global Macro, FX & Commodities:  
 
 
Rates & Risk Sentiment:

The VIX jumped 0.98pts (+5.5%) to 18.81 while the US 10 year yield climbed to 4.428%.

Precious Metals & Crude:

Precious metals were under pressure, with Gold sliding 50.92 dollars (-1.11%) to 4543.59 while Silver dropped 1.75 dollars (-2.39%) to 71.33.

WTI Crude Oil advanced 8.02 dollars (+8.03%) to 107.95, driven by reports that US President Trump has instructed his aides to prepare for a prolonged blockade of Iran, according to The Wall Street Journal.

The Dollar & Majors:

The dollar index rose 0.33pts (+0.33%) to 98.965.

EUR/USD declined 39pips (-0.33%) to 1.1672.

GBP/USD retreated 44pips (-0.33%) to 1.3472.

USD/JPY rose 81pips (+0.51%) to 160.42.

USD/CHF advanced 25pips (+0.32%) to 0.7916.

AUD/USD fell 64pips (-0.89%) to 0.7116.

USD/CAD slipped 6pips (-0.04%) to 1.3677. The Bank of Canada maintained its interest rate at 2.25%, as expected.

Digital Assets:

Bitcoin declined 726 dollars (-0.95%) to 75743 while Ethereum dropped 52 dollars (-2.28%) to 2243.
 
 
  After Hours  
 
 
Alphabet (GOOGL) rose in after-hours trading, driven by strong revenue and profit growth that surpassed expectations for the first quarter.

Microsoft (MSFT) declined as its cloud revenue growth failed to meet investor expectations.

Amazon.com (AMZN) remained under pressure, as investors continue to worry about the company's significant CapEx on AI and cloud infrastructure.

Meta Platforms (META) fell in after-hours trading, following an increase in its forecasted capital expenditures for 2026.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: look for 7125.
 
Pivot:
7165
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 7165 with targets at 7125 & 7115 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 7165 look for further upside with 7175 & 7188 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 7165 is resistance, likely decline to 7125.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : the downside prevails as long as 1.1700 is resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1700.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.1700 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1700, look for 1.1724 and 1.1738.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1694 and 1.1703). Finally, the EUR/USD is trading below its lower Bollinger band (standing at 1.1674).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : the downside prevails as long as 1.3517 is resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3517.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.3517 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3517, look for 1.3563 and 1.3590.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3494 and 1.3506).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : the RSI is overbought
 
Our pivot point is at 159.88.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 159.88 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 159.88, expect 159.44 and 159.17.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above 70. It could mean either that the price is in a lasting uptrend or just overbought and therefore bound to correct (look for bearish divergence in this case). The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 160.07 and 159.80).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: key resistance at 4520.
 
Pivot:
4520
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 4520 with targets at 4580 & 4610 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4520 look for further downside with 4480 & 4455 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 4520 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 4580 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: target 69.90.
 
Pivot:
72.10
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 72.10 with targets at 69.90 & 68.40 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 72.10 look for further upside with 73.00 & 73.90 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: watch 110.00.
 
Pivot:
106.30
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 106.30 with targets at 110.00 & 112.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 106.30 look for further downside with 103.80 & 102.80 as targets.
 
Comment:
Investors have to remain cautious since these levels may trigger profit taking.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
49000
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 49000 with targets at 48650 & 48530 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 49000 look for further upside with 49150 & 49230 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI has broken down its 30 level.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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