Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
December 19, 2025
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: pre-opening session  
 
 
U.S. market futures are slightly up. On Thursday, U.S. technology stocks rebounded, with the Nasdaq 100 jumping 371 points (+1.51%) to 25,019. The S&P 500 added 53 points (+0.79%) to 6,774, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 65 points (+0.14%) to 47,951.

Investors were relieved to see that U.S. consumer price inflation eased to 2.7% year on year in November, lower than expected.

Micron Technology (MU) jumped 10.21%. The maker of artificial-intelligence-related (AI) memory chips reported better-than-expected quarterly revenue and earnings, and issued a strong result outlook.

On the statistical front, U.S. existing home sales are expected to fall 4.8% month on month in November. Also, Canada's retail sales are expected to be up 0.3% month-on-month in November.

European indices are mixed. On the stat front, in Germany, producer prices fell by 2.3% year on year in November, compared with an expected decline of 2.0%, after a 1.8% drop in the previous month. In addition, the GfK leading indicator of consumer confidence came in at -26.9 for January, versus -23 expected and after -23.4 a month earlier (revised from -23.2). In France, producer prices declined by 3.3% year on year in November, compared with an expected fall of 3.5%, after a 0.8% drop in October. Finally, in the UK, retail sales fell by 0.1% month on month in November, versus an expected increase of 0.4% and after a 0.9% decline in October (revised from -1.1%). In addition, the GfK consumer confidence index came in at -17 in December, compared with -18 expected and after -19 in November.

Asian indices closed on the upside. On the economic front, as expected, the Bank of Japan raised its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 0.75%, the highest level since 1995. Also, Japan's core inflation rate held steady at 3.0% year on year in November.

WTI crude oil futures are slightly up, still set for a second straight weekly decline, as a potential supply glut and prospects of a Russia-Ukraine peace deal offset concerns over disruptions from a blockade of Venezuelan oil tankers.

Gold edges lower.

Bitcoin is gaining ground, currently trading around 88,000 dollars.
 
 
  Premarket news  
 
 
Nike (NKE), the global athletic footwear and apparel company, plunges after reporting a drop in its gross margin for the second quarter, weighed down by a 17% decline in sales in China during the period.

Oracle (ORCL), a cloud technology company, gains ground as it is part of an investor group set to take control of TikTok’s U.S. operations following an agreement with ByteDance. U.S. investors will own 80.1% of the new venture, while ByteDance will retain a 19.9% stake.

Nvidia (NVDA), a leading designer of graphics processors, is well oriented after Reuters reported that the U.S. launched a review that could result in the first shipments to China of NVDA's second-most powerful chips.

FedEx (FDX), the global transportation and logistics company, loses some ground despite reporting solid second-quarter earnings and raising its fiscal 2026 outlook, as the company anticipates 175 million dollars in unexpected costs due to the grounding of its MD-11 cargo fleet following a deadly UPS crash last month.

Coty (COTY), the global beauty company, sold its remaining 25.8% stake in the haircare brand Wella to investment fund KKR (KKR) for 750 million dollars. Coty, however, retains rights to a portion of the proceeds from any future sale or IPO.

Lockheed Martin (LMT), a defense and advanced technology company, was downgraded to "neutral" from "overweight" at JPMorgan.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
Paychex (PAYX)

Carnival (CCL)
 
 
  Canada  
 
 
The S&P/TSX Composite Index gained 0.61% to 31,441 and the S&P/TSX 60 Index rose 0.74% to 1,848.

Blackberry (BB), the security software company, reported third quarter EPS up to 0.02 dollar, from an LPS of 0.02 dollar a year earlier, on sales down 1.3% to 141.8 million dollars. The company also raised the lower end of its fiscal 2026 revenue forecast.

Lundin Mining (LUN), the mining company, signed a definitive agreement to sell its subsidiary Lundin Mining US which indirectly holds the Eagle mine and Humboldt Mill to Talon Metals in return for 275.2 million Talon shares, representing 18.4% of Talon's issued and outstanding shares. The implied valuation of the share consideration is approximately 83.7 million dollars.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (G6)‎ Intraday: key resistance at 56.45.
 
Pivot:
56.45
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 56.45 with targets at 55.50 & 54.95 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 56.45 look for further upside with 56.85 & 57.20 as targets.
 
Comment:
Even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD Intraday: choppy.
 
Pivot:
1.1700
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.1700 with targets at 1.1740 & 1.1760 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1700 look for further downside with 1.1680 & 1.1660 as targets.
 
Comment:
Intraday technical indicators are mixed and call for caution.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD Intraday: caution.
 
Pivot:
1.3355
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.3355 with targets at 1.3405 & 1.3425 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3355 look for further downside with 1.3335 & 1.3315 as targets.
 
Comment:
Intraday technical indicators lack momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY Intraday: further advance.
 
Pivot:
156.55
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 156.55 with targets at 157.50 & 157.90 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 156.55 look for further downside with 155.75 & 155.30 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI advocates for further upside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: target 4345.
 
Pivot:
4307
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 4307 with targets at 4345 & 4374 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4307 look for further downside with 4290 & 4270 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is around its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: bullish bias above 64.80.
 
Pivot:
64.80
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 64.80 with targets at 66.90 & 67.50 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 64.80 look for further downside with 64.10 & 63.20 as targets.
 
Comment:
Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: intraday support around 48150.
 
Pivot:
48150
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 48150 with targets at 48540 & 48730 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 48150 look for further downside with 48000 & 47900 as targets.
 
Comment:
A support base at 48150 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: continuation of the rebound.
 
Pivot:
6812
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 6812 with targets at 6871 & 6900 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 6812 look for further downside with 6792 & 6771 as targets.
 
Comment:
Technically the RSI is above its neutrality area at 50.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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