Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
July 24, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Thursday, U.S. stocks came under pressure, with the S&P 500 sliding 90 points (-1.21%) to 7,408, the Nasdaq 100 down 543 points (-1.87%) to 28,454, and the Dow Jones down 506 points (-0.97%) to 51,711.

U.S. President Donald Trump promised "major military punishment" for Iran and its Houthi allies after Houthi militia struck two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea. Brent crude futures jumped more than 6% to break above 100 dollars a barrel, while U.S. WTI crude futures jumped 5.36 dollars (+6.17%) to 92.19 dollars a barrel.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield bounced to 4.714%, an 18-month high.

Tesla (TSLA) tumbled 14.52%, becoming the biggest loser in both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100. The company reported lower-than-expected quarterly earnings and a negative free cash flow.

Alphabet (GOOGL) fell 7.13%. Though the tech giant’s quarterly results exceeded market expectations with cloud revenue jumping 82% year-on-year, investors were not impressed by the company’s high rate of cash burning.

Other mega-cap tech stocks also closed lower, with Amazon (AMZN) dropping 4.57%, Meta (META) down 3.36%, Microsoft (MSFT) down 2.24%, and Nvidia (NVDA) down 1.56%.

Micron (MU) remained resilient, gaining 3.20%. Bank of America reiterated its "buy" rating on the stock with a price target of 1,550 dollars.

Lockheed Martin (LMT) jumped 10.54% and RTX Corp (RTX) advanced 7.33%. Both companies raised their full-year sales and profit forecasts.

Intel (INTC) closed 2.33% lower but rebounded 2% in after-market hours. The chipmaker reported strong quarterly results, and issued guidance that exceeded market expectations.

European stocks closed lower, with the DAX 40 falling 1.56%, the CAC 40 down 1.64%, and the FTSE 100 down 0.73%.

Gold price retreated 80 dollars (1.95%) to 4,049 dollars an ounce.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
USD/JPY hit a fresh 40-year high of 163.98. The U.S. Treasury Department said excess volatility in the yen was undesirable and called for the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates.

At the same time, Japan’s finance minister repeated that the government was ready to take decisive action on foreign exchange as needed.

EUR/USD declined 33 pips to 1.1377. As expected, the European Central Bank kept its key interest rates unchanged.

GBP/USD slipped 57 pips to 1.3314, and AUD/USD was down 30 pips to 0.6966.

USD/CHF advanced 27 pips to 0.8168.

Bitcoin declined more than 1% to 65,100 dollars.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, USD/JPY was steady at 163.73. Japan's core inflation rate climbed to 1.6% year-on-year in June, above 1.5% expected.

Meanwhile, EUR/USD climbed to 1.1386 and GBP/USD advanced to 1.3320.

Gold eased to 4,042 dollars.

Bitcoin was little changed at 64,901 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
U.K. retail sales are estimated to drop 0.3% month-on-month in June.

Germany's GfK consumer confidence index is expected to improve to -29.0 in August.

The S&P Global manufacturing purchasing managers index for July is estimated at 51.5 for the eurozone, 52.0 for the U.K. and 54.2 for the U.S.

In the U.S., new home sales are expected to increase by 3.4% month-on-month in June.

Canada's producer price index is estimated to be up 12.8% year-on-year in June.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: intraday support around 89.90.
 
Pivot:
89.90
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 89.90 with targets at 93.50 & 95.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 89.90 look for further downside with 88.50 & 87.20 as targets.
 
Comment:
Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday : Towards 4,008
 
Our pivot point is at 4,077.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 4,077 is resistance, with 4,008 and 3,990 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4,077, look for 4,106 and 4,124.
 
Comment:
The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The price stands above its 20 period moving average (4,039) but below its 50 period moving average (4,054).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : 1.3272 in sight
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3356.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.3356 is resistance, with 1.3272 and 1.3251 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3356, look for 1.3390 and 1.3411.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The price stands above its 20 period moving average (1.3320) but below its 50 period moving average (1.3328).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : 164.17 expected
 
Our pivot point is at 163.52.
 
Our preference:
As long as 163.52 is support, look for 164.33
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 163.52, expect 163.25 and 163.08.
 
Comment:
The MACD is below its signal line and positive.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : Risk escalating
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1369.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.1369 is support, with 1.1427 and 1.1440 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1369, expect 1.1346 and 1.1332.
 
Comment:
The asset price is approaching our pivot level, which represents one of the last opportunities for the asset to reverse its recent trend.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday : Look for 58.96
 
Our pivot point is at 57.29.
 
Our preference:
Our next up target stands at 59.28
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 57.29, expect 56.75 and 56.44.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 57.63 and 57.85). The Silver is trading above its upper Bollinger band (standing at 58.26).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
52330
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 52330 with targets at 51840 & 51720 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 52330 look for further upside with 52510 & 52660 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 52330 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: key resistance at 7473.
 
Pivot:
7473
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 7473 with targets at 7412 & 7390 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 7473 look for further upside with 7495 & 7515 as targets.
 
Comment:
The index currently faces a challenging resistance area at 7473.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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