Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
July 3, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Thursday, the Dow Jones rose 594 points (+1.14%) to 52,900, marking a record closing level for a third consecutive session, after U.S. jobs data came in softer than expected.

The Nasdaq 100, on the other hand, sank another 479 points (-1.61%) to 29,329, dragged down again by heavy losses in semiconductor stocks.

The S&P 500 closed flat at 7,483.

The closely watched U.S. official jobs report showed the economy added just 57,000 nonfarm payrolls in June, far below the 110,000 expected, while the jobless rate ticked down to 4.2%.

As a result, market expectations for an interest-rate hike by the Federal Reserve faded.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield was little changed at 4.485%.

Apple (AAPL) rose 4.84%, posting a three-session rally.

Tesla (TSLA) fell 7.49%, halting a four-session rebound, despite the electric-vehicle maker’s second-quarter vehicle deliveries exceeding market expectations.

Meta (META) retreated 4.90%, giving back some of the prior session's 9% gain, which had come on news that the company is developing a new cloud business selling excess computing power to outside customers.

Semiconductor stocks faced heavy selling pressure for a second consecutive session, with Lam Research (LRCX) tumbling 10.19%, Marvell Technology (MRVL) down 9.84%, Applied Materials (AMAT) down 7.35%.

Micron (MU) also fell 5.49%, Intel (INTC) dropped 5.25%, and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) was down 4.26%.

SanDisk (SNDK) lost 14.13%, Seagate Technology (STX) slid 10.38%, and Western Digital (WDC) was down 9.92%.

Bitcoin kept rebounding, lifting related stocks, with Microstrategy (MSTR) gaining 7.90%, and Coinbase (COIN) up 3.92%.

European stocks closed higher, with the DAX 40 gaining 2.16%, the CAC 40 up 1.65%, and the FTSE 100 was up 1.67%.

U.S. WTI crude futures edged up 0.11 dollars to 68.69 dollars a barrel.

Gold rebounded 91 dollars (+2.28%) to 4,123 dollars an ounce.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
The U.S. dollar fell sharply amid the softer-than-expected June jobs report, with the dollar index falling past the level of 101.

EUR/USD rose 56 pips to 1.1432.

USD/JPY fell 147 pips (-0.91%) to 161.09. Fears of market intervention by Japanese authorities added further fuel to the yen’s surge against the dollar.

GBP/USD climbed 75 pips to 1.3346, and AUD/USD gained 29 pips to 0.6920.

USD/CHF slipped 62 pips to 0.8031, and USD/CAD was down 34 pips to 1.4181.

Bitcoin rebounded for a second consecutive session, adding over 2% to 61,400 dollars.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, EUR/USD advanced to 1.1440 and GBP/USD rose to 1.3361.

Meanwhile, USD/JPY edged up to 161.17.

Gold extended its rally to 4,185 dollars.

Bitcoin held gains at 61,340 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
The U.S. stock market will be closed for the Independence Day.

France's industrial production is estimated to drop 0.4% month-on-month in May.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (Q6)‎ intraday: further upside.
 
Pivot:
68.10
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 68.10 with targets at 69.50 & 70.15 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 68.10 look for further downside with 67.50 & 67.10 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a rebound.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday: further advance.
 
Pivot:
4130
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 4130 with targets at 4210 & 4255 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4130 look for further downside with 4075 & 4027 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI shows upside momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday: aim @ 1.3405.
 
Pivot:
1.3325
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.3325 with targets at 1.3405 & 1.3430 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3325 look for further downside with 1.3295 & 1.3265 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bullish and calls for further advance.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday: watch 160.65.
 
Pivot:
161.65
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 161.65 with targets at 160.65 & 160.40 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 161.65 look for further upside with 161.95 & 162.30 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 161.65 is resistance, expect a return to 160.65.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday: look for 1.1470.
 
Pivot:
1.1420
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.1420 with targets at 1.1470 & 1.1490 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1420 look for further downside with 1.1395 & 1.1375 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday: the bias remains bullish.
 
Pivot:
60.95
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 60.95 with targets at 63.40 & 64.30 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 60.95 look for further downside with 60.30 & 59.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI shows upside momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: the upside prevails.
 
Pivot:
53100
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 53100 with targets at 53500 & 53750 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 53100 look for further downside with 52760 & 52580 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 53500 and then at 53750.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: expect 7593.
 
Pivot:
7515
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7515 with targets at 7577 & 7593 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7515 look for further downside with 7480 & 7465 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a rebound.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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