Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
March 27, 2026
 
   
 
Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Crude Oil (WTI)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  U.S. Market Overview:  
 
 
The U.S. stock market ended lower on Friday, capping off a volatile week marked by growing uncertainty surrounding the U.S.-Iran conflict and a consequent surge in oil prices.

The S&P 500 slipped 108pts (-1.67%) to 6368 and marked its fifth consecutive weekly loss. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 100 fell 454pts (-1.93%) to 23132 and the Dow tumbled 793pts (-1.73%) to 45166, with both now in correction territory.

On the sector front, the outperforming sectors were Energy (XLE), Consumer Staples (XLP), and Utilities (XLU) while Consumer Discretionary (XLY), Financials (XLF), and Technology (XLK) lagged the most.

The major indices closed lower for the week, with the S&P 500 posting a 2.12% decline. The Nasdaq 100 fell 3.20%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 0.90%. On a sector basis, Communication Services (XLC) and Technology (XLK) were the biggest underperformers, while Energy (XLE) and Materials (XLB) emerged as the top gainers.
 
 
  U.S. Economic Developments:  
 
 
The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index was revised to 53.3 in March, coming in slightly below the expected 53.5, after a reading of 56.6 in February.
 
 
  U.S. Equity News:  
 
 
Tech stocks declined on Friday, with major companies experiencing losses. Nvidia (NVDA) dropped 2.21%, Apple (AAPL) slid 1.62%, Microsoft (MSFT) fell 2.51%, and Amazon.com (AMZN) decreased 3.95%.

Energy stocks rose with increasing oil prices. Halliburton (HAL) gained 4.20%, APA (APA) increased 3.71%, and Exxon Mobil (XOM) rose 3.36%.

Cryptocurrency-related stocks tumbled as Bitcoin prices fell to $66,000. Coinbase (COIN) plummeted 7.06%, MicroStrategy (MSTR) dropped 5.19%, and Robinhood (HOOD) declined 6.15%.

In other news, Brown-Forman (BF.B) surged 5.79% after Citigroup upgraded its rating to "Neutral" from "Sell" and confirmed merger talks with Pernod Ricard.
 
 
  Europe Market Overview:  
 
 
European indices were under pressure, especially Germany's Dax, which fell 312pts (-1.38%) to 22300. At the same time, France's Cac 40 dropped 67pts (-0.87%) to 7701 and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 declined 4pts (-0.05%) to 9967.

In the U.K., retail sales experienced a 0.4% month-on-month decline in February, which was less severe than the anticipated 0.6% drop. This followed a 2% increase in January, which was revised upward from an initial estimate of 1.8%. Meanwhile, the UK's Gfk consumer confidence index decreased to -21 in March, beating expectations of -26, after coming in at -19 in February.
 
 
  Global Macro, FX & Commodities:  
 
 
Rates & Risk Sentiment:

The VIX soared 3.61pts (+13.16%) to 31.05 while the US 10 year yield climbed to 4.43%.

Precious Metals & Crude:

Precious metals and oil prices surged amid concerns over the U.S.-Iran conflict. Gold rose $125.9 (+2.88%) to $4504.91 while Silver climbed $1.87 (+2.75%) to $69.89. Additionally, WTI Crude Oil advanced $5.57 (+5.9%) to $100.05.

The Dollar & Majors:

The dollar index gained 0.21pts (+0.21%) to 100.112.

EUR/USD declined 12pips (-0.1%) to 1.1514.

GBP/USD slipped 62pips (-0.47%) to 1.3267.

USD/JPY rose 42pips (+0.26%) to 160.22.

USD/CHF climbed 33pips (+0.41%) to 0.7987.

AUD/USD fell 14pips (-0.2%) to 0.687.

USD/CAD advanced 35pips (+0.25%) to 1.3893.

Digital Assets:

The cryptocurrency market experienced a sell-off on Friday, after Bitcoin had recently traded above $70,000. Bitcoin fell $3075 (-4.46%) to $65893. Meanwhile, Ethereum dropped $76 (-3.73%) to $1986.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: look for 45190.
 
Pivot:
46000
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 46000 with targets at 45190 & 44970 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 46000 look for further upside with 46210 & 46490 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 46000 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: turning down.
 
Pivot:
6490
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 6490 with targets at 6380 & 6350 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 6490 look for further upside with 6520 & 6565 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI has broken down its 30 level.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : the downside prevails as long as 1.1537 is resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1537.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.1537 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1537, look for 1.1560 and 1.1574.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1519 and 1.1527).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : the downside prevails as long as 1.3306 is resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3306.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.3306 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3306, look for 1.3345 and 1.3368.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3292 and 1.3316).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : the upside prevails as long as 159.79 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 159.79.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 159.79 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 159.79, expect 159.21 and 158.86.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 160.00 and 159.82).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: the bias remains bullish.
 
Pivot:
4465
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 4465 with targets at 4600 & 4635 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4465 look for further downside with 4410 & 4350 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: bullish bias above 69.00.
 
Pivot:
69.00
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 69.00 with targets at 72.80 & 74.10 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 69.00 look for further downside with 67.40 & 66.05 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (K6)‎ Intraday: intraday support around 97.00.
 
Pivot:
97.00
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 97.00 with targets at 99.40 & 101.60 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 97.00 look for further downside with 95.40 & 92.70 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 99.40 and then at 101.60.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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