Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
May 21, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
 
U.S. Market Overview:

On Wednesday, The S&P 500 added 79 points (+1.08%) to close at 7,432, the Nasdaq 100 gained 478 points (+1.66%) to finish at 29,297, and the Dow picked up 645 points (+1.31%) to settle at 50,009. On the sector front, Consumer Discretionary (XLY), Technology (XLK), and Materials (XLB) led the way, while Energy (XLE), Consumer Staples (XLP), and Health Care (XLV) lagged.

U.S. Economic Developments:

The April Fed minutes, released today, showed the Committee held rates steady at 3.50 - 3.75%, citing elevated inflation driven by rising global energy prices linked to the Middle East conflict. Economic activity continued to expand at a solid pace, while labor market conditions remained stable with the unemployment rate little changed. Most members signaled rates could remain on hold longer than previously anticipated, with a majority noting that further policy firming may become appropriate if inflation continues to run persistently above the 2% target.

U.S. Equity News:

Among large caps, Tesla (TSLA) led the way, gaining 3.25%, followed by Amazon (AMZN) up 2.19%, and NVIDIA (NVDA) adding 1.3%. Apple (AAPL) rose 1.1%, while Microsoft (MSFT) gained 0.87%. META Platforms (META) and Alphabet (GOOGL) posted modest gains of 0.41% and 0.32%, respectively.

Europe Market Overview:

At the European close, major indices finished in positive territory. Germany's DAX added 336 points (+1.38%) to close at 24,737, France's CAC 40 gained 135 points (+1.70%) to settle at 8,117, and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 picked up 101 points (+0.99%) to finish at 10,432. On the stat plan, U.K. inflation rate eased to 2.8% year-on-year in April vs 3% expected and 3.3% a month earlier. Separately, Germany's producer price index increased to 1.7% year-on-year in April vs +1.6% anticipated and -0.2% in March.

Volatility & Commodities Snapshot:

The VIX declined 3.43% to 17.44, while the U.S. 10-year yield gained 0.719 basis points to 4.578%.

In commodities, gold added $64.17 (+1.43%) to $4,545.45 and silver gained $2.03 (+2.75%) to $75.88, while WTI crude oil retreated $5.61 (-5.39%) to $98.54.

The Dollar & Majors: Greenback Retreats Across the Board.

The dollar index slipped 0.21 points (-0.21%) to 99.116.

EUR/USD gained 22 pips (+0.19%) to 1.1626.

GBP/USD advanced 43 pips (+0.32%) to 1.3436.

USD/JPY declined 16 pips (-0.10%) to 158.88.

USD/CHF retreated 19 pips (-0.24%) to 0.7869.

AUD/USD gained 45 pips (+0.63%) to 0.7154.

USD/CAD was little changed at 1.3744.

Digital Assets:

Finally, in the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin gained $564 (+0.73%) to $77,543, while Ethereum added $15 (+0.74%) to $2,132.

After Hours:

NVIDIA (NVDA), a leading designer of graphics processors and AI chips, reported record first quarter revenue of $81.6 billion, raised its quarterly dividend, and announced a $80 billion dollar share buyback.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (N6)‎ intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
101.00
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 101.00 with targets at 95.90 & 92.70 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 101.00 look for further upside with 102.60 & 105.15 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday: further advance.
 
Pivot:
4499
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 4499 with targets at 4586 & 4620 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4499 look for further downside with 4452 & 4418 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI advocates for further upside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (M6)‎ intraday: further upside.
 
Pivot:
7395
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7395 with targets at 7470 & 7496 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7395 look for further downside with 7355 & 7315 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI advocates for further upside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : the upside prevails as long as 1.1609 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1609.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.1609 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1609, expect 1.1585 and 1.1571.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1609 and 1.1605).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : the upside prevails as long as 1.3410 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3410.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.3410 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3410, expect 1.3371 and 1.3348.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3416 and 1.3403).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : the downside prevails as long as 159.08 is resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 159.08.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 159.08 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 159.08, look for 159.37 and 159.54.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 158.95 and 158.99).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday: choppy.
 
Pivot:
73.30
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 73.30 with targets at 77.40 & 79.35 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 73.30 look for further downside with 72.30 & 70.90 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed to bullish.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (M6)‎ intraday: further upside.
 
Pivot:
49800
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 49800 with targets at 50280 & 50580 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 49800 look for further downside with 49290 & 49150 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI shows upside momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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