Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
January 23, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Thursday, U.S. stocks advanced further, with the S&P 500 gaining 37 points (+0.55%) to 6,913, and the Nasdaq 100 up 191 points (+0.76%) to 25,518.

The Dow Jones added 306 points (+0.63%) to 49,384, not far away from its record close of 49,590.

Meta Platforms (META) jumped 5.66%, performing the best among tech giants. Jefferies reaffirmed a "buy" rating for the stock.

Also, Tesla (TSLA) rose 4.15%, and Microsoft (MSFT) was up 1.58%.

Micron (MU) advanced 2.18% to a record close of 397.58 dollars.

Alibaba Group (BABA) bounced 5.05% amid reports of the company planning a listing of its chip-making unit Pingtouge.

Abbott Laboratories (ABT) fell 10.04%, dragged by lower-than-expected quarterly results.

Intel (INTC) closed 0.13% higher, but slid 13% in after-market hours. Though the chip-maker posted better-than-expected fourth-quarter results, its current-guidance for the current quarter failed to impress the market.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield added 0.4 basis point to 4.251%.

European stock markets closed higher, with the DAX 40 rising 1.20%, the CAC 40 up 0.99%, and the FTSE 100 up 0.12%.

U.S. WTI crude futures retreated 1.26 dollars (-2.08%) to $59.36 dollars a barrel.

Gold showed no signs of fatigue, extending its record-breaking streak to a fourth session, and marking another all-time high at 4,941 dollars an ounce.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
The U.S. dollar weakened against other major currencies, with the dollar index slipping to 98.32.

U.S. data showed that the core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price inflation ticked up to 2.8% year on year in November from 2.7% in October.

The third-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth was revised upward to 4.4% quarter on quarter, the fastest since the third quarter of 2023.

EUR/USD rose 72 pips to 1.1754.

USD/JPY gained 15 pips to 158.40. Later today, the Bank of Japan is expected to keep its key interest rate unchanged at 0.75%.

GBP/USD advanced 75 pips to 1.3500.

AUD/USD climbed 80 pips to 0.6840. Australia's data showed that the number of employed people rose 65,200 in December, more than expected, and the jobless rate dropped to 4.1%.

USD/CHF slipped 65 pips to 0.7889, and USD/CAD was down 49 pips to 1.3784.

Bitcoin still lacked upward momentum, trading at levels around 89,400 dollars.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, USD/JPY climbed to 158.60 as the Bank of Japan kept its benchmark rate unchanged at 0.75% as expected.

On the other hand, Japan's core inflation slowed to 2.4% year-on-year in December, below 2.8% estimated.

Meanwhile, EUR/USD eased to 1.1745 and GBP/USD was down slightly to 1.3492.

Gold climbed to 4,958 dollars.

Bitcoin was little changed at 89,556 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
Germany's HCOB manufacturing purchasing managers index is expected to improve to 48.5 in January.

U.K. retail sales are estimated to drop 0.2% month-on-month in December, while the S&P Global manufacturing purchasing managers index is expected to climb to 50.8 in January and the services index is anticipated to edge up to 51.5.

In the U.S., the S&P Global manufacturing purchasing managers index is expected to advance to 52.0 in January, while the services index is estimated to slip to 52.3.

Canada's retail sales are expected to grow 1.6% month-on-month in December.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: intraday support around 60.50.
 
Pivot:
60.50
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 60.50 with targets at 61.30 & 61.80 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 60.50 look for further downside with 59.95 & 59.60 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 61.30 and then at 61.80.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: the bias remains bullish.
 
Pivot:
4938
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 4938 with targets at 5000 & 5040 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4938 look for further downside with 4900 & 4838 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : the RSI is overbought
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3541.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.3541 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3541, expect 1.3514 and 1.3499.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above 70. It could mean either that the price is in a lasting uptrend or just overbought and therefore bound to correct (look for bearish divergence in this case). The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3523 and 1.3506). Finally, the GBP/USD is trading above its upper Bollinger band (standing at 1.3572).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : the downside prevails as long as 158.52 is resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 158.52.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 158.52 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 158.52, look for 158.90 and 159.12.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 158.26 and 158.39).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : the upside prevails as long as 1.1722 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1722.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.1722 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1722, expect 1.1690 and 1.1671.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1741 and 1.1745). Finally, the EUR/USD is trading above its upper Bollinger band (standing at 1.1758).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: intraday support around 99.10.
 
Pivot:
99.10
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 99.10 with targets at 101.30 & 102.50 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 99.10 look for further downside with 98.40 & 97.50 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 101.30 and then at 102.50.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: key resistance at 49475.
 
Pivot:
49475
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 49475 with targets at 49050 & 48800 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 49475 look for further upside with 49620 & 49780 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: target 6995.
 
Pivot:
6925
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 6925 with targets at 6968 & 6995 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 6925 look for further downside with 6907 & 6895 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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