Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
Newsletter Header
 
DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
August 12, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
 
U.S. Market Overview:

On Tuesday, the major indices in the U.S. finished lower. The S&P 500 slipped 24.91pts (-0.32%) to 7728.2, the Nasdaq 100 fell 96.325pts (-0.33%) to 29525.479, and the Dow declined 184.13pts (-0.34%) to 53791.85. On the sector front, Energy (XLE), Utilities (XLU), and Industrials (XLI) outperformed, while Real Estate (XLRE), Communication Services (XLC), and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) underperformed the most.

U.S. Economic Developments:

On the economic front, U.S. existing home sales fell 1.4% month-on-month in July, a smaller decline than the 1.7% decrease expected. The prior month was revised sharply higher to a 0.7% decline from the previously reported 2.4% drop. On an annualized basis, existing home sales rose to 4.13 million units, above the 4.06 million forecast and up from a revised 4.04 million in June (previously 4.09 million).

U.S. Equity News:

Riot Platforms (RIOT), a digital infrastructure and Bitcoin mining company, gained 4.33% after Bloomberg reported Anthropic struck a 9 billion dollar deal with Riot.

Cardinal Health (CAH), a global distributor of pharmaceuticals and medical products, gained 1.30% as full-year earnings forecast beat expectations.

Alphabet (GOOGL),Google's holding company, fell (-3.84%)

Plug Power (PLUG), a provider of comprehensive hydrogen fuel cell turnkey solutions, jumped 5.21% on better-than-expected quarterly financial figures.

Volatility & Commodities Snapshot:

The VIX index fell 0.18pt (-1.16%) to 15.28, while the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose 3.1 basis points to 4.695%.

In the commodities market, gold declined 20.55 dollars (-0.47%) to 4367.95, while silver dropped 1.08 dollars (-1.64%) to 64.66.

Europe Market Overview:

At the European close, the major indices in the region finished in mixed territory. Germany's DAX rose 67pts (+0.26%) to 26391, while France's CAC 40 fell 11pts (-0.13%) to 8714 and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 declined 18pts (-0.17%) to 10844.

Foreign Exchange & Crypto Wrap:

The dollar index was unchanged at 99.814.

EUR/USD fell 1pip (-0.01%) to 1.1541.

GBP/USD was unchanged at 1.3503.

USD/JPY fell 2pips (-0.01%) to 159.28.

USD/CHF advanced 5pips (+0.06%) to 0.8107.

AUD/USD rose 9pips (+0.13%) to 0.7061.

USD/CAD slipped 15pips (-0.11%) to 1.3924.

Finally, in the cryptocurrencies market, Bitcoin fell 518 dollars (-0.81%) to 63594, while Ethereum edged up 0.05% to 1879.

#AFTER HOURS#

Lumentum (LITE), a maker of optical and photonic products, reported stronger fiscal fourth-quarter results and issued an upbeat revenue outlook for the first quarter of fiscal 2027.

Cava Group (CAVA), a Mediterranean fast-casual restaurant chain, reported stronger second-quarter earnings and revenue as same-store sales and customer traffic increased, while results topped analyst expectations.

CoreWeave (CRWV), an AI-focused cloud-computing company, reported stronger second-quarter revenue and adjusted EBITDA as its customer base expanded, while its revenue backlog reached a record $104 billion.

H&R Block (HRB), a tax preparation and financial services company, reported higher fiscal 2026 revenue and adjusted earnings, raised its quarterly dividend by 10%, and issued a positive fiscal 2027 outlook.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: range.
 
Pivot:
84.55
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 84.55 with targets at 81.20 & 79.55 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 84.55 look for further upside with 85.55 & 86.90 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a new downleg.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday : Pivot threshold in sight
 
Our pivot point is at 4,348.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 4,348 is support, with 4,439 and 4,462 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4,348, expect 4,309 and 4,286.
 
Comment:
Price is close to our pivot level; this could be the last opportunity for a reversal.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: range.
 
Pivot:
7725
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7725 with targets at 7820 & 7890 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7725 look for further downside with 7649 & 7568 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a new upleg.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : On the edge of pivot level
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1533.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.1533 is support, with 1.1591 and 1.1605 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1533, expect 1.1510 and 1.1496.
 
Comment:
The asset's price is approaching our pivot level at a critical juncture, leaving little room for the asset to reverse its current trajectory.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : Towards 1.3539
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3458.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.3458 is support, with 1.3539 and 1.3558 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3458, expect 1.3425 and 1.3406.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3503 and 1.3506).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : Watch 159.68
 
Our pivot point is at 158.88.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 158.88 is support, with 159.68 and 159.86 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 158.88, expect 158.58 and 158.41.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 159.26 and 159.25).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday : Watch 63.30
 
Our pivot point is at 65.81.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 65.81 is resistance, with 63.30 and 62.61 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 65.81, look for 66.97 and 67.65.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 64.90 and 65.25).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: caution.
 
Pivot:
53880
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 53880 with targets at 54340 & 54670 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 53880 look for further downside with 53490 & 53100 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a new upleg.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
Banner Ad
     
 
 
  Twitter   LinkedIn   Instagram   FaceBook   YouTube  
 
 
 
 
TRADING FOREIGN EXCHANGE ON MARGIN CARRIES A HIGH LEVEL OF RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS.

THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS THAT YOU COULD SUSTAIN A LOSS OF SOME OR ALL OF YOUR INITIAL INVESTMENT AND THEREFORE YOU SHOULD NOT INVEST MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD TO LOSE.

THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE CAN WORK AGAINST YOU AS WELL AS FOR YOU. BEFORE DECIDING TO TRADE FOREIGN EXCHANGE OR CFD’S YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES, LEVEL OF EXPERIENCE, AND RISK APPETITE.

YOU SHOULD BE AWARE OF ALL THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH FOREIGN EXCHANGE AND OTHER CFD TRADING, AND SEEK ADVICE FROM AN INDEPENDENT FINANCIAL ADVISOR IF YOU HAVE ANY DOUBTS. VPFX RECOMMENDS READING THE RISK DISCLOSURE SECTION OF THE PROSPECTUS FOR ANY FINANCIAL PRODUCT MENTIONED.

VPFX is the trading name for Ventura Prime FX Limited with registration number LL16224 registered in Labuan F.T., Malaysia.

Ventura Prime FX Limited is authorised and regulated by the Labuan Financial Services Authority (LFSA). Registered Address:Kensington Gardens, No U1317, Lot 7616, Jalan Jumidar Buyong, 87000 Labuan Federal Territory, Malaysia

 
 
 
 
Client Logo
 
Ventura Prime FX Limited
Trading Central