Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
May 11, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   S&P 500 (CME)   GBP/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Friday, both the S&P 500 (up 61 points or 0.84% to 7,398) and Nasdaq 100 (up 671 points or 2.35% to 29,234) returned to the upside marking fresh record closing levels.

The Dow Jones edged up 12 points (+0.02%) to 49,609.

The U.S. official jobs report showed an addition of 115,000 non-farm payrolls in April (vs +95,000 expected, +185,000 in March) with a stable jobless rate of 4.3%.

Intel (INTC) surged 13.93% and Apple (AAPL) rose 2.02%. The Wall Street Journal reported that Intel has agreed to make some chips for Apple devices.

Micron (MU) jumped 15.49% and SanDisk (SNDK) bounced 16.60%, both marking all-time highs.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) also gained 11.44%.

Moderna (MRNA) surged 11.97% on expectations that the biotech firm could develop vaccines to deal with the Hantavirus outbreak.

After reporting quarterly results, Akamai Technologies (AKAM) soared 26.58%, while CoreWeave (CRWV) slid 11.40%.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield declined 2.4 basis points to 4.360%.

European stocks stayed under pressure, with the DAX 40 falling 1.32%, the CAC 40 down 1.09%, and the FTSE 100 down 0.43%.

On Sunday, U.S. President Donald Trump rejected Iran’s counterproposal to end the U.S.-Iran war.

In early Asian trading hours on Monday, U.S. WTI crude futures gained over 2% to 98 dollars a barrel, while gold slipped 35 dollars to 4,696 dollars an ounce.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
In early Asian trading hours on Monday, the U.S. dollar traded higher, as Trump's rejection of Iran’s counterproposal added to geopolitical uncertainty. The dollar index climbed back to 98.

EUR/USD declined 23 pips to 1.1763.

USD/JPY climbed 21 pips to 156.89.

GBP/USD retreated 45 pips to 1.3585. U.K. ruling Labour party suffered major losses in local elections held across Britain, while the Reform UK party made big gains.

AUD/USD slipped 13 pips to 0.7233.

USD/CAD added 11 pips to 1.3688. Canada's data showed that the number of people with full-time employment fell by 46,700 in April (vs +18,000 expected), with the jobless rate rising to 6.9%.

Gold slipped 35 dollars to 4,696 dollars an ounce.

Bitcoin showed upward momentum, challenging the level of 82,000 dollars.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, U.S. crude futures climbed further to levels above 99 dollars a barrel.

The U.S. dollar still held firm, with USD/JPY advancing to 157.14.

EUR/USD traded at 1.1761, GBP/USD at 1.3593, and AUD/USD at 0.7231.

China's inflation rate accelerated to 1.2% year on year in April, higher than expected.

Gold eased further to 4,684 dollars an ounce.

Bitcoin retreated to 81,200 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
U.S. existing home sales are expected to increase 2.1% month on month in April.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: turning down.
 
Pivot:
100.45
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 100.45 with targets at 96.15 & 93.85 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 100.45 look for further upside with 101.85 & 103.40 as targets.
 
Comment:
A break below 96.15 would trigger a drop towards 93.85.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
4725
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 4725 with targets at 4625 & 4585 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4725 look for further upside with 4765 & 4800 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI advocates for further decline.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY Intraday: further advance.
 
Pivot:
156.45
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 156.45 with targets at 157.65 & 158.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 156.45 look for further downside with 156.00 & 155.60 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.
 
Pivot:
1.1740
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.1740 with targets at 1.1795 & 1.1820 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1740 look for further downside with 1.1715 & 1.1690 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed with a bullish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: intraday support around 7390.
 
Pivot:
7390
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7390 with targets at 7428 & 7450 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7390 look for further downside with 7370 & 7345 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed with a bullish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD Intraday: caution.
 
Pivot:
1.3575
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.3575 with targets at 1.3620 & 1.3645 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3575 look for further downside with 1.3560 & 1.3540 as targets.
 
Comment:
Investors have to remain cautious since these levels may trigger profit taking.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: key resistance at 81.35.
 
Pivot:
81.35
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 81.35 with targets at 79.00 & 78.10 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 81.35 look for further upside with 82.10 & 83.20 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 81.35 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: rebound.
 
Pivot:
49460
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 49460 with targets at 49760 & 49990 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 49460 look for further downside with 49340 & 49220 as targets.
 
Comment:
A support base at 49460 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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