Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
July 14, 2026
 
   
 
Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Crude Oil (WTI)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  U.S. Market Overview:  
 
 
On Tuesday, the U.S. stock market finished higher for the first time this week following cooler than anticipated inflation data.

The S&P 500 advanced 28.25pts (+0.38%) to 7543.59, the Nasdaq 100 rose 322.185pts (+1.1%) to 29586.287, and the Dow added 9.63pts (+0.02%) to 52508.27.

Sector performance was mixed, with the outperformers being: Technology (XLK), Energy (XLE), and Financials (XLF). On the other hand, Health Care (XLV), Consumer Staples (XLP), and Real Estate (XLRE) underperformed the most.
 
 
  U.S. Economic Developments:  
 
 
Inflation slowed to 3.5% year over year in June, coming in below the 3.9% forecast and down from 4.2% in May. It was the first cooling trend after three straight months of increases. Core inflation also eased to 2.6% year over year, against an expectation that it would stay unchanged from 2.9% in May.

Elsewhere, Fed Chair Warsh testified before the House Financial Committee, reaffirming the Fed’s commitment to reducing inflation to its 2% target.
 
 
  U.S. Equity News:  
 
 
Nvidia (NVDA) rose 4.06% after a report said Chinese firms, including ZTE Kangxun Telecom and Maginfra, were allowed to purchase Nvidia’s H200 chips. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) gained 2.57% after Zhuhai Hengqin Yunxiang Zhisheng Network Technology received clearance to use certain AMD chips that compete with the H200. Separately, Keybanc reiterated an “Overweight” rating on Nvidia, while BofA Securities maintained a “Buy” on AMD.

IBM (IBM) sank 25.21% after releasing preliminary second-quarter results in which both adjusted EPS and revenue missed expectations.

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) climbed 2.50% as second-quarter EPS rose to $7.70 from $5.24 a year earlier, supported by its investment-banking business. The firm also raised its 2026 expense guidance to $107.5 billion. Bank of America (BAC) gained 1.88% as second-quarter EPS increased to $1.21 from $0.90 a year ago, helped by strong trading activity. Goldman Sachs (GS) was also up 2.98% after second-quarter results beat expectations.

SK Hynix (SKHY) surged 27.29% after Barclays initiated coverage with an “Overweight” rating.

Paramount Skydance (PSKY) fell 4.50% after California and 11 other states sued to block the company’s $110 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD). As a result, WBD shares rose 1.44%.

Progressive (PGR) declined 3.37% following a downgrade to “Neutral” from “Overweight” at JPMorgan.
 
 
  Europe Market Overview:  
 
 
At the European close, the major indices in the region finished in positive territory. Germany's Dax rose 32pts (+0.13%) to 25147 while U.K.'s FTSE 100 gained 31pts (+0.3%) to 10529. France’s CAC 40 was closed in observance of Bastille Day.
 
 
  Global Macro, FX & Commodities:  
 
 
Rates & Risk Sentiment:

The VIX fell 0.66pts (-3.85%) to 16.5 and the US 10 year yield dropped to 4.587%.

Precious Metals & Crude:

In the commodities market, Gold climbed 53.27 dollars (+1.33%) to 4053.49 and Silver increased 1.07 dollars (+1.85%) to 58.71. WTI Crude Oil advanced 1.7 dollars (+2.18%) to 79.84 as Iran launched attacks on three crude oil supertankers.

The Dollar & Majors:

The dollar index dropped 0.3pts (-0.29%) to 100.937.

EUR/USD increased 39pips (+0.34%) to 1.142.

GBP/USD advanced 41pips (+0.31%) to 1.3387.

USD/JPY fell 19pips (-0.12%) to 162.23.

USD/CHF slipped 51pips (-0.63%) to 0.8093.

AUD/USD rose 55pips (+0.8%) to 0.6971. Australia’s Westpac consumer confidence index rose to 83.9 in July, while the NAB business confidence index improved to -5 in June. Both came in above expectations.

USD/CAD declined 91pips (-0.64%) to 1.4063.

Digital Assets:

Finally, in the cryptocurrencies market, Bitcoin rose 2285 dollars (+3.68%) to 64435 and Ethereum gained 110 dollars (+6.25%) to 1876.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: further upside.
 
Pivot:
52680
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 52680 with targets at 53000 & 53113 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 52680 look for further downside with 52580 & 52470 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 53000 and then at 53113.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: look for 7610.
 
Pivot:
7570
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7570 with targets at 7610 & 7630 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7570 look for further downside with 7555 & 7538 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 7610 and then at 7630.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : as long as 1.1398 is support look for 1.1465
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1398.
 
Our preference:
As long as 1.1398 is support look for 1.1465
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1398, expect 1.1375 and 1.1361.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price could retrace. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1423 and 1.1402).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : as long as 1.3348 is support look for 1.3435
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3348.
 
Our preference:
As long as 1.3348 is support look for 1.3435
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3348, expect 1.3319 and 1.3301.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price could retrace. Moreover, the price is below its 20 period moving average (1.3388) but above its 50 period moving average (1.3368).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : Rebound
 
Our pivot point is at 162.04.
 
Our preference:
Rebound
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 162.04, expect 161.85 and 161.73.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The MACD must break above its zero level to trigger further gains. Moreover, the price stands above its 20 period moving average (162.11) but below its 50 period moving average (162.27).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday: target 4030.
 
Pivot:
4075
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 4075 with targets at 4030 & 4013 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4075 look for further upside with 4090 & 4114 as targets.
 
Comment:
A break below 4030 would trigger a drop towards 4013.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday: intraday support around 58.30.
 
Pivot:
58.30
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 58.30 with targets at 59.30 & 60.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 58.30 look for further downside with 57.80 & 57.30 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is around its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (Q6)‎ intraday: further upside.
 
Pivot:
78.50
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 78.50 with targets at 81.00 & 82.60 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 78.50 look for further downside with 77.50 & 76.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 78.50.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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