Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
August 15, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Silver  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
 
On Friday, the major indices in the U.S. finished lower.

The S&P 500 slipped 13.23pts (-0.17%) to 7785.76.

The Nasdaq 100 fell 38.36pts (-0.13%) to 30046.141.

The Dow declined 107.58pts (-0.20%) to 53732.41.

On the sector front, the outperforming sectors were Energy (XLE), Utilities (XLU), and Materials (XLB), while Health Care (XLV), Technology (XLK), and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) underperformed the most.

Looking at the latest U.S. economic data, retail sales fell 0.6 per cent over one month in July, well below expectations for a 0.1 per cent increase and reversing a 0.2 per cent gain in June. Meanwhile, the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 51.0 in August, below the 54.5 forecast and down from 55.2 in July.

U.S. Equity News:

Sandisk (SNDK), a flash memory and data storage company, rose 7.39% after its investor day outlined an ambitious multiyear growth plan, while JPMorgan initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and a $2,250 price target.

U.S. drone stocks, including Unusual Machines (UMAC) +25.04%, AeroVironment (AVAV) +1.78%, and Ondas (ONDS) +3.70%, traded higher Friday after President Donald Trump announced tariffs of up to 100% on imported drones and components, citing national security concerns.

Applied Materials (AMAT), a global leader in materials engineering solutions for the semiconductor industry, declined 5.12% on profit taking as its quarterly financial results failed to impress investors.

Reddit (RDDT), a social media platform, jumped 12.63% after it was announced that the company will join the S&P 500 Index on August 18.

Fox Corp. (FOXA), a media company, gained 5.49% after JPMorgan upgraded the stock to Overweight from Neutral.

Volatility & Commodities Snapshot:

The VIX index fell 0.38pt (-2.60%) to 14.25.

The U.S. 10-year yield declined 3.75 basis points to 4.688%.

In the commodities market, gold gained $23.50 (+0.54%) to $4,373.66, silver rose $0.23 (+0.35%) to $64.68, and WTI crude oil advanced $1.18 (+1.45%) to $82.43.

Europe Market Overview:

At the European close, the major indices in the region finished mixed.

Germany's DAX gained 140pts (+0.53%) to 26440.

France's CAC 40 declined 13pts (-0.16%) to 8636.

The U.K.'s FTSE 100 fell 22pts (-0.21%) to 10750.

On the economic front, euro-area GDP was confirmed to have expanded 0.4 per cent quarter-on-quarter in the second quarter, following a 0.2 per cent contraction in the first quarter. Separately, the trade deficit narrowed slightly to 8.6 billion euros in June from a revised 9.0 billion in May, but was considerably wider than the 2.2 billion deficit expected.

Foreign Exchange & Crypto Wrap:

The dollar index declined 0.32pt (-0.32%) to 99.645.

EUR/USD rose 40pips (+0.35%) to 1.1567.

GBP/USD advanced 50pips (+0.37%) to 1.3535.

USD/JPY fell 14pips (-0.09%) to 159.34.

USD/CHF dipped 4pips (-0.05%) to 0.8134.

AUD/USD rose 28pips (+0.40%) to 0.7082.

USD/CAD slipped 55pips (-0.39%) to 1.3875.

Finally, in the cryptocurrencies market, Bitcoin fell $496 (-0.78%) to $62,871, while Ethereum declined $6 (-0.34%) to $1,878.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: consolidation in place.
 
Pivot:
83.20
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 83.20 with targets at 80.10 & 78.95 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 83.20 look for further upside with 84.65 & 86.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed and calls for caution.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday : First target, continuation or consolidation?
 
Our pivot point is at 4,321.
 
Our preference:
Our next up target stands at 4,424
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4,321, expect 4,284 and 4,262.
 
Comment:
Price is consolidating just below a key resistance level, setting the stage for an upside attempt.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: consolidation in place.
 
Pivot:
53700
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 53700 with targets at 54140 & 54340 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 53700 look for further downside with 53490 & 53340 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed with a bullish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: bounce.
 
Pivot:
7793
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7793 with targets at 7838 & 7860 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7793 look for further downside with 7764 & 7738 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a new upleg.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : Towards 1.1589
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1539.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.1539 is support, with 1.1589 and 1.1602 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1539, expect 1.1519 and 1.1506.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price is below its 20 period moving average (1.1569) but above its 50 period moving average (1.1550).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : 1.3569 in sight
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3500.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.3500 is support, with 1.3569 and 1.3589 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3500, expect 1.3467 and 1.3448.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price is below its 20 period moving average (1.3540) but above its 50 period moving average (1.3514).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : Watch 159.73
 
Our pivot point is at 159.03.
 
Our preference:
Our next up target stands at 159.90
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 159.03, expect 158.74 and 158.56.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 159.16 and 159.30).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday : Aim at 66.27
 
Our pivot point is at 63.90.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 63.90 is support, with 66.27 and 66.90 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 63.90, expect 62.84 and 62.21.
 
Comment:
The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price is below its 20 period moving average (64.97) but above its 50 period moving average (64.57).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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