Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
August 22, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Silver  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
 
On Friday, the major indices in the U.S. finished higher as Wall Street rebounded from Thursday’s decline. Stronger U.S. business activity, upbeat corporate earnings and a sharp rally in cryptocurrencies helped support risk appetite, although Treasury yields remained elevated. Despite Friday’s gains, the major U.S. benchmarks finished lower for the week.

The S&P 500 advanced 33.21pts (+0.43%) to 7,674.37.

The Nasdaq 100 gained 95.694pts (+0.33%) to 29,308.859.

The Dow jumped 517.8pts (+0.98%) to 53,277.01.

On the sector front, the outperforming sectors were Materials (XLB), Health Care (XLV), and Consumer Discretionary (XLY), while Utilities (XLU), Energy (XLE), and Real Estate (XLRE) underperformed the most.

On the U.S. economic data front, the S&P Global Composite PMI rose to 56.0 in August from 54.5 in July, topping the 54.0 forecast and reaching its highest level since April 2022. The Manufacturing PMI eased to 53.2 from 53.9, while the Services PMI climbed to 56.8 from 54.6, well above the 54.0 forecast and reaching its highest level since December 2024. The data pointed to a sharp acceleration in U.S. business activity, with S&P Global indicating that third-quarter economic growth could approach a 3% annualized pace.

U.S. Equity News:

Robinhood Markets (HOOD), an online brokerage and cryptocurrency trading platform, surged 13.70% to lead the S&P 500 on Friday as a sharp rally in Bitcoin boosted cryptocurrency-related stocks. Coinbase (COIN), another cryptocurrency trading platform, jumped 8%.

Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), a major copper producer, gained 7.64% to a record closing high as copper-linked stocks rallied amid strong demand expectations and tight supply conditions.

Tesla (TSLA), an electric-vehicle, energy-storage and autonomous-driving company, jumped 5.14% after Nevada regulators approved permits allowing Tesla, Waymo and Uber to expand commercial robotaxi operations in Clark County, including Las Vegas. Tesla was authorized to deploy as many as 5,000 robotaxis over the next year.

Ross Stores (ROST), an off-price apparel and home fashion retailer, jumped 4% after quarterly results exceeded expectations and the company raised its full-year earnings guidance amid strong comparable-store sales growth.

Volatility & Commodities Snapshot:

The VIX index dropped 0.88pt (-5.5%) to 15.13.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose roughly 3 basis points to around 4.73%.

In the commodities market, gold jumped $89.95 (+1.99%) to $4,607.82.

Silver gained $0.90 (+1.31%) to $68.97.

WTI crude oil slipped $0.06 (-0.07%) to $86.77.

Europe Market Overview:

At the European close, the major indices in the region finished in positive territory.

Germany's DAX gained 153pts (+0.59%) to 26,136.

France's CAC 40 rose 31pts (+0.37%) to 8,484.

The U.K.'s FTSE 100 climbed 68pts (+0.64%) to 10,816.

Foreign Exchange & Crypto Wrap:

The dollar index slipped 0.04pt (-0.04%) to 98.859.

EUR/USD declined 3pips (-0.03%) to 1.1675.

GBP/USD advanced 14pips (+0.10%) to 1.3643.

USD/JPY fell 9pips (-0.06%) to 158.96.

USD/CHF gained 11pips (+0.14%) to 0.8012.

AUD/USD jumped 58pips (+0.82%) to 0.7169.

USD/CAD retreated 24pips (-0.17%) to 1.3765. On the Canadian economic data front, retail sales rose 0.6% over one month in June, while Statistics Canada’s advance estimate indicated that sales fell 0.8% in July.

Finally, in the cryptocurrencies market, Bitcoin jumped $4,823 (+6.64%) to $77,479, while Ethereum gained $119 (+5.16%) to $2,437.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (V6)‎ intraday: consolidation in place.
 
Pivot:
85.50
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 85.50 with targets at 87.65 & 88.40 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 85.50 look for further downside with 83.90 & 83.15 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed with a bullish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday : Target 4,660
 
Our pivot point is at 4,571.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 4,571 is support, with 4,660 and 4,682 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4,571, expect 4,533 and 4,511.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 4,603 and 4,563).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: further advance.
 
Pivot:
53060
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 53060 with targets at 53560 & 53740 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 53060 look for further downside with 52810 & 52605 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI shows upside momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: the bias remains bullish.
 
Pivot:
7656
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7656 with targets at 7718 & 7739 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7656 look for further downside with 7630 & 7615 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed to bullish.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : Trend at a crossroads
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1668.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.1668 is support, with 1.1711 and 1.1723 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1668, expect 1.1649 and 1.1638.
 
Comment:
The price is dangerously moving towards our pivot, one of the final opportunities for a reversal.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : Pivotal moment
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3657.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.3657 is resistance, with 1.3580 and 1.3561 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3657, look for 1.3690 and 1.3709.
 
Comment:
The asset's price is approaching our pivot level at a critical juncture, leaving little room for the asset to reverse its current trajectory.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : Expect 159.43
 
Our pivot point is at 158.67.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 158.67 is support, with 159.43 and 159.62 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 158.67, expect 158.34 and 158.15.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 158.85 and 158.91).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday : Towards 71.01
 
Our pivot point is at 68.28.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 68.28 is support, with 71.01 and 71.67 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 68.28, expect 67.19 and 66.54.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price is below its 20 period moving average (69.55) but above its 50 period moving average (69.00).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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