Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
June 17, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
U.S. stocks closed mixed on Tuesday ahead of Wednesday’s Fed interest-rate decision. This will be the first under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, with the Fed funds rate widely expected to be unchanged.

The S&P 500 slipped 42 points (-0.57%) to 7,511, the Nasdaq 100 fell 575 points (-1.89%) to 29,968, and the Dow Jones rose 328 points (+0.64%) to 51,999, a new record close.

On the sector front, the outperforming sectors were Financials (XLF), Utilities (XLU) and Industrials (XLI), while Technology (XLK), Energy (XLE) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) underperformed the most.

Housing starts plunged 15.4% month-on-month in May, far steeper than the 2% decline forecast, while building permits fell 0.7% in May versus an expected 0.6% decline.

SpaceX (SPCX) climbed 4.83% after agreeing to acquire AI coding firm Cursor for 60 billion dollars.

Chip names fell on weaker market sentiment, with Nvidia (NVDA) down 2.37%, Broadcom (AVGO) down 4.37%, Micron Technology (MU) down 6.18% and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) down 7.30%, even as AMD struck a deal with Rackspace to deploy 30 MW of AI compute across Rackspace’s data centers and announced the acquisition of MEXT, an AI-driven memory-optimization company.

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) rose 3.68% after the Financial Times reported the bank plans to expand its digital bank, Chase, into Europe over the next five years.

Moderna (MRNA) gained 6.27% following executive changes and new data suggesting its flu shot may benefit older adults, according to the FDA.

Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) jumped 6.35% after DA Davidson kept a "Buy" rating with a 300 dollar price target.

At the European close, the DAX 40 gained 0.07%, the CAC 40 rose 0.75%, and the FTSE 100 increased 0.61%.

The VIX rose 0.21 points to 16.41, while the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.439%.

In the commodities market, gold added 27 dollars (+0.63%) to 4,333 dollars an ounce. On the opposite, U.S. WTI crude oil futures (August) fell 4.17 dollars (-5.25%) to 75.27 dollars a barrel, posting a 4-day decline.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
The U.S. dollar index slipped 0.08 points (-0.08%) to 99.55.

EUR/USD rose 16 pips (+0.14%) to 1.1606. Germany’s ZEW economic sentiment index climbed to 10.5 in June from -10.2 in May, beating expectations for -6.

GBP/USD advanced 9 pips (+0.07%) to 1.3421.

USD/JPY gained 15 pips (+0.09%) to 160.47, after the Bank of Japan raised its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 1.00%, as expected.

USD/CHF slipped 11 pips (-0.14%) to 0.7931.

AUD/USD fell 7 pips (-0.10%) to 0.7064, as the Reserve Bank of Australia kept its benchmark rate unchanged at 4.35%, in line with expectations.

USD/CAD climbed 12 pips (+0.09%) to 1.4001.

In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin dropped 757 dollars (-1.14%) to 65,723 dollars, while Ethereum fell 22 dollars (-1.22%) to 1,793 dollars.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, USD/JPY eased to 160.33. Japan's exports rose 17.0% year-on-year in May, above 16.2% expected, while machinery orders grew 8.7% month-on-month in April, above 0.9% estimated.

Meanwhile, EUR/USD edged up to 1.1612 and GBP/USD climbed to 1.3426.

Gold was steady at 4,342 dollars.

Bitcoin was little changed at 65,794 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
U.K. inflation rate is expected to climb to 3.0% year-on-year in May.

In the U.S., the Federal Reserve is expected to keep its Fed funds rate unchanged at 3.50% - 3.75%, while retail sales are estimated to grow 0.5% month-on-month in May.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (Q6)‎ intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
75.70
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 75.70 with targets at 73.80 & 73.10 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 75.70 look for further upside with 76.40 & 77.40 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday: the upside prevails.
 
Pivot:
4300
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 4300 with targets at 4365 & 4405 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4300 look for further downside with 4275 & 4245 as targets.
 
Comment:
Intraday technical indicators lack momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday: bullish bias above 1.3400.
 
Pivot:
1.3400
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.3400 with targets at 1.3440 & 1.3460 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3400 look for further downside with 1.3385 & 1.3365 as targets.
 
Comment:
Intraday technical indicators are mixed and call for caution.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
160.50
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 160.50 with targets at 160.10 & 159.90 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 160.50 look for further upside with 160.65 & 160.80 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a new downleg.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday: the bias remains bullish.
 
Pivot:
1.1590
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.1590 with targets at 1.1620 & 1.1640 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1590 look for further downside with 1.1575 & 1.1560 as targets.
 
Comment:
Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday: the upside prevails.
 
Pivot:
68.95
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 68.95 with targets at 71.25 & 72.50 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 68.95 look for further downside with 68.30 & 67.50 as targets.
 
Comment:
Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: consolidation in place.
 
Pivot:
52560
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 52560 with targets at 52190 & 52000 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 52560 look for further upside with 52730 & 52910 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bearish and calls for further decline.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: consolidation in place.
 
Pivot:
7620
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 7620 with targets at 7565 & 7540 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 7620 look for further upside with 7650 & 7675 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 7620 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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