Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
March 3, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Monday, major U.S. stock indexes opened lower following U.S. and Israeli air strikes on Iran over the weekend, but managed to pare most losses at close.

The Dow Jones closed just 73 points lower (-0.15%) at 48,904.

The S&P 500 edged up 2 points (+0.04%) to 6,881, and the Nasdaq 100 added 32 points (+0.13%) to 24,992.

Oil prices jumped amid fears of oil-supply disruption in the Middle East, with U.S. WTI crude futures settling 4.21 dollars higher (+6.28%) at 71.23 dollars a barrel.

Energy stocks advanced alongside oil prices, with Marathon Petroleum (MPC) climbing 5.86%, and Valero Energy (VLO) up 5.02%.

Defense stocks also rallied, with Northrop Grumman (NOC) jumping 6.02%, and Lockheed Martin (LMT) up 2.83%.

However, airline stocks were pressured by rising oil prices and potential flight disruptions, with Delta Air Lines (DAL) declining 2.21%, and United Airlines (UAL) down 2.91%.

Palantir Technologies (PTLR), which is a major supplier of artificial-intelligence technology to the U.S. Department of Defense, gained 5.82%.

Nvidia (NVDA) announced plans to invest 2 billion dollars each in photonic product makers Lumentum (LITE) and Coherent (COHR). Nvidia gained 2.99%, Lumentum surged 11.75%, and Coherent was up 15.44%.

Berkshire Hathaway (BRKB) slid 4.91% after reporting a more than 29% decline in quarterly operating earnings.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rebounded 8.7 basis points to 4.036%.

European stocks closed sharply lower, with the DAX 40 falling 2.56%, the CAC 40 down 2.17%, and the FTSE 100 down 1.20%.

Gold closed 43 dollars higher at 5,322 dollars an ounce, but silver dropped 4.44 dollars (-4.73%) to 89.35 dollars an ounce.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
The U.S. dollar rose across the board following U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iran, with the dollar index jumping to 98.52.

Regarding U.S. economic data, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing index posted at 52.4 for February, still an expansion reading.

EUR/USD fell 118 pips (-1.00%) to 1.1695.

USD/JPY rose 132 pips to 157.35, and USD/CHF advanced 103 pips (+1.34%) to 0.7790.

GBP/USD dropped 78 pips to 1.3406, and AUD/USD declined 25 pips to 0.7088.

USD/CAD added 26 pips to 1.3668.

Bitcoin regained some traction, bouncing 3,700 dollars or 5.6% to 69,470 dollars.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, USD/JPY was broadly steady at 157.25. Japan's jobless rate edged up to 2.7% in January, above 2.6% expected.

Meanwhile, EUR/USD and GBP/USD both remained subdued, at 1.1690 and 1.3408 respectively.

Gold bounced to 5,366 dollars.

Bitcoin held gains at 68,498 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
The eurozone's inflation rate is expected to stay at 1.7% year-on-year in February.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (J6)‎ Intraday: bounce.
 
Pivot:
72.40
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 72.40 with targets at 76.60 & 79.10 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 72.40 look for further downside with 71.20 & 69.20 as targets.
 
Comment:
The immediate trend remains up and the momentum is strong.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
5335
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 5335 with targets at 5170 & 5125 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 5335 look for further upside with 5380 & 5415 as targets.
 
Comment:
A break below 5170 would trigger a drop towards 5125.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
1.3395
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.3395 with targets at 1.3250 & 1.3215 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3395 look for further upside with 1.3435 & 1.3470 as targets.
 
Comment:
A break below 1.3250 would trigger a drop towards 1.3215.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY Intraday: up turn.
 
Pivot:
157.15
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 157.15 with targets at 158.10 & 158.45 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 157.15 look for further downside with 156.85 & 156.50 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 158.10 and then at 158.45.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
1.1695
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.1695 with targets at 1.1585 & 1.1555 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1695 look for further upside with 1.1720 & 1.1745 as targets.
 
Comment:
A break below 1.1585 would trigger a drop towards 1.1555.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
87.50
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 87.50 with targets at 79.35 & 75.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 87.50 look for further upside with 91.40 & 95.70 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 87.50 is resistance, expect a return to 79.35.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
48805
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 48805 with targets at 47840 & 47550 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 48805 look for further upside with 49130 & 49440 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: watch 6770.
 
Pivot:
6865
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 6865 with targets at 6770 & 6700 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 6865 look for further upside with 6895 & 6925 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 6865 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 6770 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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