Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
October 15, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Wednesday, U.S. stocks came under further pressure, as hotter-than-expected inflation data boosted rate-hike expectations. The S&P 500 fell 86 points (-1.11%) to 7,718, while the Nasdaq 100 dropped 618 points (-2.02%) to 29,950 and the Dow Jones slipped 48 points (-0.09%) to 51,621.

U.S. data showed that the consumer price inflation rate accelerated to 3.7% year-on-year in September and the core inflation rate increased to 2.6% year-on-year, both higher than expected.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield jumped to 5.329% after the inflation print before settling at 5.194%.

Traders are now pricing in a 33% chance of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points later this month, up from 22% a day earlier, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Most mega-caps closed lower, with Meta Platforms (META) falling 3.27%, Nvidia (NVDA) down 3.16%, Tesla (TSLA) down 2.15%, and Microsoft (MSFT) down 1.80%.

Semiconductor stocks slumped, with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) sinking 5.73%, Intel (INTC) down 4.56%, Micron Technology (MU) down 4.10%, and Broadcom (AVGO) down 3.10%.

Other artificial-intelligence-related stocks also encountered selling pressure, with Dell Technologies (DELL) tumbling 11.34%, Lumentum (LITE) down 9.28%, Coherent (COHR) down 9.19%, and SanDisk (SNDK) down 5.33%.

Bank of America (BAC) dropped 4.73% after reporting lower-than-expected quarterly results and disclosing a charge of more than 1.2 billion dollars for regulatory penalties over anti-money-laundering failures.

Energy stocks stayed firm as oil prices kept advancing, with Chevron (CVX) adding 1.98% and ExxonMobil (XOM) up 1.68%.

Meanwhile, healthcare shares helped support the Dow Jones, with Eli Lilly (LLY) rising 3.62%, Merck (MRK) up 3.80%, and AbbVie (ABBV) up 3.32%.

European stocks closed higher, with the DAX 40 rising 0.15%, the CAC 40 up 0.58%, and the FTSE 100 advancing 0.70%.

U.S. WTI crude futures gained 0.95 dollars (+1.01%) to 95.09 dollars a barrel, posting a five-session winning streak. The headquarters complex of state oil giant Saudi Aramco in Dhahran was struck by Iran-backed Houthi militants.

Spot gold declined 55 dollars (-1.33%) to 4,105 dollars an ounce, extending its decline to a third session.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
The U.S. dollar was lifted by hot inflation data, with the Dollar Index hitting an 18-month high on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the Fed’s newly released Beige Book also noted that inflation pressures picked up in parts of the country.

EUR/USD slipped down to 1.1113 on Wednesday before closing at 1.1156.

GBP/USD touched an intraday low of 1.3137 before climbing back to 1.3194.

USD/JPY was little changed at 158.33.

USD/CHF ran up to 0.8395 before retreating to 0.8351.

Bitcoin slid alongside risk assets, trading about 2% lower at 81,500 dollars.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, AUD/USD slipped to 0.6952. Australia's employment fell by 39,300 in September (vs +20,000 expected), while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.7% (vs 4.6% estimated).

Meanwhile, USD/JPY dropped to 157.70. Japan's machinery orders rose 5.2% month-on-month in August (vs +3.0% estimated).

EUR/USD rebounded to 1.1215, and GBP/USD bounced to 1.3239.

Gold advanced to 4,144 dollars.

Bitcoin remained subdued at 80,910 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
U.K. gross domestic product is projected to slip 0.1% month-on-month in August.

Eurozone's industrial production is forecast to be flat month-on-month in August.

In the U.S., the producer price index is forecast to rise 5.3% year-on-year in September, while retail sales are expected to grow 0.3% month-on-month. Also, initial jobless claims are expected to climb to 200,000 in the week ended October 10, and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index is projected to drop to 28.4 in October.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (Z6)‎ intraday: watch 90.90.
 
Pivot:
94.80
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 94.80 with targets at 90.90 & 90.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 94.80 look for further upside with 96.40 & 98.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI shows downside momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday : 4,195 expected
 
Our pivot point is at 4,110.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 4,110 is support, with 4,195 and 4,217 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4,110, expect 4,073 and 4,051.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 4,125 and 4,124).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : Towards 1.3277
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3213.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.3213 is support, with 1.3277 and 1.3292 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3213, expect 1.3187 and 1.3172.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3220 and 1.3223).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : Target 157.58
 
Our pivot point is at 158.59.
 
Our preference:
Under pressure below 158.59, with 157.58 and 157.34 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 158.59, look for 158.99 and 159.23.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 157.99 and 158.30).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : Target 1.1242
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1180.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.1180 is support, with 1.1242 and 1.1255 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1180, expect 1.1160 and 1.1148.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1187 and 1.1178).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday : Look for 54.97
 
Our pivot point is at 56.94.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 56.94 is resistance, with 54.97 and 54.45 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 56.94, look for 57.82 and 58.34.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The price stands above its 20 period moving average (55.86) but below its 50 period moving average (56.89).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (Z6)‎ intraday: choppy.
 
Pivot:
52600
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 52600 with targets at 51615 & 51300 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 52600 look for further upside with 53000 & 53200 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI lacks upward momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (Z6)‎ intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
7875
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 7875 with targets at 7700 & 7600 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 7875 look for further upside with 7940 & 8000 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a new downleg.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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