Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
March 5, 2026
 
   
 
Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Crude Oil (WTI)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  U.S. Market Overview:  
 
 
The U.S. stock market closed on a positive note on Wednesday, driven by encouraging economic data.

The S&P 500 advanced 52 points (+0.78%) to 6869, the Nasdaq 100 rose 373 points (+1.51%) to 25093, and the Dow climbed 238 points (+0.49%) to 48739.

On the sector front, the outperforming sectors were Consumer Discretionary (XLY), Technology (XLK), and Communication Services (XLC) while Consumer Staples (XLP), Energy (XLE), and Materials (XLB) underperformed the most.
 
 
  U.S. Economic Developments:  
 
 
The February ADP Employment report revealed a significant surge of 63,000 jobs, far surpassing the anticipated 19,000 and January's figure of 22,000. Additionally, the ISM Services PMI showed an unexpected improvement, rising to 56.1 in February, defying forecasts of a decline to 53 and January's 53.8.
 
 
  U.S. Equity News:  
 
 
Amazon (AMZN) rose 3.88%, driven in part by purchases from Cathie Wood's ARK Invest ETFs, which added approximately $13 million worth of shares. The company's Amazon Web Services (AWS) had recently been impacted by drone attacks in the UAE and Bahrain.

Tesla (TSLA) also saw a boost, gaining 3.44%, after Bank of America reinstated coverage of the electric vehicle maker with a Buy rating and a price target of $460.

The cryptocurrency space saw significant gains, with Coinbase (COIN) surging 14.57% and Strategy (MSTR) rising 10.37%, as Bitcoin broke through the $70,000 mark.

Cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) edged up 4.15%, following the release of its quarterly financial figures, which showed adjusted EPS in line with estimates and overall results that exceeded expectations.

Moderna (MRNA) saw a significant gain, rising 16.05%, after announcing a settlement with Arbutus Biopharma and Genevant Sciences over patent disputes related to its COVID-19 vaccine, agreeing to pay $950 million to resolve the issues.
 
 
  Europe Market Overview:  
 
 
European markets closed on a positive note, with major indices finishing in the green. Germany's DAX rose by 414 points (1.74%) to 24,205 while France's CAC 40 gained 63 points (0.79%) to 8,167. Meanwhile, the UK's FTSE 100 also saw an increase, rising by 83 points (0.8%) to 10,567.

The Eurozone's Producer Price Index (PPI) declined by 2.1% in January compared to the same period last year, slightly less than the forecasted 2.6% drop and a slight revision from December's 2% decrease (initially reported as 2.1%). Meanwhile, the Eurozone's unemployment rate edged down to 6.1% in January, from 6.2% in December, beating expectations of no change.
 
 
  Global Macro, FX & Commodities:  
 
 
Rates & Risk Sentiment:

The VIX index, a measure of market volatility, declined 2.42 points (-10.27%) to settle at 21.15, following today's market movements and economic data releases. Meanwhile, the US 10-year Treasury yield edged higher, rising to 4.096%.

Precious Metals & Crude:

Precious metals experienced a rebound. Gold prices increased by $49.86 (0.98%) to $5,136.33. Silver also saw gains, rising $1.32 (1.61%) to $83.36.

In the energy market, WTI Crude Oil prices edged up by $1.1 (1.48%) to $75.66. This increase is attributed to ongoing developments in the Middle East, particularly after the U.S. reportedly sank an Iranian warship. According to reports, President Trump is currently in discussions with his advisors to determine the future role of the U.S. in Iran once the military conflict subsides.

The Dollar & Majors:

The dollar index fell 0.27 points (-0.27%) to 98.783.

EUR/USD rose 27 pips (+0.23%) to 1.164.

GBP/USD advanced 20 pips (+0.15%) to 1.3374.

USD/JPY fell 65 pips (-0.41%) to 157.06.

USD/CHF slipped 28 pips (-0.36%) to 0.7787.

AUD/USD gained 46 pips (+0.65%) to 0.7079. Australia's economy posted a 2.6% year-over-year growth in the fourth quarter, slightly exceeding the estimated 2.5%.

USD/CAD retreated 47 pips (-0.34%) to 1.363.

Digital Assets:

Cryptocurrencies experienced a significant surge, buoyed by the overall positive market sentiment. Bitcoin saw a notable increase, rising by $5,146 (7.56%) to $73,195 while Ethereum gained momentum, climbing by $177 (9.04%) to $2,146.
 
 
  After Hours  
 
 
In after-hours trading, Broadcom (AVGO) edged up following the release of its first-quarter earnings, which showed adjusted EPS surpassing estimates. Additionally, the company provided a positive outlook, forecasting second-quarter revenue above expectations.

Veeva Systems (VEEV) saw a significant surge in extended trading, driven by its strong fourth-quarter revenue, which exceeded analyst expectations.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: bullish bias above 48680.
 
Pivot:
48680
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 48680 with targets at 49075 & 49370 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 48680 look for further downside with 48470 & 48310 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 49075 and then at 49370.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: towards 6910.
 
Pivot:
6850
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 6850 with targets at 6910 & 6935 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 6850 look for further downside with 6810 & 6770 as targets.
 
Comment:
The break above 6850 is a positive signal that has opened a path to 6910.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD Intraday: the bias remains bullish.
 
Pivot:
1.1595
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.1595 with targets at 1.1655 & 1.1680 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1595 look for further downside with 1.1575 & 1.1550 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a bounce.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD Intraday: bullish bias above 1.3330.
 
Pivot:
1.3330
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.3330 with targets at 1.3400 & 1.3430 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3330 look for further downside with 1.3300 & 1.3270 as targets.
 
Comment:
Technically the RSI is above its neutrality area at 50.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY Intraday: watch 156.50.
 
Pivot:
157.40
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 157.40 with targets at 156.85 & 156.50 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 157.40 look for further upside with 157.65 & 157.95 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 157.40 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 156.85 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: target 5225.
 
Pivot:
5085
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 5085 with targets at 5195 & 5225 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 5085 look for further downside with 5050 & 4995 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a bounce.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: bounce.
 
Pivot:
81.30
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 81.30 with targets at 86.30 & 87.50 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 81.30 look for further downside with 79.50 & 77.90 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50% but reversing up.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (J6)‎ Intraday: expect 77.90.
 
Pivot:
74.50
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 74.50 with targets at 76.90 & 77.90 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 74.50 look for further downside with 73.30 & 71.60 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 76.90 and then at 77.90.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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