Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
May 23, 2026
 
   
 
Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Crude Oil (WTI)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
 
U.S. Market Overview:

On Friday, the major indices in the U.S. finished higher, extending the week's gains as optimism around U.S.-Iran diplomatic peace talks and continued AI-driven enthusiasm kept buying interest firm into the close. The S&P 500 advanced 27pts (+0.37%) to 7,473, the Nasdaq 100 gained 124pts (+0.42%) to 29,481, and the Dow climbed 294pts (+0.58%) to 50,579.

On the sector front, Health Care (XLV) was lifted by post-earnings momentum in several large-cap names, Technology (XLK) benefited from the week's strong semiconductor tailwinds, and Utilities (XLU) attracted defensive buying. Communication Services (XLC), Real Estate (XLRE), and Consumer Staples (XLP) lagged on the day.

U.S. Economic Developments:

Michigan Consumer Sentiment fell to 44.8 in May, below the 48.2 forecast and down from a revised 48.2 in April.

U.S. Equity News:

Dell Technologies (DELL), a provider of IT infrastructure, PCs, and AI-optimized servers, jumped 16.77 making it the best performing stock in the S&P 500 after a sweeping round of analyst price target increases from Evercore ISI, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan, Citi, and Mizuho ignited fresh buying interest ahead of its first-quarter results due May 28. HP Inc (HPQ) also rallied 15.25% on the news.

Merck (MRK), a pharmaceutical giant, gained 5.64% after partner Sichuan Kelun-Biotech reported that its experimental treatment paired with Merck's Keytruda demonstrated improved progression-free survival in patients with advanced lung cancer in a late-stage trial.

Estee Lauder (EL), a global cosmetics company, jumped 11.9% after announcing it had terminated discussions with Spanish peer Puig regarding a potential business combination.

Workday (WDAY), a leader in enterprise cloud applications for finance and human resources, gained 5.16% on better-than-expected quarterly earnings and raised its full-year margin forecast.

Zoom Communications (ZM), a video communications company, jumped 9.19% as quarterly financial figures beat estimates, with the Board of Directors also authorizing an additional $1.0 billion share repurchase program.

Ross Stores (ROST), an off-price apparel and home fashion retailer, gained 8.18% as quarterly financial figures topped expectations and the company raised its full-year guidance.

Europe Market Overview:

At the European close, the major indices in the region finished in positive territory, supported by the same geopolitical optimism and AI-driven sentiment that lifted Wall Street. Germany's DAX led the region, gaining 281pts (+1.15%) to 24,888, France's CAC 40 added 29pts (+0.37%) to 8,115, and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 edged up 22pts (+0.22%) to 10,466.

Looking at economic data in the region, Germany's GfK consumer confidence index was -29.8 in June vs -34 expected and -33.1 a month earlier (revised from -33.3). Separately, Germany's Ifo business climate index edged up to 84.9 in May (84.6 anticipated) from 84.4 in April. In U.K. retail sales decreased 1.3% in April month-on-month vs -0.3% expected and +0.6% in March (revised from +0.7%).

Volatility & Commodities Snapshot:

The VIX declined (-0.36%) to 16.7. The U.S. 10-year yield rose 0.203 basis points to 4.558%.

In commodities, gold declined $34.52 (-0.76%) to $4,506.98, silver dropped $1.25 (-1.63%) to $75.45, and WTI crude oil slipped $0.15 (-0.16%) to $96.20.

The Dollar & Majors:

The dollar index edged up 0.05pt (+0.05%) to 99.304.

EUR/USD declined 17pips (-0.15%) to 1.1601.

GBP/USD advanced 5pips (+0.04%) to 1.3434.

USD/JPY rose 19pips (+0.12%) to 159.15. Japan’s data showed that the core inflation rate slowed to 1.4% year on year in April, lower than expected.

USD/CHF slipped 17pips (-0.22%) to 0.7848.

AUD/USD declined 19pips (-0.27%) to 0.7128.

USD/CAD advanced 37pips (+0.27%) to 1.3814. In Canada, Retail Sales rose 0.6% MoM (preliminary) in April, above the 0.5% forecast. PPI climbed 11.4% YoY in April, above the 10% forecast and up from a revised 8.4% in March.

Digital Assets:

Finally, in the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin declined $1,788 (-2.3%) to $75,857 and Ethereum dropped $67 (-3.15%) to $2,069.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (M6)‎ intraday: the upside prevails.
 
Pivot:
50220
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 50220 with targets at 51040 & 51400 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 50220 look for further downside with 49900 & 49290 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed to bullish.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (M6)‎ intraday: further advance.
 
Pivot:
7469
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7469 with targets at 7523 & 7550 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7469 look for further downside with 7437 & 7408 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI shows upside momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : as long as 1.1624 is resistance look for 1.1556
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1624.
 
Our preference:
As long as 1.1624 is resistance look for 1.1556
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1624, look for 1.1648 and 1.1662.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The break above the 50 area on the RSI should trigger further gains. Moreover, the price stands above its 20 period moving average (1.1605) but below its 50 period moving average (1.1609).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
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GBP/USD intraday : target 1.3359
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3471.
 
Our preference:
Target 1.3359
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3471, look for 1.3510 and 1.3534.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The MACD must penetrate its zero line to expect further downside. Moreover, the price is below its 20 period moving average (1.3438) but above its 50 period moving average (1.3432).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : the upside prevails as long as 158.93 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 158.93.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 158.93 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 158.93, expect 158.64 and 158.47.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 159.14 and 159.09).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday: consolidation in place.
 
Pivot:
4490
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 4490 with targets at 4566 & 4586 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4490 look for further downside with 4477 & 4452 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed with a bullish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday: choppy.
 
Pivot:
74.40
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 74.40 with targets at 77.10 & 78.90 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 74.40 look for further downside with 73.80 & 73.05 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI shows upside momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (N6)‎ intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
99.45
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 99.45 with targets at 95.46 & 92.90 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 99.45 look for further upside with 102.00 & 104.70 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed to bearish.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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