TRADING CENTRAL

DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK

February 13, 2026

Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.

Crude Oil (WTI) Gold GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/USD Silver Dow Jones (CME) S&P 500 (CME)

Market Wrap

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

On Thursday, U.S. technology stocks fell sharply, with the Nasdaq 100 sliding 513 points (-2.04%) to 24,687.

The S&P 500 slipped 108 points (-1.57%) to 6,832, and the Dow Jones dropped 669 points (-1.34%) to 49,451.

Apple (AAPL) slumped 5.00%, the biggest daily loss since last April. The U.S. Federal Trade Commission’s chairman has called on the tech giant to review possible political bias in Apple News.

Other tech giants also fell, with Tesla (TSLA) dropping 2.62%, Meta (META) down 2.82%, Amazon (AMZN) down 2.20%, and Nvidia (NVDA) down 1.64%.

Semiconductor stocks lost more than the market in general, with Intel (INTC) sliding 3.75%, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) down 3.58%, and Broadcom (AVGO) down 3.38%.

Meanwhile, Sandisk (SNDK) jumped 5.16%, and Micron (MU) was up 0.88%.

Cisco Systems (CSCO) plunged 12.32% after reporting lower-than-expected quarterly gross profit margins.

AppLovin (APP) sank 19.68% despite reporting quarterly figures that surpassed market expectations.

Meanwhile, Equinix (EQIX) rose 10.41%. The data-center operator gave an upbeat full-year revenue forecast citing strong AI-related demand.

The U.S. 10-year declined 7.4 basis points to 4.100%.

In Europe, the DAX 40 dipped 0.01%, the FTSE 100 closed 0.67% lower, while the CAC 40 was up 0.33%.

Gold lost the handle of 5,000 dollars an ounce again, retreating 162 dollars (-3.20%) to 4,922 dollars an ounce.

U.S. WTI crude futures slid 1.79 dollars (-2.77%) to 62.84 dollars a barrel. The International Energy Agency projected a global supply surplus of 3.73 million barrels per day in 2026, adding that oil demand would increase more slowly than expected.

Market Wrap: Forex

The U.S. dollar index was stable at 96.91. The latest U.S. initial jobless claims declined to 227,000, the first decline after three straight weeks of increases.

EUR/USD was little changed at 1.1870.

USD/JPY fell 48 pips to 152.76, down for a fourth straight session. Japan's producer price inflation slowed to 2.3% year on year in January from 2.4% in December.

GBP/USD dipped 2 pips to 1.3623. U.K. data showed that gross domestic product growth was stable at 0.1% quarter on quarter in the fourth quarter.

AUD/USD dropped 38 pips to 0.7088.

USD/CHF fell 23 pips to 0.7691, while USD/CAD advanced 36 pips to 1.3610.

Gold lost the handle of 5,000 dollars an ounce again, retreating 162 dollars (-3.20%) to 4,922 dollars an ounce.

Bitcoin kept riding on a downtrend, slipping 1% to 66,300 dollars.

Morning Trading

In Asian trading hours, EUR/USD and GBP/USD were broadly flat, at 1.1870 and 1.3620 respectively.

Meanwhile, USD/JPY rebounded to 153.10.

Gold bounced to 4,976 dollars.

Bitcoin remained subdued at 66,449 dollars.

Expected Today

In the U.S., inflation rate is expected to ease to 2.4% year-on-year in January.

Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.

Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: up turn.

Pivot:

62.50

Our preference:

Long positions above 62.50 with targets at 63.75 & 64.20 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Below 62.50 look for further downside with 62.20 & 61.90 as targets.

Comment:

The RSI shows upside momentum.

Trade

Gold Intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot:

5007

Our preference:

Short positions below 5007 with targets at 4945 & 4915 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Above 5007 look for further upside with 5040 & 5080 as targets.

Comment:

As long as 5007 is resistance, likely decline to 4945.

Trade

GBP/USD Intraday: under pressure.

Pivot:

1.3630

Our preference:

Short positions below 1.3630 with targets at 1.3580 & 1.3560 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Above 1.3630 look for further upside with 1.3650 & 1.3670 as targets.

Comment:

The RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.

Trade

USD/JPY Intraday: the upside prevails.

Pivot:

152.65

Our preference:

Long positions above 152.65 with targets at 153.75 & 154.10 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Below 152.65 look for further downside with 152.30 & 152.00 as targets.

Comment:

Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

Trade

EUR/USD Intraday: consolidation in place.

Pivot:

1.1875

Our preference:

Short positions below 1.1875 with targets at 1.1845 & 1.1830 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Above 1.1875 look for further upside with 1.1890 & 1.1905 as targets.

Comment:

As long as 1.1875 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

Trade

Silver Intraday: turning down.

Pivot:

79.70

Our preference:

Short positions below 79.70 with targets at 77.40 & 75.95 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Above 79.70 look for further upside with 81.00 & 82.90 as targets.

Comment:

As long as 79.70 is resistance, likely decline to 77.40.

Trade

Dow Jones (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot:

49820

Our preference:

Short positions below 49820 with targets at 49200 & 48960 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Above 49820 look for further upside with 49970 & 50290 as targets.

Comment:

The RSI is bearish and calls for further decline.

Trade

S&P 500 (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: under pressure.

Pivot:

6890

Our preference:

Short positions below 6890 with targets at 6808 & 6770 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Above 6890 look for further upside with 6933 & 6970 as targets.

Comment:

The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%

Trade

TRADING FOREIGN EXCHANGE ON MARGIN CARRIES A HIGH LEVEL OF RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS.

THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS THAT YOU COULD SUSTAIN A LOSS OF SOME OR ALL OF YOUR INITIAL INVESTMENT AND THEREFORE YOU SHOULD NOT INVEST MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD TO LOSE.

THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE CAN WORK AGAINST YOU AS WELL AS FOR YOU. BEFORE DECIDING TO TRADE FOREIGN EXCHANGE OR CFD’S YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES, LEVEL OF EXPERIENCE, AND RISK APPETITE.

YOU SHOULD BE AWARE OF ALL THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH FOREIGN EXCHANGE AND OTHER CFD TRADING, AND SEEK ADVICE FROM AN INDEPENDENT FINANCIAL ADVISOR IF YOU HAVE ANY DOUBTS. VPFX RECOMMENDS READING THE RISK DISCLOSURE SECTION OF THE PROSPECTUS FOR ANY FINANCIAL PRODUCT MENTIONED.

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