TRADING CENTRAL

DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK

December 30, 2025

Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.

Crude Oil (WTI) Gold EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY Silver Dow Jones (CME) S&P 500 (CME)

Market Wrap

Market Wrap: pre-opening session

U.S. market futures are little changed. On Monday, the major U.S. indices faced downward pressure. The S&P 500 fell by 24 points (-0.35%), closing at 6,905. The Nasdaq 100 declined by 118 points (-0.46%), reaching 25,525, while the Dow dropped by 249 points (-0.51%), settling at 48,461.

Among the sectors, Energy (XLE), Real Estate (XLRE), and Utilities (XLU) showed the strongest performance, whereas Consumer Discretionary (XLY), Materials (XLB), and Financials (XLF) lagged behind.

On the economic front in the U.S. the Federal Reserve will release its latest FOMC meeting minutes. On the stat side, the Chicago purchasing managers index is expected to improve at 39.0 in December vs 36.3 in November.

European indices are trading green, led by banks and mining stocks.

Asian indices mostly lost some ground, tracking Wall Street's decline.

WTI crude oil futures slightly rise, crossing above 58.00 dollars. The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported an increase of 0.4 million barrels in crude inventories last week, compared with an expected draw of 2.4 million barrels.

Gold and silver both bounce back after a strong drop yesterday.

Bitcoin gains some ground, currently trading around 87,000 dollars.

Premarket news

Citigroup (C)'s, a banking group, target price was raised to 130 dollars from 120 dollars at Piper Sandler.

Expected Today

No major earnings expected

Canada

On Monday, the S&P/TSX Composite Index dropped 0.32% to 31,897 and the S&P/TSX 60 Index was slightly down 0.18% to 1,871.

Hudbay Minerals (HBM), Teck Resources (TECK/B) and Ero Copper (ERO) gain ground on higher copper prices.

Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.

Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (G6)‎ Intraday: further advance.

Pivot:

57.75

Our preference:

Long positions above 57.75 with targets at 58.60 & 58.90 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Below 57.75 look for further downside with 57.50 & 57.05 as targets.

Comment:

The RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.

Trade

Gold Intraday: continuation of the rebound.

Pivot:

4322

Our preference:

Long positions above 4322 with targets at 4427 & 4467 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Below 4322 look for further downside with 4300 & 4270 as targets.

Comment:

The RSI is bullish and calls for further advance.

Trade

EUR/USD intraday : the downside prevails as long as 1.1789 is resistance

Our pivot point is at 1.1789.

Our preference:

The downside prevails as long as 1.1789 is resistance

Alternative scenario:

Above 1.1789, look for 1.1820 and 1.1839.

Comment:

The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1767 and 1.1768).

Trade

GBP/USD intraday : the downside prevails as long as 1.3501 is resistance

Our pivot point is at 1.3501.

Our preference:

The downside prevails as long as 1.3501 is resistance

Alternative scenario:

Above 1.3501, look for 1.3531 and 1.3549.

Comment:

Trade

USD/JPY intraday : the upside prevails as long as 155.85 is support

Our pivot point is at 155.85.

Our preference:

The upside prevails as long as 155.85 is support

Alternative scenario:

Below 155.85, expect 155.36 and 155.08.

Comment:

The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 156.06 and 156.10).

Trade

Silver Intraday: up turn.

Pivot:

72.00

Our preference:

Long positions above 72.00 with targets at 76.20 & 78.60 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Below 72.00 look for further downside with 70.40 & 69.10 as targets.

Comment:

The RSI is mixed with a bullish bias.

Trade

Dow Jones (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: intraday support around 48660.

Pivot:

48660

Our preference:

Long positions above 48660 with targets at 48845 & 48915 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Below 48660 look for further downside with 48530 & 48375 as targets.

Comment:

A support base at 48660 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

Trade

S&P 500 (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: intraday support around 6937.

Pivot:

6937

Our preference:

Long positions above 6937 with targets at 6967 & 6978 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Below 6937 look for further downside with 6915 & 6894 as targets.

Comment:

A support base at 6937 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

Trade

TRADING FOREIGN EXCHANGE ON MARGIN CARRIES A HIGH LEVEL OF RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS.

THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS THAT YOU COULD SUSTAIN A LOSS OF SOME OR ALL OF YOUR INITIAL INVESTMENT AND THEREFORE YOU SHOULD NOT INVEST MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD TO LOSE.

THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE CAN WORK AGAINST YOU AS WELL AS FOR YOU. BEFORE DECIDING TO TRADE FOREIGN EXCHANGE OR CFD’S YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES, LEVEL OF EXPERIENCE, AND RISK APPETITE.

YOU SHOULD BE AWARE OF ALL THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH FOREIGN EXCHANGE AND OTHER CFD TRADING, AND SEEK ADVICE FROM AN INDEPENDENT FINANCIAL ADVISOR IF YOU HAVE ANY DOUBTS. VPFX RECOMMENDS READING THE RISK DISCLOSURE SECTION OF THE PROSPECTUS FOR ANY FINANCIAL PRODUCT MENTIONED.

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