Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
May 16, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
 
U.S. Market Overview:

U.S. equities retreated Friday as stronger than anticipated economic data kept bond yields elevated and weighed on risk appetite, with the S&P 500 slipping 92 points (-1.24%) to 7,408, the Nasdaq 100 dropping 455 points (-1.54%) to 29,125, and the Dow declining 537 points (-1.07%) to 49,526. Energy, Financials, and Consumer Staples led on the sector front, while Materials, Utilities, and Consumer Discretionary lagged.

U.S. Economic Developments:

Looking at the latest U.S. economic data, The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index rose to 19.6 monthly in May, above the 7 forecast and up from 11 in April. Industrial Production rose 0.7% month-over-month in April, above the 0.1% forecast and up from -0.3% in March.

U.S. Equity News:

Microsoft (MSFT), the software development company, jumped 3.05% after investor Bill Ackman said Pershing Square took a stake in the company with Ackman arguing the selloff underestimates the resilience of its Office 365 business and the growth potential of its Copilot AI platform.

NVIDIA (NVDA), a leading designer of graphics processors and AI chips, fell 4.42%, along with other chipmakers after Trump-Xi summit ended without major deals regarding the tech sector. Tesla (TSLA), the electric vehicle maker, dropped (-4.75%).

Figma (FIG), a collaborative design platform is the leading collaborative design platform, jumped 13% as quarterly financial figures smashed estimates.

Europe Market Overview:

European markets closed lower, with Germany's DAX declining 505 points (-2.07%) to 23,950, France's CAC 40 dropping 129 points (-1.60%) to 7,952, and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 slipping 177 points (-1.71%) to 10,195.

Volatility & Commodities Snapshot:

The VIX rose 1.17 points to 18.43, while the 10-year Treasury yield dipped 1.1 basis points to 4.603%.

Precious Metals & Crude:

Gold declined $114.79 (-2.47%) to $4,534.69 and silver dropped $7.72 (-9.25%) to $75.76, while WTI Crude climbed $4.81 (+4.75%) to $105.98.

The Dollar & Majors: U.S. dollar firms broadly as stronger economic data lifts greenback against majors.

The dollar index gained 0.48 points (+0.49%) to 99.302.

EUR/USD declined 48 pips (-0.41%) to 1.1620.

GBP/USD slipped 85 pips (-0.63%) to 1.3314.

USD/JPY rose 46 pips (+0.29%) to 158.81. Japan's producer price inflation accelerated to 4.9% year on year in April, faster than expected.

USD/CHF climbed 33 pips (+0.42%) to 0.7868.

AUD/USD dropped 74 pips (-1.02%) to 0.7146.

USD/CAD advanced 36 pips (+0.26%) to 1.3755.

Digital Assets:

In cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin dropped $2,302 (-2.83%) to $79,077 while Ethereum declined $77 (-3.36%) to $2,220.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (M6)‎ intraday: further upside.
 
Pivot:
102.05
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 102.05 with targets at 106.35 & 108.60 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 102.05 look for further downside with 100.65 & 99.15 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed to bullish.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
4605
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 4605 with targets at 4511 & 4475 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4605 look for further upside with 4645 & 4690 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a new downleg.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (M6)‎ intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
7475
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 7475 with targets at 7420 & 7400 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 7475 look for further upside with 7494 & 7510 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 7475 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 7420 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : rebound towards 1.1669
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1603.
 
Our preference:
Rebound towards 1.1669
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1603, expect 1.1579 and 1.1565.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The configuration is mixed. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1627 and 1.1641).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : rebound towards 1.3393
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3287.
 
Our preference:
Rebound towards 1.3393
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3287, expect 1.3250 and 1.3227.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The configuration is mixed. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3336 and 1.3358).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : the upside prevails as long as 158.48 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 158.48.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 158.48 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 158.48, expect 158.15 and 157.95.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 158.67 and 158.55).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
79.20
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 79.20 with targets at 74.70 & 73.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 79.20 look for further upside with 81.66 & 83.80 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (M6)‎ intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
49850
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 49850 with targets at 49580 & 49470 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 49850 look for further upside with 49980 & 50100 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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