Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
March 31, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Monday, the Nasdaq 100 sank deeper into correction territory, falling 179 points (-0.78%) to 22,953.

The S&P 500 slipped 25 points (-0.39%) to 6,343, while the Dow Jones closed 49 points higher (+0.11%) at 45,216.

U.S. WTI crude-oil futures settled 3.24 dollars higher (+3.25%) at 102.88 dollars a barrel, their first settling level above 100 dollars a barrel since July 2022. In early Asian hours on Tuesday, they advanced further to levels above 106 dollars a barrel.

U.S. President Donald Trump said in a social-media post that the U.S. is in serious discussions with "a new, and more reasonable, regime", with great progress made, to end military operations in Iran.

At the same time, U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said inflation expectations seemed well anchored beyond the short term despite rising energy prices.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield retreated 7.8 basis points to 4.350%.

Chip stocks kept underperforming the market, with Nvidia (NVDA) losing 1.40%, Broadcom (AVGO) down 2.42%, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) down 2.95%, and Intel (INTC) down 4.50%.

Data storage stocks were sold heavily, with Micron (MU) tumbling 9.92%, Sandisk (SNDK) down 7.04%, and Western Digital (WDC) down 8.60%.

Boston Scientific (BSX) dropped 9.02%. The biotech firm’s trial results for its new heart implant product failed to impress investors.

Sysco (SYY) plummeted 15.28%. The food product company announced its acquisition of Restaurant Depot for 29 billion dollars.

Meta Platforms (META) rebounded 2.03% after Morgan Stanley reaffirmed its "overweight" rating on the stock.

Aluminum prices reached a four-year high due to supply concerns, boosting related stocks, with Alcoa (AA) surging 8.23%, and Century Aluminum (CENX) up 7.25%.

European stocks posted gains, with the DAX 40 rising 1.18%, the CAC 40 up 0.92%, and the FTSE 100 up 1.61%.

Gold added 18 dollars to 4,511 dollars an ounce.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
As the situation in Iran stayed unclear, the U.S. dollar continued to be firm against other major currencies. The dollar index advanced to 100.50.

EUR/USD declined to 1.1455. Germany's inflation rate accelerated to 2.7% year on year in March (vs 2.6% expected, 1.9% in February).

USD/JPY failed to secure the psychologically-significant level of 160. A Japanese vice finance minister warned that decisive steps may be taken if speculative moves in the currency market persist.

GBP/USD fell to 1.3170, the lowest level since last November.

USD/CHF kept trading at elevated levels around 0.8000.

USD/CAD touched 1.3946, the highest level year to date.

Bitcoin rebounded 1% to 66,700 dollars.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, USD/JPY was little changed at 159.70. Japan's jobless rate fell to 2.6% in February, below 2.7% expected, while industrial production dropped 2.1% month-on-month, compared with -2.0% estimated, and retail sales slipped 2.0%, compared with -0.9% expected.

On the other hand, China's official manufacturing purchasing managers index rose to 50.4 in March, above 49.8 expected.

Meanwhile, EUR/USD rebounded to 1.1475 and GBP/USD bounced to 1.3208.

Gold advanced to 4,584 dollars.

Bitcoin was steady at 67,851 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
The eurozone's inflation rate is expected to accelerate to 2.7% year-on-year in March.

Germany's retail sales are estimated to grow 0.5% month-on-month in February, while jobless rate is anticipated to stay at 6.3% in March.

France's inflation rate is expected to climb to 1.7% year-on-year in March, while producer price index is estimated to be down 2.1% year-on-year in February.

In the U.S., the Chicago purchasing managers index is expected to slip to 54.0 in March, while the Conference Board consumer confidence index is estimated to drop to 86.0.

Canada's gross domestic product is expected to be flat month-on-month in January.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (K6)‎ Intraday: consolidation.
 
Pivot:
105.20
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 105.20 with targets at 100.00 & 98.10 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 105.20 look for further upside with 106.80 & 108.50 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 105.20 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: bullish bias above 4520.
 
Pivot:
4520
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 4520 with targets at 4590 & 4620 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4520 look for further downside with 4482 & 4455 as targets.
 
Comment:
Technically the RSI is above its neutrality area at 50.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD Intraday: the bias remains bullish.
 
Pivot:
1.3155
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.3155 with targets at 1.3250 & 1.3280 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3155 look for further downside with 1.3135 & 1.3100 as targets.
 
Comment:
Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY Intraday: consolidation.
 
Pivot:
159.35
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 159.35 with targets at 160.00 & 160.20 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 159.35 look for further downside with 159.15 & 159.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD Intraday: the bias remains bullish.
 
Pivot:
1.1445
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.1445 with targets at 1.1500 & 1.1520 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1445 look for further downside with 1.1430 & 1.1410 as targets.
 
Comment:
A support base at 1.1445 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: the upside prevails.
 
Pivot:
70.30
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 70.30 with targets at 73.45 & 74.50 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 70.30 look for further downside with 68.85 & 67.60 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a bounce.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: rebound expected.
 
Pivot:
45550
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 45550 with targets at 46200 & 46500 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 45550 look for further downside with 45300 & 45060 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a rebound.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: 6523 in sight.
 
Pivot:
6392
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 6392 with targets at 6490 & 6523 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 6392 look for further downside with 6352 & 6319 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a bounce.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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