Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
Newsletter Header
 
DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
February 18, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: pre-opening session  
 
 
U.S. market futures are gaining ground after major U.S. stock indexes closed little changed yesterday, with the S&P 500 edging up 7 points (+0.10%) to 6,843, and the Dow Jones up 32 points (+0.07%) to 49,533.

The Nasdaq 100 dipped 31 points (-0.13%) to 24,701.

On the economic front in the U.S., the Federal Reserve will release its latest FOMC meeting minutes today.

On the stat front today in the U.S. durable goods orders are estimated to drop 3.4% month-on-month in December after a 5.3% rise in November. Separately, housing starts and building permits are expected to be down 4.4% and 3.7% respectively in December. Also, industrial production is estimated to grow 0.5% month-on-month in January after a 0.4% increase a month earlier.

European indices are well oriented with the STOXX600 and U.K.'s FTSE 100 indexes both posting record highs. On the stat plan, U.K.'s inflation rate decreased to 3% in January on a yearly basis, as expected, from 3.4% a year earlier.

Asian indexes gained ground. Markets in China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore and South Korea closed for holiday. Japanese's Nikkei 225 was slightly down. On the economic side, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept its benchmark rate unchanged at 2.25% as expected, adding that "monetary policy is likely to remain accommodative for some time".

WTI crude oil futures rebound above a key technical support at 62.00 dollars after falling yesterday on hopes for a de-escalation of tensions between Iran and the U.S.

Gold and silver are both halting their correction before the release of Fed minutes.

Bitcoin still consolidates below the key 70,000 dollars threshold.
 
 
  Premarket news  
 
 
Nvidia (NVDA), a chip giant, gains ground after announcing "a multiyear, multigenerational strategic partnership with Meta Platforms (META) spanning on-premises, cloud and AI infrastructure."

Palantir Technologies (PLTR), a data-analytics and AI software company, was upgraded to "outperform" from "neutral" at Mizuho.

Palo Alto Networks (PANW), a global cybersecurity leader, tumbles after cutting full-year earnings guidance.

Sandisk (SNDK) loses some ground as peer Western Digital (WDC) sold a 3.17 billion dollars stake in the data storage solutions company.

Cadence Design Systems (CDNS), an electronic design automation software and engineering services company, jumps on strong full-year adjusted EPS forecast. Also, the company posted a record 7.8 billion dollars year-end backlog.

New York Times Co (NYT), a media company, is well oriented as holding company Berkshire Hathaway (BRK/B) disclosed an investment in the firm.

Caesars Entertainment (CZR), a global operator of casino resorts, gains ground after reporting quarterly adjusted Ebitda up 85 million dollars from 20 million dollars a year earlier.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
Analog Devices (ADI)

Booking Holdings (BKNG)

Carvana (CVNA)

Moody's (MCO)

DoorDash (DASH)

Occidental Petroleum (OXY)

Garmin (GRMN)

Nutrien (NTR)
 
 
  Canada  
 
 
Teck Resources (TECK.B)

Kinross Gold (K)

Nutrien (NTR)

Pan American Silver Corp (PAAS)

Alamos Gold (AGI)

Ivanhoe Mines (IVN)

Equinox Gold (EQX)

Bausch + Lomb Corporation (BLCO)

On Tuesday, the S&P/TSX Composite Index fell 0.54% to 32,896 and the S&P/TSX 60 Index was down 0.41% to 1,909.

TFI International (TFII), a transport and logistics company, reported quarterly adjusted EPS down to 1.09 dollar from 1.19 dollar a year earlier on sales down to 1.91 billion dollars from 2.08 billion dollars a year ago. However both figures topped estimates.

IAMGOLD (IMG), a mining company, unveiled quarterly adjusted Ebitda up to 710.1 million dollars from 215.4 million dollars a year earlier.

SSR Mining (SSRM), a mining company, posted quarterly adjusted EPS up to 0.88 dollar, above expectations, from 0.10 dollar a year earlier. Separately, the company announced a 300 million dollars share buyback program.

Barrick Mining (ABX)'s, a gold producer, target price was cut to 77 dollars from 80 dollars at Canaccord Genuity.

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM), a mining company, announced an additional investment in Maple Gold Mines (MGM).

Power Corporation of Canada (POW), a diversified international management and holding company, "announced that R. Jeffrey Orr will become Vice-Chair of the Corporation and will be succeeded as President and Chief Executive Officer by James O'Sullivan, currently President and CEO of IGM Financial (IGM), a subsidiary of Power, effective July 1, 2026."

Organigram (OGI), a cannabis company, agreed to acquire German peer Sanity Group for up to 227 million euros.

Gibson Energy (GEI), an energy infrastructure company, unveiled quarterly net income of 41.3 million dollars vs a net loss of 5.6 million dollars a year earlier. The company increased quarterly dividend by 5% to 0.45 dollar per share.

Canfor (CFP), a forest products company, announced "that it will record a non-cash asset write down and impairment charge totaling approximately 321 million dollars in its fourth quarter of 2025 results. Of this amount, 215 million dollars relates to the Company’s lumber segment and 106 million dollars relates to its pulp and paper segment."
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (J6)‎ Intraday: bullish bias above 64.45.
 
Pivot:
64.45
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 64.45 with targets at 66.00 & 67.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 64.45 look for further downside with 63.65 & 62.85 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 66.00 and then at 67.00.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: further upside.
 
Pivot:
4970
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 4970 with targets at 5045 & 5080 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4970 look for further downside with 4940 & 4905 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : the RSI is oversold
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1808.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.1808 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1808, look for 1.1831 and 1.1846.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below 30. It could either mean that the price is in a lasting downtrend or just oversold and therefore bound to retrace (look for bullish divergence in this case). The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1818 and 1.1834).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : the RSI is oversold
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3538.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.3538 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3538, look for 1.3580 and 1.3606.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below 30. It could either mean that the price is in a lasting downtrend or just oversold and therefore bound to retrace (look for bullish divergence in this case). The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3544 and 1.3554).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : the RSI is overbought
 
Our pivot point is at 154.20.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 154.20 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 154.20, expect 153.57 and 153.19.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above 70. It could mean either that the price is in a lasting uptrend or just overbought and therefore bound to correct (look for bearish divergence in this case). The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 154.21 and 153.75).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: bullish bias above 76.00.
 
Pivot:
76.00
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 76.00 with targets at 79.10 & 80.80 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 76.00 look for further downside with 74.65 & 73.40 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 79.10 and then at 80.80.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
49820
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 49820 with targets at 49490 & 49350 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 49820 look for further upside with 49970 & 50080 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: choppy.
 
Pivot:
6902
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 6902 with targets at 6860 & 6840 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 6902 look for further upside with 6925 & 6955 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
Banner Ad
     
 
 
  Twitter   LinkedIn   Instagram   FaceBook   YouTube  
 
 
 
 
TRADING FOREIGN EXCHANGE ON MARGIN CARRIES A HIGH LEVEL OF RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS.

THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS THAT YOU COULD SUSTAIN A LOSS OF SOME OR ALL OF YOUR INITIAL INVESTMENT AND THEREFORE YOU SHOULD NOT INVEST MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD TO LOSE.

THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE CAN WORK AGAINST YOU AS WELL AS FOR YOU. BEFORE DECIDING TO TRADE FOREIGN EXCHANGE OR CFD’S YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES, LEVEL OF EXPERIENCE, AND RISK APPETITE.

YOU SHOULD BE AWARE OF ALL THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH FOREIGN EXCHANGE AND OTHER CFD TRADING, AND SEEK ADVICE FROM AN INDEPENDENT FINANCIAL ADVISOR IF YOU HAVE ANY DOUBTS. VPFX RECOMMENDS READING THE RISK DISCLOSURE SECTION OF THE PROSPECTUS FOR ANY FINANCIAL PRODUCT MENTIONED.

VPFX is the trading name for Ventura Prime FX Limited with registration number LL16224 registered in Labuan F.T., Malaysia.

Ventura Prime FX Limited is authorised and regulated by the Labuan Financial Services Authority (LFSA). Registered Address:Kensington Gardens, No U1317, Lot 7616, Jalan Jumidar Buyong, 87000 Labuan Federal Territory, Malaysia

 
 
 
 
Client Logo
 
Ventura Prime FX Limited
Trading Central