Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
March 2, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Friday, U.S. stocks edged lower, with the S&P 500 declining 29 points (-0.43%) to 5,878, and the Nasdaq 100 down 74 points (-0.30%) to 24,960.

The Dow Jones dropped 521 points (-1.05%) to 48,977.

Nvidia (NVDA) lost a further 4.16% after sliding over 5% in the prior session.

At the same time, Apple (AAPL) fell 3.21%, and Microsoft (MSFT) dropped 2.24%, while Alphabet (GOOGL) rose 1.42%, and Amazon (AMZN) was up 1.00%.

Netflix (NFLX) surged 13.77% after exiting the race for Warner Bros Discovery. Paramount Skydance said it would acquire Warner Bros for 110 billion dollars and paid the 2.8-billion-dollar termination fee that Warner Bros owed Netflix.

Dell Technologies (DELL) surged 21.93%. The company reported better-than-expected quarterly results, and offered an upbeat outlook for fiscal year 2027, citing growing demand for its AI-optimized servers.

Block (XYZ) jumped 16.82% after announcing plans to cut its workforce by nearly a half, from over 10,000 to around 6,000.

CoreWeave (CRWV) plummeted 18.51%. The artificial intelligence-focused cloud infrastructure provider posted a bigger-than-expected quarterly loss, and gave a downbeat revenue guidance for the current quarter.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield slipped a further 6.1 basis points to 3.949%, the lowest level since last October.

In Europe, the FTSE 100 (up 0.59% to 10,910) marked a record-high closing level for the third straight session.

The DAX 40 edged down 0.02%, while the CAC 40 dropped 0.47%.

On Saturday (February 28), the U.S. and Israel launched a long-anticipated attack against Iran, launching multiple air strikes across the country.

U.S. President Donald Trump announced, and Iranian state media later confirmed, that Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in the attack.

Iran warned that the Strait of Hormuz, the most important waterway in the world for the global oil trade, could be closed.

As a result, amid fears of oil-supply disruption, U.S. WTI crude jumped over 5 dollars or 8% to 72.44 dollars a barrel in Asian morning hours.

Gold rose 87 dollars (+1.64%) to a 1-month high at 5,366 dollars an ounce.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
On Monday morning, the U.S. dollar rose against other major currencies, with the dollar index climbing to 97.89.

U.S. producer price inflation slowed to 2.9% year on year in January (as expected).

EUR/USD slid 46 pips to 1.1772. Germany's inflation rate eased to 1.9% year on year in February, lower than expected.

USD/JPY rose 41 pips to 156.48.

GBP/USD fell 73 pips to 1.3410, AUD/USD dropped 52 pips to 0.7064.

USD/CHF was little changed at 0.7694.

USD/CAD gained 23 pips to 1.3668. Canada's gross domestic product shrank at an annualized rate of 0.6% in the fourth quarter, worse than expected.

Bitcoin traded 2% lower to 65,600 dollars.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, EUR/USD edged up to 1.1785 and GBP/USD rebounded to 1.3440.

Meanwhile, USD/JPY eased to 156.35.

Gold held gains at 5,357 dollars.

Bitcoin was little changed at 66,350 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
Germany's retail sales are estimated to increase by 0.5% month-on-month in January.

In the U.S., the ISM manufacturing purchasing managers index is expected to slip to 51.3 in February.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (J6)‎ Intraday: bullish bias above 69.60.
 
Pivot:
69.60
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 69.60 with targets at 75.30 & 77.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 69.60 look for further downside with 67.80 & 66.10 as targets.
 
Comment:
Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: aim @ 5450.
 
Pivot:
5300
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 5300 with targets at 5450 & 5530 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 5300 look for further downside with 5255 & 5215 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 5450 and then at 5530.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
1.3430
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.3430 with targets at 1.3310 & 1.3285 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3430 look for further upside with 1.3460 & 1.3490 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 1.3430 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY Intraday: further advance.
 
Pivot:
156.20
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 156.20 with targets at 157.70 & 158.55 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 156.20 look for further downside with 155.60 & 155.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 157.70 and then at 158.55.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
1.1775
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.1775 with targets at 1.1695 & 1.1670 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1775 look for further upside with 1.1800 & 1.1825 as targets.
 
Comment:
The upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 1.1775.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: towards 97.55.
 
Pivot:
93.20
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 93.20 with targets at 97.55 & 99.35 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 93.20 look for further downside with 91.90 & 90.50 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: key resistance at 48890.
 
Pivot:
48890
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 48890 with targets at 48160 & 47890 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 48890 look for further upside with 49160 & 49440 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 48890 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 48160 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: key resistance at 6860.
 
Pivot:
6860
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 6860 with targets at 6770 & 6740 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 6860 look for further upside with 6895 & 6925 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 6860 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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