Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
April 2, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Wednesday, U.S. stocks extended their rebound to a second session, with the Nasdaq 100 advancing a further 279 points (+1.18%) to 24,019, and the S&P 500 up 46 points (+0.72%) to 6,575.

The Dow Jones closed 224 points higher (+0.48%) at 46,565.

Market sentiment saw further improvement after U.S. President Donald Trump said in a social-media post that Iran’s "new regime president" has asked the U.S. for a ceasefire, and he demanded the Strait of Hormuz be fully opened up.

Meanwhile, Trump will deliver a national address giving an update on the Iran war on Wednesday night.

U.S. crude-oil futures came under further pressure, struggling to hold the key level of 100 dollars a barrel.

Alphabet (GOOGL) outperformed the market as well as other tech giants, rising 3.42% after jumping more than 5% in the prior session.

Tesla (TSLA) gained 2.56%, Meta (META) added 1.24%, and Amazon (AMZN) was up 1.10%.

Semiconductor stocks accelerated to the upside, with Micron Technology (MU) jumping 8.88%, Intel (INTC) up 8.84%, and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) up 3.33%.

Data-storage stocks also showed stellar performance, with Western Digital (WDC) surging 10.07%, Sandisk (SNDK) up 9.03%, and Seagate Technology (STX) up 8.00%.

Eli Lilly (LLY) closed 3.78% higher after the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved the company’s latest weight-loss drug.

On the other hand, energy companies saw increased pressure, with Exxon Mobil (XOM) falling 5.23%, Chevron (CVX) down 4.59%, and Occidental Petroleum (OXY) down 4.19%.

Nike (NKE) plummeted 15.51%, becoming the worst-performing stock in the S&P 500. The sports-wear maker said it expects sales to decline in the current quarter.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield was little changed at 4.321%.

European stocks posted a three-session rebound, with the DAX 40 rising 2.73%, the CAC 40 up 2.10%, and the FTSE 100 up 1.85%.

Gold price increased 89 dollars (+1.91%) to 4,758 dollars an ounce, posting a four-session rally.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
The U.S. dollar weakened further against other major currencies, as investors became more risk-tolerant amid improved market sentiment.

The dollar index fell to 99.59.

Regarding U.S. economic data, retail sales grew 0.6% month on month in February (vs +0.3% expected, -0.1% in January).

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing index edged up to 52.7 in March (vs 52.0 expected, 52.4 in February).

USD/JPY added 11 pips to 158.82. The Bank of Japan Tankan large manufacturers index rose to 17 in the first quarter, better than expected.

EUR/USD gained 34 pips to 1.1586.

GBP/USD exceeded the level of 1.3300, and AUD/USD was above 0.6900.

USD/CHF still failed to break above 0.8000, slipping to 0.7942.

USD/CAD eased further to 1.3875.

Bitcoin was largely flat at 68,200 dollars.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, U.S. President Donald Trump said his country is on track to complete all military objectives in Iran very shortly but warned that the U.S. will hit Iran "extremely hard" over the next 2 to 3 weeks.

U.S. crude-oil futures bounced 4% to levels around 104 U.S. dollars a barrel.

Meanwhile, AUD/USD retreated to 0.6886. Australia's trade surplus for February totaled 5.7 billion Australian dollars, above 1.5 billion Australian dollars estimated.

EUR/USD dropped to 1.1546 and GBP/USD slid to 1.3245.

USD/JPY rebounded to 159.45.

Gold fell to 4,677 dollars.

Bitcoin was down to 66,784 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
In the U.S., the weekly initial jobless claims are estimated at 213,000, while trade deficit for February is expected at 60 billion U.S. dollars.

Canada's trade deficit for February is estimated at 1.8 billion Canadian dollars.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (K6)‎ Intraday: further upside.
 
Pivot:
103.70
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 103.70 with targets at 109.50 & 113.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 103.70 look for further downside with 101.50 & 99.05 as targets.
 
Comment:
The break above 103.70 is a positive signal that has opened a path to 109.50.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
4695
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 4695 with targets at 4540 & 4485 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4695 look for further upside with 4750 & 4800 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 4695 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 4540 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD Intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
1.3255
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.3255 with targets at 1.3180 & 1.3155 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3255 look for further upside with 1.3285 & 1.3315 as targets.
 
Comment:
The break below 1.3255 is a negative signal that has opened a path to 1.3180.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY Intraday: intraday support around 159.30.
 
Pivot:
159.30
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 159.30 with targets at 159.95 & 160.45 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 159.30 look for further downside with 158.90 & 158.55 as targets.
 
Comment:
A support base at 159.30 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
1.1575
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.1575 with targets at 1.1490 & 1.1460 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1575 look for further upside with 1.1605 & 1.1625 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 1.1575 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 1.1490 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
73.20
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 73.20 with targets at 68.90 & 67.60 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 73.20 look for further upside with 74.80 & 76.10 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bearish and calls for further decline.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
46800
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 46800 with targets at 45950 & 45730 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 46800 look for further upside with 47100 & 47300 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
6605
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 6605 with targets at 6490 & 6450 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 6605 look for further upside with 6650 & 6675 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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