Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
April 16, 2024
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: pre-opening session  
 
 
The US futures remain on the downside after they remained heavy yesterday, with the Dow Jones , vs -Industrial Average sliding 248 points (-0.65%) to 37,735, the S&P 500 down 61 points (-1.20%) to 5,061, and the Nasdaq 100 down 296 points (-1.65%) to 17,706.

Later today, annualized housing starts and building permits for March are both estimated at 1.51 million units, while industrial production is expected to grow 0.2% on month in March. Canada's core inflation rate is expected to slow to 1.8% in March.

European stock indices are bearish. The eurozone's trade surplus for February was released at 23.6 billion euros, vs 17.9 billion euros expected. Germany's ZEW economic sentiment index was released at 42.9 in April, vs 32 expected. The current conditions index was released at -79.2, vs -79 expected. U.K. jobless rate is expected to climb to 4.2% in December-February period, vs 4% expected.

Asian indices all closed on heavy losses. China's gross domestic product rose 5.3% on year in the first quarter, above 5.0% expected, while industrial production grew 4.5% in March, below 5.3% expected, and retail sales were up 3.1%, below 4.4% anticipated.

WTI Crude oil futures are consolidating. Investors fear Iran could block the strait of Hormuz in case of an Israeli counter attack. Later today, the American Petroleum Institute is expected to report the U.S. crude inventories for the week ending April 12.
 
 
  Premarket news  
 
 
Bank of America (BAC), the financial institution, reported first quarter EPS down to 0.76 dollar, from 0.94 dollar a year earlier. 

UnitedHealth Group (UNH), a private health insurance provider, is well oriented before the bell as first quarter adjusted profit and sales topped expectations, despite a 872 millions dollars hit caused by the February cyber attack.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), the health care products company, slid before the bell as quarterly sales missed estimates.

Bank of New York Mellon (BK), an international financial company, gains ground premarket as quarterly earnings beat estimates on higher services fees.

International Paper (IP), a manufacturer of packaging products and printing paper, reached an agreement to acquire its British peer DS Smith. The deal values DS Smith at 7.2 billion dollars.

Lockheed Martin (LMT), a defense and advanced technology company, signed a 17 billion dollars contract to develop interceptors to defend the United States against an intercontinental ballistic missile attack.

Microsoft (MSFT), the software development company, will invest 1.5 billion dollars in the UAE-based artificial intelligence company, G42.

Honeywell (HON), a diversified technology company, was downgraded to "hold" from "buy" at Deutsche Bank.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), a designer and producer of microprocessors, was rated "outperform" in a new coverage at Evercore ISI.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
Unitedheatlh Group (UNH): Quarterly earnings per share expected at $6.65, before market open. Expected move: ± 4.6%.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): Quarterly earnings per share expected at $2.64, before market open. Expected move: ± 2.6%.

Bank of America (BAC): Quarterly earnings per share expected at $0.77, before market open. Expected move: ± 3.7%.

Morgan Stanley (MS): Quarterly earnings per share expected at $1.69, before market open. Expected move: ± 4.3%.

Bank of New York Mellon (BK): Quarterly earnings per share expected at $1.19, before market open. Expected move: ± 4.6%.

United Airlines (UAL): Quarterly loss per share expected at $0.53, after market close. Expected move: ± 8.0%.
 
 
  Canada  
 
 
The S&P/TSX Composite Index declined 0.73% to 21,740 and the S&P/TSX 60 Index was down 0.71% to 1,302.

Goodfood (FOOD), a leading online grocery company in Canada, reported second quarter sales down 5% to 40 million dollars.

Restaurant Brands International’s (QSR), the fast food holding company, price target was cut to 78 dollars from 81 dollars at Citi.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (K4)‎ Intraday: intraday support around 85.20.
 
Pivot:
85.20
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 85.20 with targets at 86.20 & 86.90 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 85.20 look for further downside with 84.70 & 84.05 as targets.
 
Comment:
A support base at 85.20 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD Intraday: consolidation.
 
Pivot:
1.0635
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.0635 with targets at 1.0595 & 1.0580 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.0635 look for further upside with 1.0650 & 1.0665 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI lacks upward momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD Intraday: consolidation.
 
Pivot:
1.2465
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.2465 with targets at 1.2400 & 1.2375 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.2465 look for further upside with 1.2495 & 1.2520 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI lacks upward momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY Intraday: further advance.
 
Pivot:
154.10
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 154.10 with targets at 154.70 & 155.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 154.10 look for further downside with 153.85 & 153.50 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI shows upside momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: intraday support around 2363.00.
 
Pivot:
2363.00
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 2363.00 with targets at 2392.00 & 2409.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 2363.00 look for further downside with 2348.00 & 2325.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
A support base at 2363.00 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
28.65
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 28.65 with targets at 27.85 & 27.56 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 28.65 look for further upside with 29.00 & 29.30 as targets.
 
Comment:
The break below 28.65 is a negative signal that has opened a path to 27.85.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (M4)‎ Intraday: key resistance at 38140.00.
 
Pivot:
38140.00
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 38140.00 with targets at 37830.00 & 37670.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 38140.00 look for further upside with 38340.00 & 38570.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 38140.00 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 37830.00 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (M4)‎ Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
5128.00
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 5128.00 with targets at 5081.00 & 5050.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 5128.00 look for further upside with 5150.00 & 5190.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
 
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