Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
August 4, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: pre-opening session  
 
 
U.S. market futures gain ground after U.S. stocks extended gains on Monday, with the Dow Jones advancing 693 points (+1.32%) to 53,178, a record closing level.

The S&P 500 rose a further 110 points (+1.48%) to 7,600, and the Nasdaq 100 was up 502 points (+1.78%) to 28,776.

On the stat front, in the U.S., trade deficit for June is estimated at 73 billion dollars. Separately, the JOLTs job openings are expected at 7.45 million. Moreover, factory orders are anticipated to grow 0.4% month-on-month after a 1.3% decline in May.

Canada's trade surplus for June is expected at 3 billion dollars.

European indices trade green. The Euro Stoxx 50 index posted a new record high.

Asian indices were mixed.

WTI crude oil prices rebound above 80 dollars as the U.S. and Iran send mixed signals regarding diplomatic efforts.

Gold trades sideways still holding the key 4,000 dollars threshold.

Bitcoin slightly rebounds, trading above 63,000 dollars.
 
 
  Premarket news  
 
 
Pfizer (PFE), a pharma giant, edges higher as quarterly earnings topped expectations.

Merck & Co (MRK), a pharma giant, gains some ground as quarterly sales beat estimates. However, the company cut full-year earnings guidance.

Caterpillar (CAT), a manufacturer of heavy equipment for multiple industries, jumps on better-than-expected quarterly financial figures.

Palantir Technologies (PLTR), a data-analytics and AI software company, soars as quarterly financial figures smashed expectations. U.S. commercial revenue surged 150%.

Nike (NKE), a sportswear company, was downgraded to "underweight" from "neutral" at JPMorgan.

Spotify (SPOT), a music streaming specialist, drops as current quarter operating income forecast missed estimates.

ON Semiconductor (ON), a semiconductor device company, is well oriented on better-than-expected quarterly financial figures.

Snap (SNAP), a social media, pops as quarterly global daily active users and average revenue per user topped expectations.

Whirlpool (WHR), a producer of major home appliances, loses ground as quarterly loss per share was wider than anticipated.

Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), a global processor of agricultural commodities, rises as full-year earnings forecast beat estimates.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SPCX)

Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD)

Caterpillar Inc (CAT)

Merck & Co Inc (MRK)

Arista Networks Inc (ANET)

Amgen Inc (AMGN)

McDonald's Corp (MCD)

Gilead Sciences Inc (GILD)

Booking Holdings Inc (BKNG)

Pfizer Inc (PFE)
 
 
  Canada  
 
 
Earnings release:

Suncor Energy Inc (SU)

iA Financial Corp Inc (IAG)

Canada's stock market was closed for Civic Holiday on Monday. Last Friday, the S&P/TSX Composite Index dropped 0.79% to 35,226 and the S&P/TSX 60 Index fell 0.75% to 2,083.

Telus (T), a communications technology company, was downgraded to "sector perform" from "outperform" at National Bank of Canada.

George Weston (WN)'s, a food processing and distribution company, target price was raised to 112 dollars from 102 dollars at Scotiabank.

AG Growth International (AFN)'s, a leading provider of equipment solutions for agriculture bulk commodities, target price was cut to 23 dollars from 30 dollars at TD Cowen.

Imperial Oil (IMO)'s, an energy company, target price was raised to 173 dollars from 158 dollars at JPMorgan.

Cameco Corp (CCO)'s, a uranium specialist, target price was cut to 135 dollars from 147 dollars at Barclays.

Goeasy (GSY)'s, a non-prime consumer lender, target price was raised to 45 dollars from 33 dollars at Jefferies.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
78.10
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 78.10 with targets at 74.45 & 72.60 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 78.10 look for further upside with 79.80 & 82.27 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI advocates for further decline.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday : Watch 4,111
 
Our pivot point is at 4,030.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 4,030 is support, with 4,111 and 4,133 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4,030, expect 3,994 and 3,972.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 4,066 and 4,056).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : Look for 1.1494
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1549.
 
Our preference:
Target 1.1480
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1549, look for 1.1572 and 1.1585.
 
Comment:
A break of the next key level will determine the market's next direction.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : Look for 1.3416
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3486.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.3486 is resistance, with 1.3416 and 1.3396 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3486, look for 1.3519 and 1.3538.
 
Comment:
The instrument is trading sideways as the market builds energy ahead of a potential directional shift.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : 158.04 expected
 
Our pivot point is at 157.35.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 157.35 is support, with 158.04 and 158.21 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 157.35, expect 157.08 and 156.91.
 
Comment:
The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price is below its 20 period moving average (157.67) but above its 50 period moving average (157.41).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday : 60.29 expected
 
Our pivot point is at 58.01.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 58.01 is support, with 60.29 and 60.91 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 58.01, expect 56.96 and 56.34.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 59.17 and 58.56).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: the upside prevails.
 
Pivot:
53490
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 53490 with targets at 54400 & 54700 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 53490 look for further downside with 53100 & 52740 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bullish and calls for further advance.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: further upside.
 
Pivot:
7649
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7649 with targets at 7765 & 7820 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7649 look for further downside with 7568 & 7516 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI shows upside momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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