Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
March 25, 2026
 
   
 
Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Crude Oil (WTI)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  U.S. Market Overview:  
 
 
U.S. stocks traded in a choppy range on Wednesday, as ongoing geopolitical uncertainty continued to weigh on market sentiment.

The S&P 500 advanced 35pts (+0.54%) to 6591, the Nasdaq 100 rose 160pts (+0.67%) to 24162, and the Dow increased 305pts (+0.66%) to 46429.

The majority of sectors experienced gains, led by Materials (XLB), Health Care (XLV), and Consumer Discretionary (XLY). On the other hand, Energy (XLE) and Real Estate (XLRE) were the only sectors that declined.
 
 
  U.S. Economic Developments:  
 
 
The fourth-quarter current account deficit narrowed to $190.7 billion, beating expectations of a $235 billion shortfall. In February, export prices increased by 1.5% on a monthly basis, surpassing the forecasted 0.5% growth. Import prices also rose more than expected, climbing 1.3% month-over-month in February, compared to the anticipated 0.1% increase.
 
 
  U.S. Equity News:  
 
 
Meta Platforms (META) rose 0.33% and Alphabet (GOOGL) added 0.17% despite a jury finding their platforms negligent for harming kids and teens. Meta is also undergoing layoffs in its Reality Labs division and faces delays in launching Ray-Ban Smart Glasses in the EU due to supply and regulatory issues.

Tech stocks surged, with Intel (INTC) up 7.08% and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) up 7.26%, after a report that both companies plan to raise CPU prices.

AST Space Mobile (ASTS) jumped 10.44% on reports that SpaceX is preparing to file for an IPO, according to The Information.

Micron (MU) fell 3.40% after launching $5.4B in debt tender offers.

Hewlett-Packard (HPE) rose 7.87% after launching new firewalls to boost security and support AI projects.

Robinhood (HOOD) jumped 5.01% after authorizing a $1.5 billion share repurchase program.
 
 
  Europe Market Overview:  
 
 
European indices also finished higher. Germany's Dax rose 320pts (+1.41%) to 22957, France's Cac 40 gained 102pts (+1.33%) to 7846, and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 increased 141pts (+1.42%) to 10106.

In February, the United Kingdom's inflation rate remained steady at 3.0% year-over-year, in line with expectations and unchanged from January's rate. Meanwhile, Germany's Ifo business climate index held steady at 88.6 in March, indicating no change from the previous month.
 
 
  Global Macro, FX & Commodities:  
 
 
Rates & Risk Sentiment:

The VIX dropped 1.62pts (-6.01%) to 25.33 while the US 10 year yield declined to 4.332%.

Precious Metals & Crude:

Gold rose $47.5 (+1.06%) to $4521.08 while Silver gained $0.23 (+0.33%) to $71.45. Conversely, WTI Crude Oil slipped $1.04 (-1.13%) to $91.31.

The Dollar & Majors:

The dollar index rose 0.21pts (+0.21%) to 99.644.

EUR/USD fell 52pips (-0.45%) to 1.1555.

GBP/USD slipped 54pips (-0.4%) to 1.3355.

USD/JPY gained 80pips (+0.5%) to 159.48.

USD/CHF advanced 37pips (+0.47%) to 0.7919.

AUD/USD declined 49pips (-0.7%) to 0.6944. The annual inflation rate in Australia decreased to 3.7% in February, coming in slightly lower than the estimated 3.8%.

USD/CAD climbed 48pips (+0.35%) to 1.381.

Digital Assets:

Cryptocurrency prices were mixed. Bitcoin rose $642 (+0.92%) to $70704 and Ethereum gained $13 (+0.63%) to $2161.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: bullish bias above 46390.
 
Pivot:
46390
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 46390 with targets at 47210 & 47670 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 46390 look for further downside with 46060 & 45770 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 47210 and then at 47670.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: further upside.
 
Pivot:
6625
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 6625 with targets at 6690 & 6745 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 6625 look for further downside with 6580 & 6550 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50% but reversing up.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : the downside prevails as long as 1.1600 is resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1600.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.1600 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1600, look for 1.1623 and 1.1637.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1585 and 1.1596).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : the downside prevails as long as 1.3414 is resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3414.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.3414 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3414, look for 1.3454 and 1.3477.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3388 and 1.3396).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : the upside prevails as long as 158.82 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 158.82.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 158.82 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 158.82, expect 158.24 and 157.90.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above 70. It could mean either that the price is in a lasting uptrend or just overbought and therefore bound to correct (look for bearish divergence in this case). The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 159.08 and 158.93). Finally, the USD/JPY is trading above its upper Bollinger band (standing at 159.41).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: intraday support around 4505.
 
Pivot:
4505
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 4505 with targets at 4600 & 4660 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4505 look for further downside with 4445 & 4370 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 4600 and then at 4660.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: aim @ 74.00.
 
Pivot:
70.30
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 70.30 with targets at 74.00 & 75.50 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 70.30 look for further downside with 67.70 & 66.10 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50% but reversing up.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (K6)‎ Intraday: the bias remains bullish.
 
Pivot:
89.10
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 89.10 with targets at 93.30 & 94.80 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 89.10 look for further downside with 86.70 & 84.40 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 93.30 and then at 94.80.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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