Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
July 16, 2026
 
   
 
Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Crude Oil (WTI)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  U.S. Market Overview:  
 
 
On Wednesday, the U.S. stock market finished mostly higher. The S&P 500 advanced 28.81pts (+0.38%) to 7572.4 and the Dow rose 150.37pts (+0.29%) to 52658.64. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 100 dropped 83.692pts (-0.28%) to 29502.596. Sector performance was mixed. The outperforming sectors were Communication Services (XLC), Consumer Discretionary (XLY), and Financials (XLF) while Technology (XLK), Utilities (XLU), and Energy (XLE) underperformed the most.
 
 
  U.S. Economic Developments:  
 
 
The Producer Price Index gained 5.5% year over year in June, below an expected growth of 6.3% and 6% in May (revised from 6.5%). Meanwhile, the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index improved to 15.6 in July, above 6.2 expected from 5.7 in June.
 
 
  U.S. Equity News:  
 
 
Nvidia (NVDA) was largely unchanged, though a senior U.S. Commerce Department official said the company has started shipping a small number of H200 chips to China.

Apple (AAPL) rose 4.01% after receiving regulatory approval to bring Apple Intelligence to iPhones in China. The feature has been unavailable in mainland China since its 2024 launch. Separately, The Information reported that Apple is exploring chip-company acquisitions to support its push into server chips for AI.

Alphabet (GOOGL) gained 3.17% after Warren Buffett told CNBC that he initiated Berkshire’s investment in the company.

Microsoft (MSFT) climbed 2.78% after Citigroup kept its rating at “Buy,” while Mizuho and Evercore ISI maintained “Outperform” ratings.

Amazon.com (AMZN) advanced 3.02% following CEO remarks that demand for the company’s custom AI chips remains strong.

ASML Holding (ASML) increased 2.23% after it lifted its 2026 revenue outlook and outlined plans to expand manufacturing capacity, following second-quarter results that beat analyst expectations. Separately, The Information reported that ASML intends to raise prices, which could put it at odds with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM). TSM was flat on the day.

PayPal (PYPL) surged 17.20% after Reuters reported that Stripe and private equity firm Advent International reportedly made a joint bid to acquire PayPal at $60.50 per share, valuing the company at more than $53 billion.

BlackRock (BLK) jumped 6.63% after it reported second-quarter adjusted EPS of $12.19, up from $10.19 a year earlier. The firm also said assets under management rose to $15.34 trillion from $13.89 trillion a year earlier.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) fell 2.69% after posting second-quarter EPS down 0.9% to $2.27, even as net sales rose 6.6% to $25.31 billion.

Bank of New York Mellon (BNY) gained 5.08% after publishing second-quarter adjusted EPS up 27% to $2.45.
 
 
  Europe Market Overview:  
 
 
The major European indices in the region finished in mixed territory. Germany's Dax fell 147pts (-0.59%) to 24999 and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 dropped 13pts (-0.13%) to 10515. Conversely, France's Cac 40 rose 15pts (+0.19%) to 8382.

On the data front, eurozone industrial production declined 0.2% month-on-month in May, compared with expectations of a 0.3% increase and a prior reading of +0.3% (upwardly revised from +0.1%).
 
 
  Global Macro, FX & Commodities:  
 
 
Rates & Risk Sentiment:

The VIX declined 0.83pts (-5.03%) to 15.67 while the US 10 year yield dropped to 4.553%.

Precious Metals & Crude:

In the commodities market, Gold added 7.66 dollars (+0.19%) to 4061.56 while Silver dipped 0.84 dollars (-1.43%) to 57.79. WTI Crude Oil advanced 1.06 dollars (+1.34%) to 80.4 after another round of U.S. strikes against Iran.

The Dollar & Majors:

The dollar index declined 0.39pts (-0.39%) to 100.529.

EUR/USD rose 44pips (+0.39%) to 1.1463.

GBP/USD advanced 148pips (+1.11%) to 1.3537.

USD/JPY fell 4pips (-0.02%) to 162.19. Japan’s machinery orders fell 12.4% month-on-month in May, versus a forecast decline of 3.0%.

USD/CHF retreated 40pips (-0.49%) to 0.8049.

AUD/USD gained 32pips (+0.46%) to 0.7006.

USD/CAD slipped 12pips (-0.09%) to 1.4043. The Bank of Canada maintained its benchmark rate unchanged at 2.25%, as expected.

Digital Assets:

Finally, in the cryptocurrencies market, Bitcoin rose 462 dollars (+0.72%) to 65001 and Ethereum gained 51 dollars (+2.73%) to 1925.
 
 
  After Hours  
 
 
United Airlines (UAL) fell in extended trading after forecasting nearly $6 billion in additional fuel costs for the year, compared with its estimate at the start of the year. A rally in oil prices pressured its third-quarter and full-year profit outlooks.

JB Hunt Transport Services (JBHT) surged after hours after second-quarter revenue beat expectations.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: look for 53113.
 
Pivot:
52775
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 52775 with targets at 53113 & 53260 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 52775 look for further downside with 52680 & 52580 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 53113 and then at 53260.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: watch 7650.
 
Pivot:
7585
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7585 with targets at 7630 & 7650 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7585 look for further downside with 7570 & 7555 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : the upside prevails as long as 1.1448 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1448.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.1448 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1448, expect 1.1425 and 1.1411.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1435 and 1.1431).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : the RSI is overbought
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3513.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.3513 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3513, expect 1.3483 and 1.3465.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above 70. It could mean either that the price is in a lasting uptrend or just overbought and therefore bound to correct (look for bearish divergence in this case). The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3460 and 1.3423).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : the downside prevails as long as 162.21 is resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 162.21.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 162.21 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 162.21, look for 162.41 and 162.53.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 162.20 and 162.20).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday: aim @ 4013.
 
Pivot:
4075
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 4075 with targets at 4013 & 3990 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4075 look for further upside with 4100 & 4120 as targets.
 
Comment:
A break below 4013 would trigger a drop towards 3990.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday: key resistance at 58.30.
 
Pivot:
58.30
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 58.30 with targets at 57.30 & 56.80 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 58.30 look for further upside with 58.80 & 59.30 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (Q6)‎ intraday: bullish bias above 78.35.
 
Pivot:
78.35
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 78.35 with targets at 82.60 & 83.40 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 78.35 look for further downside with 77.50 & 76.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 82.60 and then at 83.40.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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