DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK

August 27, 2026

Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.

Crude Oil (WTI) Gold GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/USD Silver Dow Jones (CME) S&P 500 (CME)

Market Wrap

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

On Wednesday, major U.S. stock indexes closed little changed as investors awaited Nvidia’s quarterly results. The S&P 500 dipped 1 point (-0.02%) to 7,675, and the Dow Jones eased 113 points (-0.21%) to 53,463, while the Nasdaq 100 added 15 points (+0.05%) to 29,224.

Nvidia (NVDA) closed 1.59% lower, but rebounded 4% in after-market hours. The chip giant reported record fiscal second-quarter revenue of 96.2 billion dollars and earnings per share of 2.22 dollars, both exceeding market expectations. The company also gave upbeat guidance, projecting third-quarter revenue at 108 billion dollars, adding that next year’s revenue could grow 70%.

Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX) gained 1.22% after announcing a new 100-billion-dollar project called "Starbase Louisiana", a Starship launch complex to be built on the Louisiana coast.

Meta Platforms (META) added 1.07%. The company has agreed to pay 16.7 billion dollars to California and other states to settle a major federal case alleging that its social-media platforms harmed children.

Intuit (INTU) fell 3.24% and Zoom Communications (ZM) dropped 7.03%, as both companies gave downbeat guidance.

GoDaddy (GDDY) slipped 4.26% after being downgraded to "underweight" by Wells Fargo.

In after-market hours, CrowdStrike (CRWD) gained 10% and Salesforce (CRM) jumped 14%, as both software companies reported better-than-expected quarterly results and raised full-year revenue outlook.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rebounded 2.6 basis points to 4.649%.

In Europe, the DAX 40 edged up 0.08% and the CAC 40 was up 0.27%, while the FTSE 100 dipped 0.07%.

Spot gold retreated 63 dollars (-1.36%) to 4,594 dollars an ounce, ending a three-session rally.

U.S. WTI crude futures pared most early losses to settle at 82.23 dollars a barrel, down only 13 cents (-0.16%) on the day.

Market Wrap: Forex

The U.S. dollar regained some strength, with EUR/USD falling 22 pips to 1.1652, and GBP/USD dropping 59 pips to 1.3590.

USD/JPY climbed 16 pips to 159.32, posting a three-session rally.

U.S. core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price inflation remained stable at 3.3% year-on-year in July, in line with expectations.

Durable goods orders grew 1.1% month-on-month in July, more than expected.

Meanwhile, USD/CHF advanced 40 pips to 0.8054, and USD/CAD added 43 pips to 1.3879.

Bitcoin held up well, trading at 78,900 dollars.

Morning Trading

In Asian trading hours, EUR/USD and GBP/USD both remained subdued, at 1.1655 and 1.3591 respectively.

Meanwhile, USD/JPY was steady at 159.33.

Gold rebounded to 4,627 dollars.

Bitcoin was little changed at 78,749 dollars.

Expected Today

Germany's GfK consumer confidence index is expected to improve to -29.5 in September.

France's producer price index is estimated to be up 2.7% year-on-year in July.

In the U.S., the weekly initial jobless claims are expected at 210,000.

Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.

Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (V6)‎ intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Pivot:

80.90

Our preference:

Long positions above 80.90 with targets at 83.30 & 84.70 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Below 80.90 look for further downside with 79.60 & 78.30 as targets.

Comment:

The RSI is mixed to bullish.

Trade

Gold intraday : Trend at a crossroads

Our pivot point is at 4,588.

Our preference:

The upside prevails as long as 4,588 is support, with 4,701 and 4,732 as targets

Alternative scenario:

Below 4,588, expect 4,536 and 4,505.

Comment:

The asset is now hovering dangerously close to our pivot, representing a pivotal moment that could be among the last opportunities for a trend reversal.

Trade

GBP/USD intraday : Key support level approaches

Our pivot point is at 1.3657.

Our preference:

The downside prevails as long as 1.3657 is resistance, with 1.3580 and 1.3561 as targets

Alternative scenario:

Above 1.3657, look for 1.3690 and 1.3709.

Comment:

Prices are now approaching our first target. Reaching this level could trigger a pullback. Conversely, a decisive break below it could lead to a further fall.

Trade

USD/JPY intraday : On the edge of pivot level

Our pivot point is at 159.43.

Our preference:

The downside prevails as long as 159.43 is resistance, with 158.59 and 158.39 as targets

Alternative scenario:

Above 159.43, look for 159.76 and 159.97.

Comment:

The price is dangerously moving towards our pivot, one of the final opportunities for a reversal.

Trade

EUR/USD intraday : Expect 1.1634

Our pivot point is at 1.1685.

Our preference:

The downside prevails as long as 1.1685 is resistance, with 1.1634 and 1.1621 as targets

Alternative scenario:

Above 1.1685, look for 1.1707 and 1.1720.

Comment:

The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1655 and 1.1657).

Trade

Silver intraday : Pivot threshold in sight

Our pivot point is at 67.79.

Our preference:

The upside prevails as long as 67.79 is support, with 70.47 and 71.19 as targets

Alternative scenario:

Below 67.79, expect 66.58 and 65.86.

Comment:

Price is almost testing our pivot level; this may be the last chance for a reversal.

Trade

Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: watch 54080.

Pivot:

53440

Our preference:

Long positions above 53440 with targets at 54080 & 54340 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Below 53440 look for further downside with 53200 & 53030 as targets.

Comment:

The RSI is mixed to bullish.

Trade

S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: the bias remains bullish.

Pivot:

7696

Our preference:

Long positions above 7696 with targets at 7765 & 7797 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Below 7696 look for further downside with 7671 & 7656 as targets.

Comment:

The RSI is mixed to bullish.

Trade

TRADING FOREIGN EXCHANGE ON MARGIN CARRIES A HIGH LEVEL OF RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS.

THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS THAT YOU COULD SUSTAIN A LOSS OF SOME OR ALL OF YOUR INITIAL INVESTMENT AND THEREFORE YOU SHOULD NOT INVEST MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD TO LOSE.

THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE CAN WORK AGAINST YOU AS WELL AS FOR YOU. BEFORE DECIDING TO TRADE FOREIGN EXCHANGE OR CFD’S YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES, LEVEL OF EXPERIENCE, AND RISK APPETITE.

YOU SHOULD BE AWARE OF ALL THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH FOREIGN EXCHANGE AND OTHER CFD TRADING, AND SEEK ADVICE FROM AN INDEPENDENT FINANCIAL ADVISOR IF YOU HAVE ANY DOUBTS. VPFX RECOMMENDS READING THE RISK DISCLOSURE SECTION OF THE PROSPECTUS FOR ANY FINANCIAL PRODUCT MENTIONED.

VPFX is the trading name for Ventura Prime FX Limited with registration number LL16224 registered in Labuan F.T., Malaysia.

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