Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
October 17, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Silver  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
 
On Friday, the major indices in the U.S. finished lower, led by a sharp decline in technology and AI-linked stocks that sent the Nasdaq 100 down 2.5%, while energy and defensive sectors outperformed.

The S&P 500 retreated 84.70pts (-1.09%) to 7,659.

The Nasdaq 100 dropped 748.10pts (-2.50%) to 29,188.

The Dow declined 175.30pts (-0.34%) to 52,002.

On the sector front, Energy (XLE), Utilities (XLU), and Consumer Staples (XLP) outperformed, while Technology (XLK), Communication Services (XLC), and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) underperformed the most.

Looking at the latest U.S. economic data, industrial production rose 0.7% month-on-month in September, above the 0.4% expected and up from a revised 0.1% previously.

Traders are now pricing in an 87% chance of the Federal Reserve holding interest rates later this month.

U.S. Equity News:

Super Micro Computer (SMCI), an AI server and data-center infrastructure company, tumbled 9.85% as lingering accounting and governance concerns resurfaced following the appointment of a new CFO.

Twilio (TWLO), a cloud communications platform, tumbled 10.6% as investors locked in profits after a nearly 90% year-to-date rally, with concerns that expectations around AI-driven growth may have moved ahead of fundamentals.

APA Corporation (APA), an oil and gas exploration company, rose 4% after several analysts raised their price targets.

Kinder Morgan (KMI), a major U.S. natural gas pipeline operator, rose 4.2% ahead of its October 21 earnings report, with quarterly EPS expected to increase 13.8% year-over-year to $0.33 and revenue forecast to rise 5.7% to $4.38 billion.

Meta Platforms (META), the parent company of Facebook and Instagram, fell 3.72% as the broader technology and AI trade came under renewed pressure, with investors growing more cautious over heavy AI spending ahead of the company's October 21 earnings report.

Volatility & Commodities Snapshot:

The VIX index jumped 3.53pts (+21.45%) to 19.99.

The U.S. 10-year yield rose 0.016 basis points to 5.085%.

In the commodities market, gold slipped $3.64 (-0.09%) to $4,166.61.

Silver declined $0.47 (-0.82%) to $56.97.

WTI Crude Oil surged $3.74 (+3.82%) to $101.71.

Europe Market Overview:

At the European close, the major indices in the region finished higher.

Germany's DAX gained 239pts (+0.95%) to 25,622.

France's CAC 40 rose 22pts (+0.28%) to 7,956.

The U.K.'s FTSE 100 advanced 41pts (+0.38%) to 10,881.

On the economic data front, the eurozone trade balance posted a deficit of EUR 16.1 billion in August, compared with a surplus of EUR 10.7 billion in July, revised from EUR 14.2 billion.

Foreign Exchange & Crypto Wrap:

The Dollar Index declined 0.27pt (-0.27%) to 101.783.

EUR/USD gained 19pips (+0.17%) to 1.1237.

GBP/USD advanced 53pips (+0.40%) to 1.3326.

USD/JPY was unchanged at 157.98.

USD/CHF retreated 32pips (-0.39%) to 0.8235.

AUD/USD gained 25pips (+0.36%) to 0.6944.

USD/CAD declined 46pips (-0.32%) to 1.4137.

Bitcoin fell 452 dollars (-0.55%) to 81547.

Ethereum dropped 39 dollars (-1.63%) to 2411.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (Z6)‎ intraday: further advance.
 
Pivot:
96.70
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 96.70 with targets at 100.00 & 102.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 96.70 look for further downside with 94.70 & 93.60 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed to bullish.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday : Target level as a potential turning point
 
Our pivot point is at 4,110.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 4,110 is support, with 4,195 and 4,217 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4,110, expect 4,073 and 4,051.
 
Comment:
With prices now approaching our initial target, this level may prompt a throwback. That said, a decisive break above it could also act as a catalyst for further upside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (Z6)‎ intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
52530
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 52530 with targets at 51900 & 51600 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 52530 look for further upside with 52820 & 53100 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed to bearish.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (Z6)‎ intraday: turning down.
 
Pivot:
7810
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 7810 with targets at 7630 & 7560 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 7810 look for further upside with 7837 & 7875 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed to bearish.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : 1.1273 in sight
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1219.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.1219 is support, with 1.1273 and 1.1285 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1219, expect 1.1199 and 1.1186.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The price is below its 20 period moving average (1.1244) but above its 50 period moving average (1.1231).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : Pivot threshold in sight
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3341.
 
Our preference:
In spite of the current rebound, our pivot threshold at 1.3341 has not been hit and our target remains 1.3268
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3341, look for 1.3367 and 1.3383.
 
Comment:
Price is close to our pivot level; this could be the last opportunity for a reversal.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : Expect 157.58
 
Our pivot point is at 158.59.
 
Our preference:
Under pressure below 158.59, with 157.58 and 157.34 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 158.59, look for 158.99 and 159.23.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 157.99 and 158.00).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday : Expect 58.29
 
Our pivot point is at 56.31.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 56.31 is support, with 58.29 and 58.82 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 56.31, expect 55.42 and 54.89.
 
Comment:
The current technical structure demands that traders preserve the setup and wait for a market resolution.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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