Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
May 5, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)   GBP/USD   Silver  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Monday, U.S. stocks closed lower, with the The S&P 500 slipping 29 points (-0.41%) to 7,200, and the Nasdaq 100 down 58 points (-0.21%) to 27,651.

The Dow Jones dropped 557 points (-1.13%) to 48,941.

Market sentiment was dampened by rebounding oil prices amid renewed fighting in the Middle East. The United Arab Emirates reported that an Iranian drone attack had caused fire at a petroleum complex.

U.S. WTI crude futures settled 4.48 dollars higher (+4.39%) at 106.42 dollars a barrel.

eBay (EBAY) gained 5.05% while GameStop (GME) tumbled 10.14%. GameStop made an offer to buy eBay for 56 billion dollars.

Amazon (AMZN) rose 1.41% to a record closing level, while United Parcel Service (UPS) plunged 10.48% and FedEx (FDX) was down 9.11%. Amazon said it is opening up its logistics services - Amazon Supply Chain Services - to other businesses, challenging a market long dominated by UPS and FedEx.

Bitcoin reclaimed the level of 80,000 dollars, lifting related stocks, with Coinbase (COIN) rising 6.14% and Strategy (MSTR) up 3.74%.

Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) fell 8.56% after cutting its full-year earnings forecast. Peer Carnival (CCL) slipped 3.71%.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) declined 5.27%. HSBC downgraded the stock to "hold" from "buy". The company will report quarterly results after the bell on Tuesday.

Palantir (PLTR) closed 1.47% higher, and was stable in after-market hours after posting better-than-expected quarterly results and raising its full-year revenue forecast.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rebounded 6 basis points to 4.432%.

European stocks also closed lower, with the DAX40 falling 1.24%, and the CAC 40 down 1.71%. The U.K. market was closed for a bank holiday.

Gold price dropped 90 dollars (-1.96%) to 4,523 dollars an ounce, a one-month low.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
The U.S. dollar regained some strength against other major currencies, with the dollar index rebounding to 98.44.

U.S. factory orders increased 1.5% month on month in March, more than expected and marking a third consecutive month of growth.

EUR/USD declined 32 pips to 1.1688.

USD/JPY gained 19 pips to 157.22. The yen showed a brief upward spike during the session on Monday, sparking speculation of a market intervention by Japanese authorities again.

GBP/USD slipped 46 pips to 1.3526.

AUD/USD retreated 38 pips to 0.7165.

USD/CHF rebounded 24 pips to 0.7839, and USD/CAD advanced 33 pips to 1.3621.

Bitcoin regained the level of 80,000 dollars, which was last seen at end-January.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, AUD/USD edged up to 0.7170. As expected, Australia's central bank raised its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.35%.

EUR/USD was stable at 1.1685, and USD/JPY was largely flat at 157.26.

U.S. WTI crude futures retreated 2% to 104.20 dollars a barrel, while gold rebounded to 4,533 dollars an ounce.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
U.S. trade deficit is expected to widen to 61.4 billion dollars in March.

U.S. new home sales are expected to increase 4.9% month on month in March.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: the bias remains bullish.
 
Pivot:
103.70
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 103.70 with targets at 105.50 & 106.50 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 103.70 look for further downside with 102.20 & 100.50 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: key resistance at 4560.
 
Pivot:
4560
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 4560 with targets at 4505 & 4485 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4560 look for further upside with 4580 & 4605 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 4560 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 4505 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY Intraday: 157.50 expected.
 
Pivot:
156.70
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 156.70 with targets at 157.50 & 157.90 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 156.70 look for further downside with 156.40 & 156.10 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI lacks downward momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD Intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
1.1715
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.1715 with targets at 1.1655 & 1.1635 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1715 look for further upside with 1.1740 & 1.1765 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 1.1715 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: key resistance at 49260.
 
Pivot:
49260
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 49260 with targets at 48920 & 48600 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 49260 look for further upside with 49580 & 49815 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: key resistance at 7255.
 
Pivot:
7255
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 7255 with targets at 7215 & 7200 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 7255 look for further upside with 7280 & 7300 as targets.
 
Comment:
The index currently faces a challenging resistance area at 7255.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD Intraday: aim @ 1.3475.
 
Pivot:
1.3570
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.3570 with targets at 1.3475 & 1.3450 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3570 look for further upside with 1.3600 & 1.3630 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 1.3570 is resistance, likely decline to 1.3475.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: key resistance at 73.95.
 
Pivot:
73.95
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 73.95 with targets at 72.20 & 71.60 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 73.95 look for further upside with 74.50 & 75.10 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 73.95 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 72.20 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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