Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
August 31, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: pre-opening session  
 
 
U.S. market futures lose some ground as oil prices jump.

On Friday, major U.S. stock indexes pared early gains to close lower, as investors became cautious following Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh’s hawkish comments.

The Nasdaq 100 fell 208 points (-0.70%) to 29,433, the S&P 500 dipped 19 points (-0.25%) to 7,711, and the Dow Jones edged down 9 points (-0.02%) to 53,559.

In a closely watched keynote speech at the Fed's Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium in Wyoming, Warsh expressed concern about elevated inflation, saying: "We must be confident that underlying inflation is moving to our objective, clearly and at sufficient speed. Otherwise, we have work to do."

Traders now see the probability of the Fed hiking interest rates in September significantly higher at 57%, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool.

On the stat front in the U.S. the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index is estimated at 0.7 in August vs 1.3 in July.

European indices trade mostly slightly down. U.K. stock market is closed for Summer Bank Holiday. On the stat plan, Germany's inflation rate is expected to climb to 2.9% year-on-year in August.

Asian indices closed mixed. Regarding stats, Japan's industrial production grew 0.1% month-on-month in July (vs -0.5% expected), while retail sales rose 2.4% (vs +3.1% estimated). Separately, China's official Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index improved to 49.8 in August, above the 49.7 expected.

WTI crude oil prices jump above 86.00 dollars after U.S. forces struck two targets on Iran’s Larak Island in the Strait of Hormuz.

Gold is little changed around 4,450 dollars after sinking more than 3% on Friday in the face of a stronger dollar.

Bitcoin attempts to rebound above 77,000 dollars after easing 3% on Friday.
 
 
  Premarket news  
 
 
PG&E (PCG), a natural gas and electric service provider, plunges after California lawmakers rejected Governor Gavin Newsom’s proposal to change wildfire liability rules.

Intel (INTC): SK Hynix is reportedly exploring a partnership with Intel’s foundry business to manufacture substrate chips for its next-generation HBM4E products.

Pinterest (PINS), a social media, loses ground as CFO Julia Brau Donnelly has stepped down and will leave the company on October 30, 2026.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
Science Applications International Corp (SAIC)
 
 
  Canada  
 
 
On Friday, the S&P/TSX Composite Index fell 0.76% to 36,553 and the S&P/TSX 60 Index declined 0.51% to 2,144.

Bombardier (BBD/B)'s, an aircraft maker, target price was raised to 350 dollars from 295 dollars at JPMorgan.

EQB (EQB)'s, a digital financial services company, target price was cut to 135 dollars from 141 dollars at Scotiabank.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (V6)‎ intraday: the upside prevails.
 
Pivot:
83.50
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 83.50 with targets at 87.30 & 88.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 83.50 look for further downside with 82.00 & 80.60 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 87.30 and then at 88.00.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday : Expect 4,395
 
Our pivot point is at 4,503.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 4,503 is resistance, with 4,395 and 4,365 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4,503, look for 4,553 and 4,583.
 
Comment:
The MACD is above its signal line and negative. The price stands above its 20 period moving average (4,437) but below its 50 period moving average (4,488).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : Critical support closing in
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1638.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.1638 is resistance, with 1.1577 and 1.1564 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1638, look for 1.1660 and 1.1673.
 
Comment:
The approach toward our first target represents a key level to monitor, it may trigger pressure for a pullback, though a firm close below this threshold could lead prices lower.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : Decline at a crossroads
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3601.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.3601 is resistance, with 1.3518 and 1.3499 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3601, look for 1.3633 and 1.3652.
 
Comment:
Prices are now approaching our first target. Reaching this level could trigger a pullback. Conversely, a decisive break below it could lead to a further fall.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : Towards 159.18
 
Our pivot point is at 160.07.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 160.07 is resistance, with 159.18 and 158.99 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 160.07, look for 160.39 and 160.58.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 159.75 and 159.88).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday : On the edge of pivot level
 
Our pivot point is at 67.46.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 67.46 is resistance, with 64.86 and 64.17 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 67.46, look for 68.63 and 69.32.
 
Comment:
The asset price is approaching our pivot level, which represents one of the last opportunities for the asset to reverse its recent trend.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: watch 53370.
 
Pivot:
53660
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 53660 with targets at 53370 & 53200 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 53660 look for further upside with 53860 & 54080 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 53660 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 53370 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
7727
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 7727 with targets at 7684 & 7671 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 7727 look for further upside with 7755 & 7782 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is around its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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