Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
April 11, 2026
 
   
 
S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Crude Oil (WTI)   Dow Jones (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  U.S. Market Overview:  
 
 
On Friday, stocks were under pressure following hotter-than-anticipated inflation data as well as ahead of the upcoming U.S.-Iran talks this weekend to address the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

The S&P 500 slipped 7pts (-0.11%) to 6816 and the Dow dropped 269pts (-0.56%) to 47916. Conversely, the Nasdaq 100 rose 34pts (+0.14%) to 25116.

On the sector front, the outperforming sectors were Materials (XLB), Technology (XLK), and Real Estate (XLRE) while Health Care (XLV), Consumer Staples (XLP), and Financials (XLF) underperformed the most.

Looking at the overall weekly performance, the S&P 500 rose 3.56%, the Nasdaq 100 gained 4.45%, and the Dow climbed 3.04%. Most sectors closed the week in positive territory, led by Technology (XLK), Industrials (XLI), and Consumer Discretionary (XLY). Energy (XLE) was the only sector in the red.
 
 
  U.S. Economic Developments:  
 
 
U.S. inflation rose 3.3% year-over-year in March, slightly above the 3.2% forecast and up from 2.4% in February. This is the highest rate since 2024. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, increased 2.6% year-over-year, under the 2.7% expected but above February’s 2.5%.

Meanwhile, factory orders were unchanged month-over-month in February, versus a projected 0.2% decline. Finally, the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for April dropped to 47.6, below the 52.3 forecast and down from March’s 53.3.
 
 
  U.S. Equity News:  
 
 
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) rose 1.40% after reporting Q1 revenue up 35% to $30.41 billion, topping expectations. Semiconductor peers traded higher, with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Broadcom (AVGO) up 3.55% and 4.69%, respectively.

Cybersecurity names weakened as investors fretted over AI’s impact on the industry. CrowdStrike (CRWD) and Palo Alto Networks (PANW) fell 3.97% and 6.74%, respectively, amid concerns that Anthropic’s forthcoming Mythos model could breach existing defenses.

WD-40 (WDFC) slipped 4.04% after reporting Q2 adjusted EPS of $1.50, down from $2.19 a year earlier.

Nike (NKE) dropped 3.14% following a downgrade from Piper Sandler to “Neutral” from “Overweight”.
 
 
  Europe Market Overview:  
 
 
At the European close, the major indices in the region finished in mixed territory. Germany's Dax fell 3pts (-0.01%) to 23803, France's Cac 40 rose 13pts (+0.17%) to 8259, and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 declined 2pts (-0.03%) to 10600.
 
 
  Global Macro, FX & Commodities:  
 
 
Rates & Risk Sentiment:

The VIX dropped 0.26pts (-1.33%) to 19.23 while the US 10 year yield climbed to 4.317%.

Precious Metals & Crude:

Commodities were mixed for the day. Gold fell $12.92 (-0.27%) to $4750.70 while Silver rose $1.1 (+1.47%) to $76.17. WTI Crude Oil slipped $1.91 (-1.95%) to $95.96.

The Dollar & Majors:

The dollar index fell 0.15pts (-0.15%) to 98.671.

EUR/USD rose 29pips (+0.25%) to 1.1728.

GBP/USD advanced 30pips (+0.22%) to 1.3463.

USD/JPY gained 37pips (+0.23%) to 159.31. On the stat front, Japan's producer price index rose 2.6% year-on-year in March, below 3.1% expected.

USD/CHF retreated 9pips (-0.11%) to 0.7889.

AUD/USD declined 2pips (-0.03%) to 0.7077.

USD/CAD climbed 23pips (+0.17%) to 1.3837. The Canadian unemployment rate fell to 6.7%, below 6.9% estimated.

Digital Assets:

Bitcoin rose $789 (+1.09%) to $73207 and Ethereum gained $40 (+1.82%) to $2253.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: testing the channel support.
 
Pivot:
6845
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 6845 with targets at 6900 & 6930 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 6845 look for further downside with 6815 & 6780 as targets.
 
Comment:
A support base at 6845 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : as long as 1.1704 is support look for 1.1775
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1704.
 
Our preference:
As long as 1.1704 is support look for 1.1775
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1704, expect 1.1680 and 1.1666.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price could retrace. Moreover, the price is below its 20 period moving average (1.1725) but above its 50 period moving average (1.1706).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : as long as 1.3417 is support look for 1.3556
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3417.
 
Our preference:
As long as 1.3417 is support look for 1.3556
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3417, expect 1.3368 and 1.3339.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The price could retrace. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3461 and 1.3440).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : the upside prevails as long as 158.88 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 158.88.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 158.88 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 158.88, expect 158.39 and 158.11.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 159.22 and 159.19).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: intraday support around 4730.
 
Pivot:
4730
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 4730 with targets at 4800 & 4835 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4730 look for further downside with 4700 & 4670 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 4800 and then at 4835.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: intraday support around 75.50.
 
Pivot:
75.50
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 75.50 with targets at 77.00 & 77.70 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 75.50 look for further downside with 74.80 & 74.40 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 77.00 and then at 77.70.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (K6)‎ Intraday: turning down.
 
Pivot:
98.30
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 98.30 with targets at 94.10 & 91.85 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 98.30 look for further upside with 100.30 & 102.70 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: turning down.
 
Pivot:
48540
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 48540 with targets at 47840 & 47650 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 48540 look for further upside with 48810 & 49020 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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