Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
October 1, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: pre-opening session  
 
 
U.S. market futures are mostly slightly higher on choppy trading to start October.

On Wednesday, the Nasdaq 100 added 69 points (+0.23%) to 30,408, up for a second session, while the S&P 500 declined 19 points (-0.25%) to 7,651 and the Dow Jones fell 443 points (-0.86%) to 50,906, with both posting a three-session losing streak.

On a monthly basis, the Nasdaq 100 gained 3.23% in September, extending its rebound to a second month. The Dow Jones lost 4.29%, halting a five-month winning streak.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield hit its highest level since April 2002 on Thursday before easing.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders now see the odds of another 25-basis-point rate hike in October at about 37%, down from roughly 51% a session earlier.

On the stat front, weekly initial jobless claims are estimated at 200,000. Separately the ISM Manufacturing Index is expected at 55.0 in September vs 54.6 in August.

European indices drop on rising yields but currently rebound from their intraday lows.

Asian indices closed mixed. Regarding stats, The Bank of Japan's third-quarter Tankan headline large manufacturers index rose to 24 (vs 25 expected, 22 in the prior quarter). Separately, Australia's trade surplus for August narrowed to 495 million Australian dollars (vs 2.0 billion Australian dollars estimated).

WTI crude oil prices rebound above 91.00 dollars following a report saying that Chinese refiners suspended October fuel exports.

Gold gains some ground around 4,200 dollars.

Bitcoin very slightly rebounds around 84,000 dollars.
 
 
  Premarket news  
 
 
Micron Technology (MU), a manufacturer of memory chips, is little changed despite posting better-than-expected results for its fiscal fourth quarter, with revenue soaring to 54.2 billion dollars from 11.3 billion dollars a year earlier. The company also gave upbeat guidance for its fiscal first quarter. The stock is up more than 273% year-to-date.

Alphabet (GOOGL), Google's holding company, edges higher after unveiling its new AI model "Argon".

Accenture (ACN), a leading global professional services company, jumps as full-year sales growth forecast topped expectations.

Rocket Lab (RKLB), a global leader in launch services and space systems, rises after signing "a multi-year launch agreement for 20 new Electron missions with Tokyo-based Earth observation company Synspective".

Synopsys (SNPS), an electronic design automation company, gains some ground as full-year guidance beat estimates.

Vicor (VICR), a leader in high-performance power modules, soars after raising quarterly sales guidance.

Constellation Energy (CEG), a power producer, is well oriented after the company and Amazon.com (AMZN) announced a "20-year power purchase agreement adding 190 megawatts of nuclear capacity at the Calvert Cliffs Clean Energy Center, Maryland's only nuclear plant and largest source of clean energy".

McCormick (MKC), a global supplier of seasonings and other flavorings, jumps on better-than-expected quarterly financial figures.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
Nike Inc (NKE)

McCormick & Co Inc (MKC)

Acuity Inc (AYI)
 
 
  Canada  
 
 
On Wednesday, the S&P/TSX Composite Index fell 0.63% to 35,235 and the S&P/TSX 60 Index dropped 0.70% to 2,071.

Lundin Mining (LUN), a mining company, said "the Board of Directors has approved an increase of up to 100 million dollars to the share repurchase program for the remainder of 2026".

BCE (BCE)'s, a communication services company, target price was cut to 36 dollars from 38 dollars at National Bank of Canada.

Algonquin Power (AQN)'s, a renewable energy specialist, target price was cut to 9 dollars from 10 dollars at Barclays.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (X6)‎ intraday: rebound expected.
 
Pivot:
88.50
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 88.50 with targets at 94.75 & 96.50 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 88.50 look for further downside with 87.00 & 85.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday : Aim at 4,101
 
Our pivot point is at 4,202.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 4,202 is resistance, with 4,101 and 4,075 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4,202, look for 4,245 and 4,270.
 
Comment:
The MACD is below its signal line and negative.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : The downside prevails as long as 1.1304 is resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1304.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.1304 is resistance, with 1.1244 and 1.1233 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1304, look for 1.1322 and 1.1333.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1314 and 1.1331).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : 1.3193 in sight
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3260.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.3260 is resistance, with 1.3193 and 1.3177 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3260, look for 1.3286 and 1.3301.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3244 and 1.3262).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : Watching for a Trigger Above Resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 157.48.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 157.48 is support, with 158.51 and 158.78 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 157.48, expect 157.04 and 156.78.
 
Comment:
As prices near our first target, a throwback could occur, though a clean break above could fuel further gains.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday : Expect 59.78
 
Our pivot point is at 62.31.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 62.31 is resistance, with 59.78 and 59.14 as targets
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 62.31, look for 63.39 and 64.03.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The price is below its 20 period moving average (60.82) but above its 50 period moving average (60.63).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (Z6)‎ intraday: choppy.
 
Pivot:
51600
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 51600 with targets at 50900 & 50500 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 51600 look for further upside with 52000 & 52300 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (Z6)‎ intraday: turning down.
 
Pivot:
7785
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 7785 with targets at 7700 & 7650 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 7785 look for further upside with 7815 & 7848 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI calls for a new downleg.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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