Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
May 2, 2026
 
   
 
S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Gold   Silver   Crude Oil (WTI)   Dow Jones (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  U.S. Market Overview:  
 
 
US stocks ended mostly higher on Friday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 notching fresh record highs. The gains were fueled by growing enthusiasm for the AI industry and a strong earnings report from tech giant Apple.

The S&P 500 advanced 21pts (+0.29%) to 7230 and the Nasdaq 100 rose 258pts (+0.94%) to 27710. On the other hand, the Dow fell 152pts (-0.31%) to 49499.

On the sector front, the outperforming sectors were Technology (XLK), Consumer Discretionary (XLY), and Communication Services (XLC) while Energy (XLE), Industrials (XLI), and Utilities (XLU) underperformed the most.

For the week, indices ended the week on a positive note, with the S&P 500 up 0.91%, the Nasdaq 100 rising 1.49%, and the Dow adding 0.55%. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have now posted gains for five consecutive weeks. The Energy (XLE) and Consumer Staples (XLP) sectors led the way, while Materials (XLB) lagged behind.
 
 
  U.S. Economic Developments:  
 
 
The April ISM Manufacturing PMI reading came in at 52.7, slightly above the forecasted 52.5, and held steady from March's level.
 
 
  U.S. Equity News:  
 
 
Apple (AAPL) gained 3.24% as quarterly financial figures slightly beat estimates. However, iPhone sales missed expectations.

Microsoft (MSFT) rose 1.63% as the stock was maintained at "Hold" by Stifel.

Tesla (TSLA) climbed 2.41% as vehicle registrations continued to rebound in several European markets, including France, Denmark, and the Netherlands.

Eli Lilly (LLY) traded 3.07% higher as it was maintained at "Overweight" by Cantor Fitzgerald. On Thursday, the FDA said it may tighten limits on pharmacies that make compounded versions of popular GLP-1 weight-loss drugs. Novo Nordisk (NVO) also rose 3.98% on the news.

Roblox (RBLX) tanked 18.33% after cutting full-year bookings guidance.

Sandisk (SNDK) jumped 8.25% after posting quarterly financial figures above expectations. The stock is up more than 380% year-to-date.

Veeva Systems (VEEV) traded 10.02% higher as the company will join the S&P 500 index on May 7.

Atlassian (TEAM) soared 29.58% after lifting full-year sales guidance.
 
 
  Europe Market Overview:  
 
 
At the European close, the major indices in the region finished mostly higher. Germany's Dax rose 337pts (+1.41%) to 24292 and France's Cac 40 gained 42pts (+0.53%) to 8114. However, the U.K.'s FTSE 100 fell 14pts (-0.14%) to 10363.
 
 
  Global Macro, FX & Commodities:  
 
 
Rates & Risk Sentiment:

The VIX rose 0.1pts (+0.59%) to 16.99 and the US 10 year yield fell to 4.374%.

Precious Metals & Crude:

In the commodities market, Gold fell 8.71 dollars (-0.19%) to 4612.88 while Silver rose 1.7 dollars (+2.31%) to 75.44. WTI Crude Oil slipped 2.56 dollars (-2.44%) to 102.51.

The Dollar & Majors:

The dollar index rose 0.17pts (+0.17%) to 98.222.

EUR/USD dropped 13pips (-0.11%) to 1.1717.

GBP/USD slipped 31pips (-0.23%) to 1.3569.

USD/JPY gained 47pips (+0.3%) to 157.04.

USD/CHF advanced 4pips (+0.05%) to 0.7815.

AUD/USD increased 4pips (+0.06%) to 0.7203.

USD/CAD climbed 12pips (+0.09%) to 1.359.

Digital Assets:

Cryptocurrencies were up on Friday, with Bitcoin rising 1698 dollars (+2.22%) to 78162 and Ethereum climbing 35 dollars (+1.57%) to 2299.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: intraday support around 7245.
 
Pivot:
7245
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7245 with targets at 7300 & 7320 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7245 look for further downside with 7225 & 7200 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 7300 and then at 7320.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : the downside prevails as long as 1.1740 is resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1740.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.1740 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1740, look for 1.1764 and 1.1778.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1745 and 1.1737).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : the downside prevails as long as 1.3614 is resistance
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3614.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 1.3614 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3614, look for 1.3660 and 1.3687.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3608 and 1.3605).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : the upside prevails as long as 156.62 is support
 
Our pivot point is at 156.62.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 156.62 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 156.62, expect 156.19 and 155.93.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 156.79 and 156.82).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: intraday support around 4606.
 
Pivot:
4606
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 4606 with targets at 4665 & 4695 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4606 look for further downside with 4580 & 4560 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50% but reversing up.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: intraday support around 74.90.
 
Pivot:
74.90
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 74.90 with targets at 77.00 & 77.80 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 74.90 look for further downside with 74.00 & 73.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 77.00 and then at 77.80.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: key resistance at 103.60.
 
Pivot:
103.60
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 103.60 with targets at 98.80 & 97.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 103.60 look for further upside with 106.00 & 108.00 as targets.
 
Comment:
The upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 103.60.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
49865
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 49865 with targets at 49520 & 49410 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 49865 look for further upside with 50100 & 50300 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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