Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
May 25, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Friday, U.S. stocks gained further, with the Dow Jones advancing 294 points (+0.58%) to 50,579, a fresh record close.

The S&P 500 added 27 points (+0.37%) to 7,473, and the Nasdaq 100 was up 124 points (+0.42%) to 29,481.

On a weekly basis, the S&P 500 posted an 8-week winning streak.

Kevin Warsh formally took office as the U.S. Federal Reserve chairman on Friday.

Dell Technologies (DELL) surged 16.77%, becoming the best-performing stock in the S&P 500. Analysts raised their price targets for the company ahead of its quarterly report on Thursday (May 28).

Qualcomm (QCOM) jumped 11.60% after automaker Stellantis announced an expansion of its multi-year technology collaboration with the chip-maker.

Estee Lauder (EL) bounced 11.90% after announcing the termination of talks with Spanish peer Puig regarding a potential business combination.

Zoom Communications (ZM) jumped 9.19%, Ross Stores (ROST) gained 8.18%, and Workday (WDAY) gained 5.16%, all boosted by better-than-expected quarterly results.

Futu Holdings (FUTU) plunged 27.53%, and UP Fintech (TIGR) was down 25.34%. China's securities regulator announced plans to penalize Futu Securities, UP Fintech's Tiger Brokers, and Longbridge Securities for allegedly illegally offering domestic investors access to overseas securities trading.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield dipped further to 4.556%, posting a three-session decline.

U.S. markets will be closed on Monday (May 25) for the Memorial Day holiday.

Europe stocks also closed higher, with the DAX 40 rising 1.15%, the CAC 40 up 0.37%, and the FTSE 100 up 0.22%.

Over the weekend, after saying a deal with Iran was "largely negotiated", U.S. President Donald Trump added that there was no rush to make any deal.

Anyway, Trump’s mentioning of a deal in the making helped to drive oil prices down. In early Asian trading hours on Monday, U.S. WTI crude futures tumbled 5.10 dollars (-5.28%) to 91.95 dollars a barrel.

Gold rebounded 47 dollars (+1.06%) to 4,557 dollars an ounce.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
In early Asian trading hours on Monday, the U.S. dollar weakened, dragged by market expectations of an imminent peace deal between the U.S. and Iran.

EUR/USD rose to 1.1642, while USD/JPY was back below 159.00.

GBP/USD rebounded to 1.3483. U.K. retail sales dropped 1.3% month on month in April, worse than expected.

AUD/USD was back up to 0.7150, while USD/CHF slipped to 0.7823 after three losing sessions.

Bitcoin held at 76,600 dollars.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, WTI crude futures remained under pressure at around 92 dollars a barrel.

Meanwhile, EUR/USD and GBP/USD were both steady, at 1.1640 and 1.3480 respectively.

USD/JPY was down to 158.85.

Gold advanced to 4,565 dollars.

Bitcoin edged up to 77,056 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
U.K. stock market is closed for Spring Bank Holiday.

U.S. stock market is closed for Memorial Day.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (N6)‎ intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
95.70
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 95.70 with targets at 86.80 & 84.30 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 95.70 look for further upside with 97.80 & 99.40 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI lacks upward momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday: further advance.
 
Pivot:
4530
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 4530 with targets at 4589 & 4620 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4530 look for further downside with 4510 & 4490 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday: 1.3500 expected.
 
Pivot:
1.3440
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.3440 with targets at 1.3500 & 1.3525 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3440 look for further downside with 1.3415 & 1.3390 as targets.
 
Comment:
The break above 1.3440 is a positive signal that has opened a path to 1.3500.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday: key resistance at 159.08.
 
Pivot:
159.08
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 159.08 with targets at 158.65 & 158.50 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 159.08 look for further upside with 159.20 & 159.35 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 159.08 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 158.65 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday: bullish bias above 1.1605.
 
Pivot:
1.1605
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.1605 with targets at 1.1665 & 1.1685 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1605 look for further downside with 1.1580 & 1.1560 as targets.
 
Comment:
The break above 1.1605 is a positive signal that has opened a path to 1.1665.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday: the bias remains bullish.
 
Pivot:
76.40
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 76.40 with targets at 78.90 & 80.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 76.40 look for further downside with 75.50 & 74.90 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (M6)‎ intraday: aim @ 51250.
 
Pivot:
50700
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 50700 with targets at 51250 & 51500 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 50700 look for further downside with 50440 & 50240 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI advocates for further advance.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (M6)‎ intraday: further advance.
 
Pivot:
7505
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 7505 with targets at 7585 & 7620 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 7505 look for further downside with 7470 & 7435 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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