Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
March 16, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Friday, major U.S. stock indexes posted further losses after sliding over 1.5% Thursday, with the S&P 500 slipping 40 points (-0.61%) to 6,632.

The Nasdaq 100 fell 152 points (-0.62%) to 24,380, and the Dow Jones was down 119 points (-0.26%) to 46,558.

On a weekly basis, all the three indexes declined for three straight weeks.

Oil prices remained buoyed despite U.S. President Donald Trump temporarily easing sanctions on Russian oil to calm supply concerns.

Over the weekend, Trump threatened more strikes on Kharg Island, Iran’s main oil export hub, adding he was not ready to reach a deal to end the war.

The U.S. WTI crude futures settled 2.98 dollars higher (+3.11%) at 98.71 dollars a barrel on Friday. At the open of Monday’s session, U.S. crude futures surpassed again the level of 100 dollars a barrel.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield climbed for a fourth straight session, gaining 2.2 basis points to 4.283%.

All tech giants stayed under pressure on Friday, with Meta (META) losing 3.83%, Apple (AAPL) down 2.21%, Nvidia (NVDA) down 1.58%, and Microsoft (MSFT) down 1.57%.

Micron (MU) rebounded 5.13%, and data-storage firms also outperformed the market, with Sandisk (SNDK) bouncing 6.92%, and Western Digital (WDC) up 4.25%.

Adobe (ADBE) plummeted 7.58%. The design software company said its longtime CEO will step down after a successor is appointed.

Ulta Beauty (ULTA) shares plunged 14.24% as investors seemed not impressed by the company’s quarterly results.

European stocks fell further, with the DAX losing 0.60%, the CAC 40 down 0.91%, and the FTSE 100 down 0.43%.

Gold declined for a third session on Friday, testing support at the key level of 5,000 dollars an ounce.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
The U.S. dollar stayed firm against other major currencies, with the dollar index eventually breaking above the key level of 100.

U.S. core personal consumption and expenditure (PCE) price inflation ticked up to 3.1% year on year in January, slightly higher than expected.

Both personal income and personal spending rose 0.4% month on month in January, higher than expected.

Meanwhile, the fourth-quarter U.S. GDP growth was revised sharply downwards to 0.7% quarter on quarter from the initial estimate of 4.4%.

The U.S. Federal Reserve will decide on interest rates on Wednesday (March 18).

EUR/USD dropped 99 pips to 1.1411, down for a fourth straight session to a 7-month low.

USD/JPY gained 39 pips to 159.72.

GBP/USD fell 123 pips to 1.3218. U.K. data showed no growth in GDP on a monthly basis in January.

AUD/USD dropped 93 pips (-1.31%) to 0.6981.

USD/CHF advanced 56 pips to 0.7914.

USD/CAD climbed 87 pips to 1.3725. Canada’s data showed that 108,400 people lost full-time employment in February, the biggest loss since January 2022.

Bitcoin continued its recent rebound, returning to levels above 73,000 dollars over the weekend.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, EUR/USD rebounded to 1.1449 and GBP/USD bounced to 1.3255.

Meanwhile, USD/JPY eased to 159.60.

Data showed that China's industrial production rose 6.3% year-on-year in January-February, above 5.0% expected, and retail sales grew 2.8%, above 1.1% estimated.

Gold remained subdued at 5,003 dollars.

Bitcoin was steady at 72,554 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
In the U.S., the Empire State manufacturing index is expected to drop to 3.0 in March, while industrial production is anticipated to grow 0.3% month-on-month in February.

Canada's inflation rate is estimated to slow to 2.1% year-on-year in February.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (J6)‎ Intraday: bullish bias above 96.55.
 
Pivot:
96.55
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 96.55 with targets at 101.10 & 103.90 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 96.55 look for further downside with 94.15 & 91.50 as targets.
 
Comment:
A support base at 96.55 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: key resistance at 5036.
 
Pivot:
5036
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 5036 with targets at 4965 & 4945 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 5036 look for further upside with 5068 & 5100 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 5036 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD Intraday: key resistance at 1.3280.
 
Pivot:
1.3280
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.3280 with targets at 1.3210 & 1.3180 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.3280 look for further upside with 1.3310 & 1.3340 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 1.3280 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 1.3210 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY Intraday: key resistance at 159.75.
 
Pivot:
159.75
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 159.75 with targets at 159.00 & 158.55 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 159.75 look for further upside with 160.00 & 160.30 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 159.75 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 159.00 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD Intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
1.1470
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.1470 with targets at 1.1400 & 1.1370 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1470 look for further upside with 1.1490 & 1.1510 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 1.1470 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 1.1400 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver Intraday: key resistance at 81.60.
 
Pivot:
81.60
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 81.60 with targets at 77.90 & 76.30 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 81.60 look for further upside with 83.00 & 84.40 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 81.60 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 77.90 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: expect 47350.
 
Pivot:
46760
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 46760 with targets at 47350 & 47550 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 46760 look for further downside with 46630 & 46400 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI lacks downward momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (M6)‎ Intraday: caution.
 
Pivot:
6675
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 6675 with targets at 6760 & 6785 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 6675 look for further downside with 6650 & 6630 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is mixed and calls for caution.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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