Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
Newsletter Header
 
DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
January 24, 2026
 
   
 
Silver   Gold   S&P 500 (CME)   EUR/USD   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   Crude Oil (WTI)   Dow Jones (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  U.S. Market Overview:  
 
 
On Friday, the U.S. stock market showed mixed results, reflecting volatility as it wrapped up a turbulent trading week. The S&P 500 edged up by 2 points (+0.03%), closing at 6,915, while the Nasdaq 100 soared by 87 points (+0.34%) to reach 25,605. In contrast, the Dow dropped by 285 points (-0.58%), ending at 49,098. Most sectors posted gains, with Materials (XLB), Consumer Staples (XLP), and Communication Services (XLC) leading the way, whereas Financials (XLF), Industrials (XLI), and Health Care (XLV) underperformed the most.

Looking at the overall trading week, the S&P 500 slid 0.35% while the Nasdaq 100 rose 0.30% and the Dow slid 0.53%. The top performing sectors were Energy (XLE) and Materials (XLB) while Financials (XLF) and Real Estate (XLRE) lagged behind.
 
 
  U.S. Economic Developments:  
 
 
The S&P Global Composite PMI increased to 52.8 in January, matching expectations and rising from 52.7 in December. In contrast, the Global Services PMI remained unchanged at 52.5, surpassing the predicted 52.3. The Global Manufacturing PMI, however, rose to 51.9 in January, slightly below the expected 52 and up from 51.8 in December.

Additionally, the final reading for the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index surged to 56.4 in January, outpacing the anticipated 54 and increasing from 52.9 in December. This marks the second consecutive month of rising sentiment and the highest level since August 2025.
 
 
  U.S. Equity News:  
 
 
Intel (INTC) plunged 17.03% as current guidance missed estimates as chip production costs increased. CFO David Zinsner highlighted strong demand but noted supply constraints, expecting improvements each quarter this year.

Nvidia (NVDA) rose 1.53% as Bloomberg reported that China has cleared country's tech companies, including Alibaba, to move forward with orders for Nvidia’s H200 chips.

Capital One Financial (COF) dropped 7.56% announced a 15.5 billion dollars cash and stock acquisition of fintech firm Brex.

Spotify (SPOT) increased 2.92% as it was upgraded to "Buy" from "Neutral" at Goldman Sachs.

Fortinet (FTNT) gained 5.18% after it was upgraded to "Buy" from "Hold" at TD Cowen.

CSX (CSX) climbed 2.40% as quarterly sales topped expectations.
 
 
  Europe Market Overview:  
 
 
At the European close, the major indices in the region finished in mixed territory. Germany's Dax rose 44 points (+0.18%) to 24900 while France's Cac 40 fell 5 points (-0.07%) to 8143 and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 dropped 6 points (-0.07%) to 10143.

On the economic front, the Eurozone's HCOB Composite PMI Index remained unchanged at 51.5 in January, falling short of the expected 52.3. In a separate report, the U.K.'s retail sales rose by 0.4% in December, exceeding the anticipated decline of -0.2% and improving from the -0.1% recorded in November.
 
 
  Global Macro, FX & Commodities:  
 
 
Rates & Risk Sentiment:

Following today's volatile trading day, the VIX index rose 0.45pt (+2.88%) to 16.09, its first rise after two consecutive days of declines. Meanwhile, the US 10 year yield fell to 4.231%.

Precious Metals & Crude:

Gold and silver reached new all-time highs, with Gold climbing by $46.10 (+0.93%) to $4,982.39, approaching the $5,000 mark but encountering selling pressure along the way. Simultaneously, Silver surged by $6.74 (+7.01%) to $102.92, successfully surpassing the crucial $100 psychological barrier. Additionally, WTI Crude Oil also performed well on Friday, rising by $1.88 (+3.17%) to $61.24.

The Dollar & Majors:

The dollar index dropped 0.89 points (-0.91%) to 97.466.

EUR/USD rose 70 pips (+0.6%) to 1.1824.

GBP/USD advanced 139 pips (+1.03%) to 1.3636.

USD/JPY fell 268 pips (-1.69%) to 155.72. The Bank of Japan maintained its benchmark interest rate at 0.75%, aligning with expectations. Additionally, Japan's core inflation rate decreased to 2.4% year-on-year in December, falling short of the estimated 2.8%.

USD/CHF slipped 86 pips (-1.09%) to 0.7803.

AUD/USD rose 54 pips (+0.79%) to 0.6894.

USD/CAD retreated 87 pips (-0.63%) to 1.3698. A preliminary report indicates that retail sales in Canada fell by 0.5% in December, contrasting sharply with the anticipated growth of 1.5%.

Digital Assets:

Cryptocurrencies faced downward pressure and remained sidelined compared to the explosive move in metals. Bitcoin experienced some volatility but ultimately increased by $143 (+0.16%), reaching $89,331. In contrast, Ethereum declined by $2 (-0.09%), settling at $2,940.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Silver Intraday: further upside.
 
Pivot:
100.80
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 100.80 with targets at 104.15 & 105.90 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 100.80 look for further downside with 99.10 & 97.50 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 104.15 and then at 105.90.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold Intraday: intraday support around 4938.
 
Pivot:
4938
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 4938 with targets at 5000 & 5040 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 4938 look for further downside with 4900 & 4838 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 5000 and then at 5040.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: choppy.
 
Pivot:
6925
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 6925 with targets at 6968 & 6995 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 6925 look for further downside with 6907 & 6895 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50% but reversing up.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday : the RSI is overbought
 
Our pivot point is at 1.1788.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.1788 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.1788, expect 1.1756 and 1.1737.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above 70. It could mean either that the price is in a lasting uptrend or just overbought and therefore bound to correct (look for bearish divergence in this case). The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.1769 and 1.1755).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday : the RSI is overbought
 
Our pivot point is at 1.3603.
 
Our preference:
The upside prevails as long as 1.3603 is support
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3603, expect 1.3577 and 1.3561.
 
Comment:
The RSI is above 70. It could mean either that the price is in a lasting uptrend or just overbought and therefore bound to correct (look for bearish divergence in this case). The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.3572 and 1.3528).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday : the RSI is oversold
 
Our pivot point is at 156.21.
 
Our preference:
The downside prevails as long as 156.21 is resistance
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 156.21, look for 156.58 and 156.80.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below 30. It could either mean that the price is in a lasting downtrend or just oversold and therefore bound to retrace (look for bullish divergence in this case). The MACD is below its signal line and negative. The configuration is negative. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 157.32 and 158.01).
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: bullish bias above 60.80.
 
Pivot:
60.80
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 60.80 with targets at 61.80 & 62.20 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 60.80 look for further downside with 60.50 & 59.95 as targets.
 
Comment:
The next resistances are at 61.80 and then at 62.20.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (H6)‎ Intraday: expect 49050.
 
Pivot:
49380
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 49380 with targets at 49050 & 48800 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 49380 look for further upside with 49490 & 49620 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
Banner Ad
     
 
 
  Twitter   LinkedIn   Instagram   FaceBook   YouTube  
 
 
 
 
TRADING FOREIGN EXCHANGE ON MARGIN CARRIES A HIGH LEVEL OF RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS.

THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS THAT YOU COULD SUSTAIN A LOSS OF SOME OR ALL OF YOUR INITIAL INVESTMENT AND THEREFORE YOU SHOULD NOT INVEST MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD TO LOSE.

THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE CAN WORK AGAINST YOU AS WELL AS FOR YOU. BEFORE DECIDING TO TRADE FOREIGN EXCHANGE OR CFD’S YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER YOUR INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES, LEVEL OF EXPERIENCE, AND RISK APPETITE.

YOU SHOULD BE AWARE OF ALL THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH FOREIGN EXCHANGE AND OTHER CFD TRADING, AND SEEK ADVICE FROM AN INDEPENDENT FINANCIAL ADVISOR IF YOU HAVE ANY DOUBTS. VPFX RECOMMENDS READING THE RISK DISCLOSURE SECTION OF THE PROSPECTUS FOR ANY FINANCIAL PRODUCT MENTIONED.

VPFX is the trading name for Ventura Prime FX Limited with registration number LL16224 registered in Labuan F.T., Malaysia.

Ventura Prime FX Limited is authorised and regulated by the Labuan Financial Services Authority (LFSA). Registered Address:Kensington Gardens, No U1317, Lot 7616, Jalan Jumidar Buyong, 87000 Labuan Federal Territory, Malaysia

 
 
 
 
Client Logo
 
Ventura Prime FX Limited
Trading Central