Here are today's directional views from the global research desks of Ventura Prime FX! These are starting points for your own research to identify opportunities that make sense for you.
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DAILY NEWS BRIEF - MARKET OUTLOOK
July 2, 2026
 
   
 
Crude Oil (WTI)   Gold   GBP/USD   USD/JPY   EUR/USD   Silver   Dow Jones (CME)   S&P 500 (CME)  
 
 
  Market Wrap  
 
  Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities  
 
 
On Wednesday, the Nasdaq 100 retreated 467 points (-1.54%) to 29,809, dragged down by losses in semiconductor stocks.

The S&P 500 fell 16 points (-0.22%) to 7,483, and the Dow Jones dipped 13 points (-0.03%) to 52,305.

Meta (META) bounced 8.83% on reports that the company is developing a new cloud business through which it will sell excess computing power to outside customers.

Other mega-cap tech stocks also performed well, with Microsoft (MSFT) rising 3.03%, Apple (AAPL) up 1.73%, and Amazon (AMZN) up 1.41%.

However, semiconductor stocks tumbled as investors grew concerned about the "excess computing power" mentioned in Meta’s news, with Micron (MU) falling 10.62%, Intel (INTC) down 9.03%, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) down 6.89%, and Nvidia (NVDA) down 1.25%.

Nike (NKE) rose 5.07%. The sportswear maker reported slightly better-than-expected quarterly revenue while issuing a cautious sales outlook amid weak demand in China.

Alcoa (AA) dropped 8.96% after agreeing to buy Australian miner South32’s interests in bauxite mines, alumina refineries, and aluminum smelter operations for up to 5.6 billion dollars.

Lockheed Martin (LMT) rose 2.42% after being upgraded to "buy" by Citigroup.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield advanced another 2.2 basis points to 4.483%.

In Europe, the DAX 40 closed 0.18% higher, while the CAC 40 dropped 0.79%, and the FTSE 100 was down 0.18%.

U.S. WTI crude futures maintained their downtrend, slipping 0.92 dollars (-1.32%) to 68.58 dollars a barrel.

Gold managed to keep the key level of 4,000 dollars an ounce.
 
 
  Market Wrap: Forex  
 
 
The U.S. dollar held firm against major currencies. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh said the central bank will stick to its 2% inflation target.

Meanwhile, the U.S. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing index slipped to 53.3 in June, below expectations.

EUR/USD fell 44 pips to 1.1377. The Eurozone’s inflation rate slowed to 2.8% year-on-year in June (vs 3.0% expected).

USD/JPY was largely flat at 162.57.

GBP/USD rose 18 pips to 1.3278, posting a five-session rally.

AUD/USD retreated 25 pips to 0.6893.

USD/CHF added 13 pips to 0.8094, and USD/CAD was up 19 pips to 1.4214.

Bitcoin rebounded 3% to regain the key level of 60,000 dollars.
 
 
  Morning Trading  
 
 
In Asian trading hours, AUD/USD was little changed at 0.6895. Australia's trade deficit for May totaled 3.0 billion Australian dollars, compared with the estimated surplus of 2.3 billion Australian dollars.

Meanwhile, EUR/USD edged up to 1.1383 and GBP/USD climbed to 1.3285.

USD/JPY was steady at 162.52.

Gold advanced to 4,056 dollars.

Bitcoin held gains at 60,056 dollars.
 
 
  Expected Today  
 
 
The eurozone's jobless rate is expected to be unchanged at 6.3% in May.

In the U.S., nonfarm payrolls are estimated to increase by 110,000 in June, while jobless rate is expected to stay at 4.3%. Also, the weekly initial jobless claims are estimated at 220,000 and factory orders are expected to drop 2.1% month-on-month in May.
 
 
 
 
  Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
 
 
     
 
Crude Oil (WTI)‎ (Q6)‎ intraday: the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
68.70
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 68.70 with targets at 66.80 & 66.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 68.70 look for further upside with 69.20 & 70.10 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Gold intraday: key resistance at 4075.
 
Pivot:
4075
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 4075 with targets at 4025 & 4005 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 4075 look for further upside with 4100 & 4140 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as the resistance at 4075 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 4025 remains high.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
GBP/USD intraday: aim @ 1.3310.
 
Pivot:
1.3255
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 1.3255 with targets at 1.3310 & 1.3330 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 1.3255 look for further downside with 1.3235 & 1.3210 as targets.
 
Comment:
The RSI lacks downward momentum.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
USD/JPY intraday: consolidation.
 
Pivot:
162.30
 
Our preference:
Long positions above 162.30 with targets at 162.80 & 163.00 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Below 162.30 look for further downside with 162.10 & 161.90 as targets.
 
Comment:
Intraday technical indicators are mixed and call for caution.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
EUR/USD intraday: under pressure.
 
Pivot:
1.1395
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 1.1395 with targets at 1.1360 & 1.1340 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1395 look for further upside with 1.1410 & 1.1425 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 1.1395 is resistance, likely decline to 1.1360.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Silver intraday: key resistance at 60.40.
 
Pivot:
60.40
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 60.40 with targets at 58.90 & 58.20 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 60.40 look for further upside with 60.95 & 61.50 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 60.40 is resistance, expect a return to 58.90.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
Dow Jones (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: choppy.
 
Pivot:
52760
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 52760 with targets at 52470 & 52320 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 52760 look for further upside with 52900 & 53080 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 52760 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
 
 
 
S&P 500 (CME)‎ (U6)‎ intraday: key resistance at 7580.
 
Pivot:
7580
 
Our preference:
Short positions below 7580 with targets at 7515 & 7490 in extension.
 
Alternative scenario:
Above 7580 look for further upside with 7610 & 7650 as targets.
 
Comment:
As long as 7580 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
 
Analyst Views Chart
 
Trade
 
 
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